Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Fort Worth, TX

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fort Worth, TX

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Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 081802 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 102 PM CDT Thu Jun 8 2023

New Short Term, Aviation

SHORT TERM
/NEW/ /Through Friday afternoon/

An active summer afternoon is taking shape again today with scattered showers and storms. Like the previous days, the main threat will be locally heavy downpours, lightning, and strong wind gusts. While most locations have at least a 20% chance of rain, areas across East and Central Texas will continue to have slightly higher coverage of precipitation associated with the energy from the overnight/early morning convection. Otherwise, highs this afternoon will peak in the upper 80s to lower 90s with light and variable winds.

Quiet and warm conditions are expected tonight with lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s. The mid/upper level ridge axis currently to our west will move slightly to the east on Friday resulting in slightly warmer daytime temperatures. Many locations will see highs in the mid to upper 90s. We will also have less coverage of afternoon convection due to more subsidence and capping in place.
Areas across East Texas will have the best potential to see a few isolated showers/storms through early evening.

Sanchez

LONG TERM
/Issued 303 AM CDT Thu Jun 8 2023/ /Friday night through Wednesday/

The extended portion of the forecast will be hot and humid with above normal temperatures and even triple digit temps in some locations.

There will be a chance for showers and thunderstorms Friday night through Saturday night when a pair of shortwaves eject from a longer wave trough across the western U.S. The shortwave Friday night will be compact and fast moving but should provide enough large scale lift and destabilization for isolated to scattered storms to form, mainly across North Texas. The second shortwave expected on Saturday will be a bit stronger and will also work in conjunction with an eastward mixing dryline to produce another round of showers and storms with the best chances during the afternoon and evening when destabilization will be maximized.
Unlike storms the past several days, there will actually be enough shear for some storm organization and longer sustained updrafts.
Therefore, a few strong to severe storms will be possible with damaging winds and hail the primary threats. The favored areas for storms will be generally near and east of the I-35 corridor where moisture will be most abundant and large scale ascent will coincide with peak heating. The shortwave will exit the region Saturday night with shortwave ridging quickly taking its place.
The rest of the weekend through early next week should be precipitation free for most areas but a cold front approaching the Red River may provide a focus for a few showers and storms across the northern zones. The upper ridge axis will begin to break down by mid week while a strong shortwave rotates across the Central Plains. Most of the energy associated with this system is progged to remain north of the forecast area; therefore, we will keep PoPs for Wednesday across the northern zones at 10 percent.

Low temperatures this weekend through the middle of next week will range from the middle 60s to the lower 70s. High temperatures Saturday through Monday will be mainly in the 90s. By Tuesday and Wednesday, several locations along and west of the I-35 corridor will likely see their first triple digit temperatures of the summer season. Afternoon heat index values should have no problem reaching 100 in most locations Sunday through Wednesday with the hottest day on Wednesday when heat index values could soar to or just above 105 generally near the I-35 corridor. It's too early to issue a Heat Advisory with this forecast package but one may be necessary next week.

79

AVIATION
/NEW/ /18Z TAFs/

Another round of scattered storms is expected through this evening. While the highest coverage is expected to stay south and east of the Metroplex sites (mainly impacting KACT), we can't rule out a few cells near or at the sites roughly between 20-02Z. In addition to the lighting threat, brief gusty winds and locally heavy downpours are possible. Otherwise, VFR and light/variable winds will continue through Friday. At this time, most of the Friday afternoon convection is expected to stay across East Texas.

Sanchez

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 91 72 97 74 94 / 20 5 10 20 30 Waco 90 69 95 74 95 / 20 10 5 10 20 Paris 91 69 91 69 89 / 20 20 20 20 40 Denton 91 68 95 70 94 / 20 5 10 20 30 McKinney 90 69 94 72 91 / 20 10 10 20 40 Dallas 92 73 96 74 95 / 20 10 10 20 40 Terrell 90 69 93 72 91 / 20 10 10 20 30 Corsicana 91 70 94 74 94 / 20 10 10 20 30 Temple 91 68 96 72 96 / 30 10 5 10 20 Mineral Wells 91 68 97 71 96 / 20 5 5 20 20

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.

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