Dallas, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Dallas, TX

April 16, 2024 3:27 PM CDT (20:27 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:54 AM   Sunset 7:59 PM
Moonrise 12:31 PM   Moonset 2:21 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Dallas, TX
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Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 161946 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 246 PM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024

New Long Term

SHORT TERM
/Issued 137 PM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024/ /Through Tomorrow Night/

A weak front pushing east across North and Central Texas is currently crossing the I-35 corridor. The parent low responsible for this front is well north of our region, moving across Iowa.
Given the large spatial difference between the front and the parent system, little forward progress is expected from the front this afternoon. Given a lack of cold air behind the front, minimal to no impact is expected to today's expected high temperatures.
In fact, the drier airmass in place will help our region warm into the mid to upper 80s along and west of I-35, where westerly to southwesterly winds are expected this afternoon and evening.

Tonight, the strengthening of the low-level jet should push the front back to the north/northwest, ushering in cloudy conditions for much of the night. Tonight's temperatures are likely to remain in the 70s given the thick blanket of clouds in place.

Cloud cover will continue into the day on Wednesday with deep southerly flow in place. The aforementioned boundary will likely be draped from north to south just west of our region by tomorrow afternoon. With sufficient daytime heating, an isolated thunderstorm or two will be possible along the leading edge of the front. If a storm does develop, it would likely be sub-severe, be short-lived and not reach the I-35 corridor.

Storm chances will quickly dwindle after 9pm as instability diminishes areawide. Temperatures Wednesday night should stay in the upper 60s to around 70 degrees with continued southerly winds.

Hernandez

LONG TERM
/NEW/ Update:

The forecast trends discussed below generally remain on track, thus, the previous weather discussion is still valid. Showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage along and ahead of a dryline and strong cold front progged to arrive Thursday. Low- level convergence and moisture pooling along the boundary combined with strong surface heating should be sufficient for thunderstorm development by mid-afternoon. Though shear will mostly be modest, the pre-storm environment should still be favorable for strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing large hail. Given the unseasonably hot temperatures, sub-cloud evaporation will be efficient and will likely result in downdraft acceleration and a damaging wind threat with the stronger cells. By this weekend, isentropic ascent over the frontal surface...influenced by a series of weak mid-level disturbances shifting across the Southern Plains...will result in periods of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Given last month’s well-above normal rainfall totals, the soils in many areas remain vulnerable to rapid surface runoff. Flash and minor river flooding may occur this weekend, particularly across portions of North and East Texas.

12

Previous Discussion:

/Wednesday night through Monday/

Zonal flow aloft will set up the second half of the week, resulting in a deepening surface lee trough across the Central High Plains. An influx of Gulf moisture, coupled with the passing of a few shortwaves, may produce a few showers Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Better storm chances will arrive when a dryline and cold front move into North Texas Thursday afternoon/night. Dewpoints in the upper 60s to lower 70s ahead of these surface features and very warm temperatures (highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s) will yield plenty of instability in the warm sector. Models are also indicating there will be enough shear to sustain updrafts likely resulting in strong to severe storms.
Right now it appears the biggest threat for storms will be north of the I-20 corridor but this is all dependent on just how far the dryline mixes east and how far south the cold front moves. Storm chances will temporarily end Thursday night/Friday morning with the arrival of slightly drier air. However, models continue to point towards an overrunning pattern setting up Friday night through the weekend which will produce numerous showers and thunderstorms and a potential for heavy rainfall. We will keep high PoPs through Saturday and decrease them Sunday when the shortwave trough axis passes to the east. The start of the work week should be rain-free but it does look like more rain will return by the middle of next week.

Temperatures will be warm Wednesday night and Thursday with lows in the 60s to around 70 and highs from the mid 80s to the lower 90s. Temperatures will be cooler on the weekend due to cloud cover, cold air advection behind the front, and plenty of rain- cooled air. The coolest day will be Sunday with highs staying in the 60s and lows Sunday night falling into the 40s and lower 50s.

79

AVIATION
/Issued 137 PM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024/ /18Z TAFs/

After a morning with light rain and areawide low ceilings, improvements are ongoing as much drier air filters in from the west. Gusty westerly winds are expected this afternoon along with VFR conditions through sunset.

Overnight, the stalled boundary that brought in this morning's rain will retreat west/northwest. This will allow for low clouds to once again make their way into the region with VFR transitioning to MVFR after 08Z. Guidance has continued to hint at a period of widespread IFR impacting the I-35 corridor and areas east beginning around sunrise, continuing through the late morning hours. Several hours of IFR have been added to all TAF sites tomorrow morning.

Improvements will commence by the afternoon as low-level mixing leads to a gradual increase in cloud height. VFR conditions are expected to return to the region by 19Z tomorrow with high clouds continuing to cover much of the sky.

*There is a low potential of thunderstorms west of the D10 airspace tomorrow afternoon. If the storms develop, they are not expected to reach the I-35 corridor, however, increased cloudiness will be possible late tomorrow afternoon. Any west incoming/outgoing traffic should see minimal impacts given coverage is expected to remain sparse.

Hernandez


PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 69 87 70 89 59 / 0 5 5 30 30 Waco 70 84 70 88 64 / 5 10 10 30 30 Paris 67 82 67 85 58 / 5 0 5 40 50 Denton 64 87 68 87 55 / 0 0 5 30 30 McKinney 68 84 69 86 57 / 0 0 5 30 40 Dallas 69 87 70 89 61 / 0 5 5 30 30 Terrell 69 83 69 85 59 / 5 5 5 30 40 Corsicana 71 85 71 87 64 / 5 10 5 20 30 Temple 69 84 69 88 63 / 5 10 10 20 20 Mineral Wells 62 89 67 89 55 / 0 10 5 30 20

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KDAL DALLAS LOVE FIELD,TX 6 sm34 minSSW 09G1510 smMostly Cloudy82°F59°F45%29.79
KRBD DALLAS EXECUTIVE,TX 9 sm34 minS 09G1710 smClear81°F64°F58%29.80
KADS ADDISON,TX 13 sm40 minWSW 0713 smA Few Clouds86°F48°F27%29.79
KHQZ MESQUITE METRO,TX 13 sm37 minS 11G188 smMostly Cloudy79°F70°F74%29.82
KLNC LANCASTER RGNL,TX 15 sm12 minS 0710 smClear77°F70°F78%29.82
KDFW DALLASFORT WORTH INTL,TX 16 sm34 minSW 1210 smMostly Cloudy88°F37°F17%29.78
KGPM GRAND PRAIRIE MUNI,TX 16 sm37 minS 0610 smClear84°F43°F23%29.82
KGKY ARLINGTON MUNI,TX 19 sm34 minS 0710 smClear84°F48°F29%29.80
KJWY MIDWAY RGNL,TX 24 sm12 minSSW 08G1410 smPartly Cloudy81°F68°F66%29.84
Link to 5 minute data for KDAL


Wind History from DAL
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Tide / Current for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southern planes -- texas   
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Dallas/Fort Worth, TX,



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