Saturday, June12, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Valley, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:31AMSunset 7:51PM Saturday June 12, 2021 9:19 AM CDT (14:19 UTC) Moonrise 7:10AMMoonset 10:01PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Valley, AL
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location: 32.78, -85.18     debug


Area Discussion for - Birmingham, AL
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FXUS64 KBMX 121158 AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 658 AM CDT Sat Jun 12 2021

UPDATE. For 12Z Aviation.

SHORT TERM. /Updated at 0300 AM CDT Sat Jun 12 2021/

Through Sunday.

We are finally watching the trough begin to work out of the area, as a a ridge build in. With that said though a surface trough will be sliding through the area. This combined with afternoon heating with likely result in fairly large CAPE within the column. With descent lift, 20 to 30 kt effective shear and localized enhancements with numerous boundaries in place, this large CAPE will likely result in multicellular storms that will result in strong to severe storms this afternoon with wind being the main threat along with large hail at times. We will also need to watch any training storms as they move over a very saturated ground from the past week. Look for the stronger activity to work through at least 9 PM and could potentially last a touch longer but more isolated in nature. Showers and embedded storms will continue into the evening but will be slide south and could be south of the area by Midnight.

As we move into Sunday the better moisture will be across the south and southwest, so went with the higher PoPs here. With that said it will be more like your typical summertime pattern here as the best focus will be south of the area. Activity should begin to dwindle down as we approach the send of the daytime hours on Sunday. Highs will be a touch warmer on Sunday as the sun will be around a little longer. Look for upper 80s to low 90s today with low 90s on Sunday.

16

LONG TERM. /Updated at 0300 AM CDT Sat Jun 12 2021/

Monday through Friday.

Guidance is in general agreement and suggestive of a very prominent deep-layer ridge establishing across the Intermountain West early/mid next week (could approach ~600 dam at H5 Tue-Thu which is impressive). The corresponding amplification of the upper-level jet stream will result in a longwave trough to position across the East Coast northeastward into Quebec where the parent upper-low will reside. Across the Deep South and Gulf Coast, a residual upper-level weakness will meander along the northern Gulf and should generally stretch northeastward toward the Carolina Coast on Monday. Northerly flow will encompass much of the area by then, so tropospheric moisture content will be in a state of decline. PoPs will therefore favor areas southward where best PWs are expected (1.4"-1.6"). This should foster isolated/scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly during peak diurnal heating. This will also describe the overall theme for Tuesday, though rain chances decrease each day through Thursday as drier air further invades the Deep South. This is despite shortwave perturbations rotating into the area from the north around the base of the longwave trough. Uppers 80s & lower 90s will be the expected highs through Thursday afternoon unless convection sees otherwise. The forecast becomes a little more complicated later in the period as unsettled weather is forecast across the Gulf of Mexico late next week. The NHC is monitoring for potential tropical cyclone development near the Bay of Campeche during this time frame. However, general storminess could encompass the Gulf Coast due to rich tropical moisture slowly creeping northward. PoPs were increased as a result, though forecast confidence remains low at this time.

40/Sizemore

AVIATION. 12Z TAF Discussion.

West-northwesterly flow aloft, once again is producing early morning showers and few storms. Skies are starting out MVFR/IFR once again this morning. Coverage increasing during the day with numerous showers and storms in the afternoon and early evening. Activity will diminish between 4 and 7z.

Note: AMD NOT SKED until further notice at KASN due to ongoing equipment issues.

16

FIRE WEATHER.

Relative humidity values remain elevated today with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms by this afternoon and evening. Some thunderstorms could be strong to severe. Otherwise, northwesterly 20 ft winds of 5-10 mph are expected. Winds should trend more northerly by Sunday. This will begin a period of decreasing moisture which will result in lower rain chances and lower afternoon RH values (40-50%) into next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Gadsden 91 69 91 69 92 / 40 20 30 10 10 Anniston 90 70 90 71 92 / 50 30 30 10 10 Birmingham 90 71 91 71 92 / 60 30 30 20 20 Tuscaloosa 91 72 92 72 93 / 80 40 40 20 20 Calera 90 72 91 73 91 / 70 40 40 20 20 Auburn 87 71 89 71 90 / 70 40 40 20 30 Montgomery 92 72 93 73 93 / 80 40 40 20 30 Troy 90 72 92 71 92 / 80 50 50 20 30

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES/. None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Auburn-Opelika Airport, AL17 mi23 minNW 710.00 miOvercast76°F74°F94%1014.6 hPa
LaGrange-Callaway Airport, GA17 mi44 minNW 510.00 miOvercast75°F72°F88%1012.9 hPa
Columbus, Columbus Metropolitan Airport, GA22 mi28 minW 610.00 miOvercast77°F73°F88%1011.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAUO

Wind History from AUO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW6SW6SW5CalmW5W11
G23
W4S3CalmS4SE3CalmS6S4SW5SW4W4SW6SW7SW3SW4W4W4NW7
1 day agoSW7W8W10
G14
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S7SW4SW8SW7SW8CalmNW5S5S3S4S6S6SW4S4S5SW6SW7SW6SW7
2 days agoS8S6S7SW9S10
G16
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S11SW9SW8W3NW3NE5SE3CalmCalmCalmS4S4S5SW6SW4SW5SW5SW5

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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