Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for The Colony, TX

SHORT TERM
/NEW/ /Through Tuesday Night/

Much of North and Central Texas is expected to remain quiet as ridging to our west keeps any major weather systems at bay.
Temperatures this afternoon will peak in the mid to upper 90s along and west of I-35 with the coolest temperatures expected across East Texas. A few thunderstorms will develop closer to the Gulf coast, producing an outflow boundary that will shift north as we approach sunset. This outflow boundary may provide just enough lift for a few showers and storms in our Brazos Valley and southeastern counties through this evening. Severe weather is not expected.

With mid-level heights increasing tonight and tomorrow, the region will remain precipitation free with slightly warmer temperatures expected. Highs will be in the mid to upper 90s with heat index values between 100-103 degrees.

Hernandez

LONG TERM
/NEW/ /Wednesday Onward/

The long-term forecast will be influenced by a slowly eastward migrating ridge that will keep widespread rain chances at bay.
After this afternoon's isolated showers, our next rain chances will arrive Wednesday evening as a cold front slides into our region. This cold front will likely stall across North Texas and lead to a few showers and thunderstorms. CAPE values will range between 1500-2000 along the leading edge of the front, which will likely be enough for a few strong to isolated severe storms. Given weak deep-layer shear, individual storms are expected to become a cluster of storms with strong wind gusts the main threat. Rain chances should diminish after midnight as instability and forcing for ascent diminishes.

The latter half of the week will continue to be warm as temperatures stay in the mid to upper 90s. With southerly flow in place, afternoon thunderstorms near the Houston metro will produce a northward moving outflow boundary that may kick off additional storms in our region each afternoon. All storms should remain sub-severe with minimal coverage expected.

Hernandez

AVIATION
/NEW/ /18Z TAFs/

No significant weather is expected at any of the TAF sites through tomorrow morning. Winds are now in the process of becoming southerly with VFR skies in place. Tonight, a few low clouds may stream in from the south, however, cloud cover will likely remain in the FEW category at all TAF sites.

Tomorrow, the southerly winds will pick up with sustained winds near 20 kts by the afternoon. Winds will remain elevated through the evening with no wind shift in the forecast.

Hernandez

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 94 77 95 77 94 / 5 0 0 0 5 Waco 93 75 93 75 92 / 10 0 0 0 0 Paris 88 73 90 74 89 / 10 0 0 0 10 Denton 94 75 95 76 94 / 5 0 0 0 5 McKinney 92 75 94 77 92 / 5 0 0 0 5 Dallas 95 78 95 77 94 / 5 0 0 0 5 Terrell 90 74 92 75 91 / 20 0 0 0 5 Corsicana 90 75 93 77 92 / 10 0 0 0 0 Temple 93 73 94 75 94 / 20 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 96 74 97 75 94 / 0 0 0 0 5

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.