Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Fort Worth, TX

SHORT TERM
(This afternoon through Thursday)
Issued at 101 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Visible satellite imagery shows a scattered cumulus field across central and eastern TX this afternoon with radar indicating a few isolated showers primarily off to our southeast. The upper pattern features weak flow aloft beneath stronger ridging over the Southeastern U.S. and troughing over the Northern Plains. Aircraft soundings over the last hour indicate a strong capping inversion which should limit anything more than a few isolated showers mainly east of I-35. Coverage should be 10% or less through the early evening.

With troughing well to our north and a deepening surface low over southwestern Kansas, the low level jet will strengthen to 40 kt overnight and should usher in a swath of low cloud cover through early Thursday morning. Overnight lows will generally be in the mid to upper 70s.

On Thursday, the aforementioned surface low in Kansas will pull off to the northeast and drag a cold front through Oklahoma. The front will be the focus for convective development mainly to our north during the day. As low clouds scatter out, we should see mostly sunny skies by afternoon with temperatures climbing into the low/mid 90s.

Dunn

LONG TERM
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 101 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Convection should be ongoing primarily to our north Thursday night along the frontal boundary and although this boundary will likely remain to our north, an axis of modest instability will be present south of the Red River. While the low level jet won't be particularly strong, low level inflow of 20-30 kt should be sufficient to keep some of these storms going south of the river late Thursday night into early Friday morning. We'll keep 40-60% PoPs confined to areas mainly north of I-20 during this time. As convection should be in the dissipating stage by this time, the threat for severe weather should be generally low, although some gusty winds can't be ruled out.

Weak mid level ridging will be in place during the day Friday, although any remnant outflow boundaries may serve as a focus for isolated convection through the afternoon. While PoPs will generally be 20% or less, temps in the mid 90s and weak deep layer flow would support an isolated severe wind gust with any strong storms that develop. Ridging should generally prevail on Saturday with slightly drier air moving in from the west which should keep any rain chances at less than 10%. Temperatures will respond upward across the region during this time with highs in the mid 90s.

By Sunday, stronger ridging will be shunted southward as broad troughing overspreads much of the Plains. Another frontal boundary will be draped to our north during the afternoon and we should see widespread storms develop along this boundary well to our north.
This potentially sets the stage for an active Sunday night as stronger height falls move into the Southern Plains amidst strengthening mid and upper level flow. With a broad area of 2000-3000 J/kg MLCAPE in place ahead of the frontal boundary into North Texas, there is increasing confidence in a complex of thunderstorms spreading south out of Oklahoma into North Texas late Sunday night into Monday morning. If these storms can become organized, they would be accompanied by a severe wind threat through the overnight hours.

As is often the case with this type of pattern, any complex of storms would certainly dictate the forecast going into Monday with PoPs favored across our southern counties where any residual convection would either be ongoing or boundaries would linger.
We'll maintain PoPs through this period and make adjustments as necessary. Outside of the convective potential, temperatures will be warm in the mid 90s through Sunday with heat index values between 100-105 degrees. Cooler air is expected Monday through the middle of next week, but likewise, is somewhat dependent upon convection.

Dunn

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 101 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

VFR will prevail through late this evening with south winds 15G25KT and SCT040 cloud cover. A strengthening low level jet will result in widespread MVFR cigs early Thursday morning which should scatter out by late morning. No significant convective potential exists until overnight Thursday night and that should generally be across northern D10 toward the Red River.

Dunn

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 77 94 77 94 / 0 0 20 10 Waco 77 92 78 94 / 0 0 0 0 Paris 75 93 74 91 / 0 0 60 50 Denton 77 94 76 92 / 0 0 40 30 McKinney 77 93 76 92 / 0 0 40 30 Dallas 78 94 78 95 / 0 0 20 10 Terrell 77 92 76 94 / 0 0 10 10 Corsicana 77 94 77 95 / 0 0 0 10 Temple 76 92 76 94 / 0 0 0 10 Mineral Wells 75 95 75 94 / 0 0 20 10

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.