The Colony, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for The Colony, TX

April 21, 2024 11:09 PM CDT (04:09 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:48 AM   Sunset 8:03 PM
Moonrise 5:13 PM   Moonset 4:41 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near The Colony, TX
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Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 212338 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 638 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

New Short Term, Aviation

SHORT TERM
/NEW/ /Tonight through Monday Night/

Surface high pressure will settle into the region overnight tonight with northerly winds becoming light and variable under mostly clear skies. Good radiational cooling should allow temperatures to fall into the lower 40s across North Texas with perhaps a few rural locations dropping into the upper 30s. As the surface high moves off to the east on Monday, winds will become more southerly and temperatures will climb back into the lower 70s. Mostly clear skies are expected on Monday night with temperatures in the 50s.

Dunn

LONG TERM
/Issued 1254 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024/

Update:

No major changes with the most recent forecast update, as we are still looking at another active pattern setting up mid to late week. Low rain chances return to portions of North Texas late Tuesday through Thursday, but more widespread shower/storm chances are expected Friday through the weekend. Most of the activity Tuesday and Wednesday will remain west/north of our area as convection develops along a dryline and a cold front. However, a lingering storm or two may sneak into our western and northern counties Tuesday night into Wednesday. Precipitation chances will increase area wide Friday through the weekend as a series of upper level systems travel across the region. We can't rule out the potential for a few strong to severe storms, but details are still uncertain at this time.

Sanchez

Previous Discussion: /Monday Night Onward/

Return flow will already be in place Monday night, and will strengthen on Tuesday as North and Central Texas becomes positioned between a cold front to the north, dryline to the west, and surface ridge to the east. The resulting narrow pressure gradient will increase south winds to 15-25 MPH with occasional higher gusts by Tuesday afternoon. Meanwhile, a mid level ridge will strengthen overhead, helping to return temperatures to near- normal values for the midweek period. The front will stall near or just north of the Red River, providing as focus for isolated thunderstorm development during the afternoon and evening hours both Tuesday and Wednesday. The presence of the ridge will preclude more widespread convection, and POPs will be limited to areas generally north of the I-20 corridor (closest to the front and farthest from the ridge axis).

The front will retreat north on Thursday as a shortwave trough advances east through the Four Corners region and a lee surface trough deepens. Any thunderstorms which would affect the region Thursday afternoon and evening would need to initialize near the dryline, which should still be located well west of the forecast area. A strong capping inversion may end up shutting off convection as it attempts to move east into the region, keeping any POPs in the slight chance range. Slightly better storm chances will occur on Friday as the shortwave lifts northeast through the Plains and the dryline shifts farther east to near Highway 281.
Thunderstorms which fire near the surface boundary would likely survive the trek across the I-35 corridor Friday evening before dissipating overnight Friday night. Some of the Friday storms would likely have a potential to produce large hail, though it is still a bit too soon to speculate on all of the severe weather parameter details.

Unsettled weather will continue next weekend as a deeper upper trough takes shape over the western CONUS, providing additional chances for thunderstorms across the region. A lead shortwave will lift northeast through the plains on Saturday, generating another possible round of dryline-induced convection Saturday afternoon and evening (similar to Friday). The main trough will eventually move through the Plains next Sunday into the following Monday, providing additional storm chances, with activity focused along an attendant Pacific front.

30

AVIATION
/NEW/ /00Z TAFs/

VFR will prevail through the period with northerly winds around 10 kt becoming light and variable overnight. South winds will return on Monday morning around 10 kt. No significant aviation concerns are expected through the period.

Dunn

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 47 71 55 79 63 / 0 0 0 0 10 Waco 45 70 53 77 62 / 0 0 0 0 5 Paris 40 67 50 74 58 / 0 0 0 5 10 Denton 42 70 53 79 61 / 0 0 0 5 10 McKinney 42 69 54 77 61 / 0 0 0 5 10 Dallas 47 71 55 79 63 / 0 0 0 0 10 Terrell 42 69 52 77 60 / 0 0 0 0 10 Corsicana 45 71 53 78 62 / 0 0 0 0 5 Temple 45 70 52 78 62 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 43 71 53 82 61 / 0 0 0 5 10

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KADS ADDISON,TX 8 sm14 mincalm10 smClear57°F39°F51%30.29
KDFW DALLASFORT WORTH INTL,TX 14 sm16 minN 0410 smClear57°F43°F59%30.26
KDAL DALLAS LOVE FIELD,TX 16 sm16 minENE 0310 smClear57°F43°F59%30.27
KDTO DENTON ENTERPRISE,TX 18 sm16 minNW 0310 smClear48°F46°F93%30.28
KTKI MCKINNEY NATIONAL,TX 18 sm16 mincalm10 smClear52°F45°F76%30.27
KAFW FORT WORTH ALLIANCE,TX 23 sm16 minNNW 0410 smA Few Clouds54°F45°F71%30.27
Link to 5 minute data for KADS


Wind History from ADS
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Tide / Current for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southern planes -- texas   
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Dallas/Fort Worth, TX,



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