Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Valley, AL
 | Sunrise 5:39 AM Sunset 7:36 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM Moonset 9:23 AM |
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Valley, AL
NEW! Add second zone forecast
FXUS64 KBMX 170643 AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 143 AM CDT Sat May 17 2025
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 107 AM CDT FRI MAY 17 2025
- There is a marginal risk of severe weather later this afternoon. Storms will be capable of producing damaging winds and large hail.
SHORT TERM
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 106 AM CDT SAT MAY 17 2025
Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to push into the region by daybreak, with most of this activity on the downward trend. In fact, a mostly ragged line of thunderstorms is expected by the mid-morning hours, as these storms become displaced from the better forcing to the north. A conditional marginal risk remains in place for this afternoon, as the airmass overhead is still quite unstable. If storms are able to develop into the afternoon and evening hours, they will be capable of damaging winds and large hail. I say "if" because this activity will be highly dependent on outflow boundaries leftover from this morning convection.
Another Marginal risk is situated across the region for Sunday, as a more organized bunch of thunderstorms pushes into the area.
However, just how organized this convection is remains to be seen, with damaging winds and hail being the main threats once again.
/44/
LONG TERM
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 106 AM CDT SAT MAY 17 2025
The disturbed pattern will remain into the long-term, as multiple disturbances clip the region in varying capacity through Monday.
However, the most organized system will begin to push into the area by Tuesday Night, as a trough and cold front begin to move into the Midwest. While the best forcing with this system will remain in the Midwest, additional strong to severe thunderstorm activity can not be ruled out given a somewhat unstable airmass.
Temperatures should fall behind this front into Wednesday, with highs dropping upper-70s and 80s. However, they should really fall into Thursday, with highs anticipated to range in the low to upper-70s area wide.
/44/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 AM CDT SAT MAY 17 2025
Thunderstorm chances will continue to increase over the next few hours, with most terminals along I-20 carrying TS by 17/10z. These Thunderstorm chances will diminish past 17/14z, with most terminals clearing out into VFR category around this time as well.
Additional thunderstorm chances will be possible tomorrow afternoon, but confidence was night high enough to introduce them in an FM groups at this time.
/44/
FIRE WEATHER
A disturbed pattern will enter back into the region, with shower and thunderstorm chances remaining in the forecast through the middle of the workweek. Given these increasing rain chances, MinRH values will vary from day to day, but generally range between 40-60%.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 88 64 86 65 / 30 20 70 20 Anniston 86 67 86 67 / 50 20 60 10 Birmingham 87 68 87 69 / 40 20 60 20 Tuscaloosa 88 69 89 70 / 50 20 50 10 Calera 86 69 87 69 / 50 20 50 10 Auburn 85 69 87 69 / 40 20 40 10 Montgomery 88 69 91 69 / 40 20 30 0 Troy 90 69 91 67 / 30 20 20 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 143 AM CDT Sat May 17 2025
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 107 AM CDT FRI MAY 17 2025
- There is a marginal risk of severe weather later this afternoon. Storms will be capable of producing damaging winds and large hail.
SHORT TERM
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 106 AM CDT SAT MAY 17 2025
Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to push into the region by daybreak, with most of this activity on the downward trend. In fact, a mostly ragged line of thunderstorms is expected by the mid-morning hours, as these storms become displaced from the better forcing to the north. A conditional marginal risk remains in place for this afternoon, as the airmass overhead is still quite unstable. If storms are able to develop into the afternoon and evening hours, they will be capable of damaging winds and large hail. I say "if" because this activity will be highly dependent on outflow boundaries leftover from this morning convection.
Another Marginal risk is situated across the region for Sunday, as a more organized bunch of thunderstorms pushes into the area.
However, just how organized this convection is remains to be seen, with damaging winds and hail being the main threats once again.
/44/
LONG TERM
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 106 AM CDT SAT MAY 17 2025
The disturbed pattern will remain into the long-term, as multiple disturbances clip the region in varying capacity through Monday.
However, the most organized system will begin to push into the area by Tuesday Night, as a trough and cold front begin to move into the Midwest. While the best forcing with this system will remain in the Midwest, additional strong to severe thunderstorm activity can not be ruled out given a somewhat unstable airmass.
Temperatures should fall behind this front into Wednesday, with highs dropping upper-70s and 80s. However, they should really fall into Thursday, with highs anticipated to range in the low to upper-70s area wide.
/44/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 AM CDT SAT MAY 17 2025
Thunderstorm chances will continue to increase over the next few hours, with most terminals along I-20 carrying TS by 17/10z. These Thunderstorm chances will diminish past 17/14z, with most terminals clearing out into VFR category around this time as well.
Additional thunderstorm chances will be possible tomorrow afternoon, but confidence was night high enough to introduce them in an FM groups at this time.
/44/
FIRE WEATHER
A disturbed pattern will enter back into the region, with shower and thunderstorm chances remaining in the forecast through the middle of the workweek. Given these increasing rain chances, MinRH values will vary from day to day, but generally range between 40-60%.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 88 64 86 65 / 30 20 70 20 Anniston 86 67 86 67 / 50 20 60 10 Birmingham 87 68 87 69 / 40 20 60 20 Tuscaloosa 88 69 89 70 / 50 20 50 10 Calera 86 69 87 69 / 50 20 50 10 Auburn 85 69 87 69 / 40 20 40 10 Montgomery 88 69 91 69 / 40 20 30 0 Troy 90 69 91 67 / 30 20 20 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KPIM HARRIS COUNTY,GA | 16 sm | 20 min | SSW 03 | 4 sm | A Few Clouds | Lt Rain Mist | 70°F | 70°F | 100% | 30.05 |
| KAUO AUBURN UNIVERSITY RGNL,AL | 17 sm | 39 min | WSW 03 | 10 sm | Overcast | Lt Rain | 68°F | 68°F | 100% | 30.05 |
| KLGC LAGRANGECALLAWAY,GA | 17 sm | 20 min | S 11 | 7 sm | Overcast | Lt Rain | 70°F | 68°F | 94% | 29.99 |
| KCSG COLUMBUS,GA | 22 sm | 20 min | WNW 04 | 9 sm | Overcast | Lt Rain | 72°F | 66°F | 83% | 30.05 |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KAUO
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KAUO
Wind History Graph: AUO
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of southeast
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