Monday, June21, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fort Worth, TX

Version 3.4
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3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:20AMSunset 8:41PM Monday June 21, 2021 1:53 AM CDT (06:53 UTC) Moonrise 4:28PMMoonset 2:38AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fort Worth, TX
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location: 32.77, -97.29     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 210603 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 103 AM CDT Mon Jun 21 2021

. New Short Term, Aviation .

SHORT TERM. /NEW/ /Overnight through Tuesday/

Another warm and humid night is expected across North and Central Texas but changes are on the way. A fairly strong cold front is moving through the Central Plains at this hour and has entered northern Oklahoma as a deep trough swings through the Upper Midwest. This cold front will approach the Red River by midday and continue southward into North Texas through the afternoon. Ahead of the front, we'll remain hot and humid, although extensive morning cloud cover may reign in high temperatures a bit. We'll forecast highs upper 80s along the Red River with lower 90s along the I-20 corridor and mid 90s farther south. These obviously have the potential to miss by several degrees based on the amount of cloud cover and frontal location.

The front will move into an unstable airmass this afternoon but deep layer wind fields are exceptionally weak with 0-6 km shear only around 15 kt. We should see scattered thunderstorms attempt to develop along the front itself, but coverage may be a little more sparse than initially expected. A better coverage of thunderstorms may occur after FROPA where most unstable parcels will still have around 2000 J/kg of CAPE and stronger synoptic scale forcing for ascent spreads into the region as the trough axis swings by. Stronger mid level winds yields inflow layer shear of around 30-35 kt which should support a few semi-organized clusters of convection into the late evening hours. While widespread severe weather isn't expected, a few instances of severe wind may occur through the late evening. PoPs will remain fairly high from this afternoon into the evening.

As the front continues southward overnight, high pressure will build in behind and temperatures will fall into the upper 50s across our northern counties and 60s elsewhere. Tuesday should be a fantastic day for early summer with highs in the low/mid 80s and dewpoints in the upper 50s/lower 60s across much of the region. Our far southern counties may contend with a little more humidity Tuesday afternoon, but not bad at all by summer standards.

Dunn

LONG TERM. /Issued 240 PM CDT Sun Jun 20 2021/ /Tuesday through next Sunday/

The extended period will feature a series of shifts in the synoptic pattern which will bring brief relief from the summer heat early in the week before hot and humid conditions build back into the region through the end of the week. By next weekend rain and thunderstorm chances return as a trough moves across the Plains potentially sending another cold front into/through the region.

At the beginning of the period, the abnormally strong cold front mentioned in the short term discussion (above) is expected to clear our Central Texas counties with rain chances gradually coming to an end Tuesday morning. In the wake of the front, lingering northeast/east winds will allow below normal temperatures to take up temporary residence across the region on Tuesday. This is shaping up to be the most pleasant day of the week, with morning temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 70s, and unseasonably "cool" afternoon temperatures in the low to mid 80s. As the North and Central Plains shortwave trough pulls away, the subtropical ridge will begin building back into the region marking the end of our brief reprieve from the heat. The airmass overhead will quickly recover as winds become more southerly and usher in gulf moisture. Temperatures are expected to rebound quickly with highs in the mid to upper 90s by late week and into the weekend, and dewpoints climbing back into the low to mid 70s. This also sets up the return of heat index values in excess of 100 degrees and with it the need to revive heat safety precautions for any planned outdoor activities. Though conditions are currently forecast to generally remain below Heat Advisory criteria, there is at least some potential that heat headlines may become necessary late next week.

Global models continue to show another upper level shortwave trough swinging through the Plains and into the eastern CONUS next weekend. This may send another cold front into North and Central Texas Saturday with increasing rain chances accompanying the passage of the boundary. The return of northerly flow would also allow for another break from the heat with temperatures dipping closer to seasonal norms Saturday and Sunday.

12

AVIATION. /NEW/ /6Z TAFs/

VFR prevails across most of the region at this hour, although clouds are developing across Central Texas and widespread MVFR cigs should overspread much of the region through the overnight hours. These will persist into the early morning hours Monday with some improvement through midday.

A cold front will approach the Metroplex by early afternoon with a wind shift expected around 20Z. The front may be accompanied by a thin line of SHRA/TSRA but coverage of TS may increase a few hours after FROPA. We'll adjust timing of the TEMPO TSRA to 22-02Z with this issuance. Otherwise, TS chances diminish late this evening with VFR expected around midnight Monday night.

At Waco, FROPA should be around 00Z with TS chances continuing through around 4Z. VFR is expected to prevail after midnight Monday night.

Dunn

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Dallas-Ft. Worth 79 91 65 85 72 / 0 70 40 0 0 Waco 77 94 67 82 70 / 0 40 70 5 0 Paris 76 88 61 82 64 / 5 80 50 0 0 Denton 76 88 60 83 67 / 0 70 40 0 0 McKinney 77 88 62 82 67 / 0 70 50 0 0 Dallas 79 91 65 85 72 / 0 70 50 0 0 Terrell 76 91 64 82 68 / 0 70 60 0 0 Corsicana 77 91 67 82 71 / 0 60 70 5 0 Temple 77 94 67 82 70 / 5 30 70 10 0 Mineral Wells 75 88 60 82 67 / 0 60 30 0 0

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Worth, Meacham International Airport, TX5 mi60 minSSE 1210.00 miFair81°F72°F74%1006.5 hPa
Fort Worth, Naval Air Station, TX6 mi61 minS 1310.00 miFair84°F73°F70%1006.2 hPa
Arlington Municipal Airport, TX13 mi60 minSSE 11 G 1810.00 miFair85°F73°F68%1006.9 hPa
Fort Worth Spinks Airport, TX14 mi58 minSSE 810.00 miFair80°F72°F75%1008.8 hPa
Grand Prairie, Grand Prairie Municipal Airport, TX14 mi58 minSSE 710.00 miFair82°F71°F68%1008.8 hPa
Fort Worth, Fort Worth Alliance Airport, TX15 mi60 minS 15 G 2310.00 miFair83°F71°F67%1005.6 hPa
Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, TX17 mi60 minS 1110.00 miFair83°F73°F72%1006.4 hPa
Dallas, Redbird Airport, TX23 mi60 minS 13 G 1910.00 miFair83°F73°F72%1007.1 hPa
Dallas Love Field, TX24 mi60 minS 9 G 1810.00 miFair84°F73°F70%1007.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFTW

Wind History from FTW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS10S10S11S13
G20
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1 day agoS6S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS45--SW7W5S6--SE4
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2 days agoS7S7S5SE6S4SE5S7S6S7SW445--E6E10
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6--SE10SE10SE9SE7SE7S6

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