Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Travis Ranch, TX

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 131 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

Generally rain-free and mild conditions are expected across North and Central Texas this evening as the region remains on the subsident side of Tropical Storm Arthur as it translates along the upper Texas Coast towards Louisiana. Expect low clouds to develop once again late tonight into early tomorrow morning, and low temperatures in the mid 70s.

Unseasonable heat and humidity will be the main weather concern across North and Central Texas, with a Heat Advisory in effect for the entire region Thursday afternoon. Temperatures are expected to warm into the mid to upper 90s across most of the region Thursday afternoon, with a few areas across the Big Country approaching the triple digits. In combination with high humidity in place, heat index values will soar into the triple digits, ranging from 105 to 110 degrees. Stay hydrated, take frequent breaks in the shade, and wear light-colored, breathable clothing to prevent heat-related illnesses.

LONG TERM
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 131 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

Our attention will turn to the return of rain/storm chances late Thursday evening into Friday as a slow-moving cold front translates towards North Texas. Isolated convection may develop off the dryline across the Big Country Thursday afternoon and spread into portions of North Texas Thursday evening as a cluster or complex, but this scenario remains low at this time. There is higher confidence in showers and storms developing along the cold front Thursday night into Friday across North Texas and portions of Central Texas as weak troughing aloft translates overhead. The severe weather threat is low, but strong wind gusts and heavy rainfall cannot be ruled out with any stronger storms. Increased cloud cover and precip should result in lower temperatures ranging from the upper 80s to low 90s Friday afternoon across portions of North Texas. Meanwhile, triple digit heat index values near or exceeding 105 degrees is expected across portions of Central Texas that remain free of showers and storms.

Near daily rain/storm chances continue into the weekend and early next week as weak disturbances aloft translate across the Plains.
PoPs range from around 20-40% each day across portions of the region. Increased cloud cover may provide some relief from the heat, but heat index values will still approach the triple digits each afternoon.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 630 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

The positioning of Tropical Storm Arthur will shunt most of the Gulf moisture into East Texas and Louisiana over the next 24 hours. This will likely place North and Central Texas TAF sites on the western flank of the low cloud deck expected to redevelop overnight/Thursday morning. Will keep a TEMPO for MVFR cigs at all locations Thursday morning due to uncertainty of the western extent of the lower cloud deck. Cigs will push off to the east around midday Thursday, with VFR expected the rest of the day.

Focus will then shift to the northwest where a shortwave trough will ignite scattered thunderstorms by Thursday evening. A strong cap will accompany the highly unstable environment, but the presence of a dryline and weak cold front (along with the disturbance aloft) should overcome the cap during peak mixing hours, with storms likely developing some time between 21Z and 23Z. Activity may begin to encroach on the Metroplex from the northwest after 03Z Thursday evening, though discrepancies in high-res CAMs make the exact timing uncertain. VCTS has been added starting at 19/04Z in the extended DFW TAF, and will narrow down the timing as newer guidance is received.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 629 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 77 98 79 92 / 0 0 40 30 Waco 76 95 78 92 / 0 0 30 20 Paris 74 93 76 87 / 0 0 60 60 Denton 77 96 78 91 / 0 0 60 40 McKinney 76 96 78 90 / 0 0 50 50 Dallas 77 98 80 93 / 0 0 30 40 Terrell 74 96 77 92 / 0 0 20 30 Corsicana 76 97 79 94 / 0 0 10 30 Temple 77 96 79 93 / 0 0 30 20 Mineral Wells 75 99 75 90 / 0 0 60 50

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Heat Advisory from noon to 9 PM CDT Thursday for TXZ091>095- 100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.