Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Dallas, TX

SHORT TERM
/Issued 1139 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025/ /Overnight through Monday/

A complex of thunderstorms currently in progress across Central Oklahoma will continue to spread south toward the Red River overnight. The consensus of the high resolution guidance indicates that this cluster of thunderstorms will make it into North Texas around sunrise, although in a weakened state as instability will be at a diurnal minimum. While these storms currently pose a severe threat, this will diminish with time as they move south. We can't rule out an isolated severe wind gust through the early morning hours. While it's still a little uncertain whether or not convection will remain intact all the way down to the I-20 corridor, it does appear likely that a strong southward moving outflow boundary will spread as far south as I-20 by mid morning.
This boundary will also likely serve as a focus for additional convective development into the afternoon hours. We've raised PoPs to 50-60% across our northern counties during the morning hours and have 20-40% along the I-20 corridor. Additional storms are also expected to develop across southeast TX where abundant moisture remains in place and sea breeze activity increases.

All of this convective activity should decrease in coverage during the evening hours with loss of heating and Sunday night should generally be quiet, although warm and muggy. Stronger mid level ridging will begin to push eastward during the day Monday with isolated convective activity expected mainly across our far eastern counties.

Dunn

LONG TERM
/NEW/ /Monday Night Onward/

Seasonably warm conditions are expected throughout the upcoming week. Afternoon highs will generally be in the upper 80s to low 90s on a daily basis with warm/muggy mornings in the 70s. A shortwave trough will usher a weak cold front towards the region late Wednesday, resulting in the return of low rain chances Wednesday night into Thursday. Additional low rain chances will linger into the weekend as seabreeze activity makes a run at our southern zones on a daily basis.

Barnes

AVIATION
/Issued 1139 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025/ /6Z TAFs/

VFR prevails across the region at this hour although we'll be watching a complex of storms across Oklahoma steadily make southward progress into early Sunday morning. This cluster of storms should be in a weakening phase after sunrise but a strong outflow boundary will likely push southward through the D10 airspace around midday. This will result in temporary north winds and perhaps additional scattered storm development. We'll show this TEMPO in the latest TAF with -TSRA from 16-18Z. In addition, some MVFR cigs are likely during the morning hours although it's a little uncertain whether or not these will make it to the major airports or remain confined to areas just east.

Dunn

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 92 75 94 77 95 / 40 10 10 0 0 Waco 92 74 92 75 93 / 40 10 10 0 0 Paris 87 71 87 74 90 / 50 20 30 0 0 Denton 92 73 94 76 95 / 40 20 10 0 0 McKinney 91 73 92 76 93 / 40 20 20 0 0 Dallas 94 75 94 78 95 / 40 20 10 0 0 Terrell 90 73 90 75 91 / 30 20 20 0 0 Corsicana 91 75 91 76 91 / 30 10 20 0 0 Temple 92 73 93 73 93 / 40 5 5 0 0 Mineral Wells 94 73 97 75 97 / 40 10 10 0 0

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.