Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Alvord, TX
September 12, 2024 1:55 AM CDT (06:55 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 7:09 AM Sunset 7:39 PM Moonrise 3:11 PM Moonset 12:00 AM |
Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 120631 AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 131 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
New Short Term, Aviation
SHORT TERM
/NEW/ /Through Friday/
Now Tropical Storm Francine made landfall over southern Louisiana several hours ago and will continue to shift northeastward quite rapidly over the next 24-30 hours before merging with a mid- to upper-level trough to its northwest. Moisture wrapping around the western periphery of Francine's circulation has brought a swath of low clouds to the region and spotty light rain showers across portions of eastern North and Central Texas. Patchy fog will also be possible through the overnight and into early Thursday morning generally south of the I-20 corridor where dewpoints in the upper-60s to lower-70s remain. Widespread cloud cover will keep overnight lows in the mid-60s to near 70 degrees.
By mid- to late morning Thursday, cloud cover will begin to diminish and rain chances will push off to the east as North and Central Texas are finally placed behind that aforementioned shortwave trough. Broad easterly flow with a subtle northerly component will keep high temperatures in the 80s region-wide Thursday afternoon. Mid-level ridging building behind Francine and the return of southerly low-level flow will begin a period of abnormally warm conditions Friday with afternoon highs in the mid- to upper-90s expected across much of the area (5-10 degrees above-average for mid-September).
Langfeld
LONG TERM
/Issued 233 PM CDT Wed Sep 11 2024/ Update: No significant changes in the long-term period as the return of summer temperatures take the main headlines. A heating trend will start on Friday and peak over the weekend where high temperatures will reach the upper 90s to around 102 degrees. A more stable pattern will dominate over the next several days as a ridge builds over the region in between an upper trough to our west and the remnants of Francine. See the discussion below for more details including the potential for some fire weather concerns late next week.
Sanchez
Previous Discussion: /Thursday Night Onward/
Key Messages:
- Weekend temperatures will be well above normal for this time of the year.
- Confidence in a prolonged heatwave lasting through at least next weekend is increasing. Heat coupled with gusty southwesterly winds may contribute to a slight uptick in fire weather concerns mid to late next week.
--------------------------------------------------------------
Francine's influence will quickly be diminishing as we head into the weekend with the arrival of high pressure into the Southern Plains. This high pressure will translate into well above normal temperatures this weekend, especially on Saturday.
Highs on Saturday will be in the mid 90s to around 100 degrees across the entire region. A few factors that will contribute to the hot conditions will be the near record hot temperatures about 4,000 feet above us. Additionally, strong cyclogenesis along the Front Range in Colorado will turn our winds out of the southwest between 10 to 15 mph. With southwesterly winds in place, compressional warming as the parcel descends will add a few degrees to our afternoon temperatures. The combination of the hot temperatures and moisture in place will yield heat index values that approach 104 degrees.
Sunday is unlikely to be as hot as Saturday, however, temperatures will still be in the mid to upper 90s with heat index values up to 102 degrees.
Heading into next week, much of the guidance has backed off on a potential West Coast trough sending impulses into the Southern Plains. Instead, we'll likely have to contend with strong ridging, prolonging the duration of the well above normal temperatures. At this time, precipitation chances remain below 10% through next weekend.
Hernandez
AVIATION
/NEW/ /06Z TAFs/
Low-level moisture wrapping around now Tropical Storm Francine has allowed MVFR cigs to overspread much of North and Central Texas.
MVFR cigs will persist through the overnight and into Thursday morning before lifting and clearing out by 15Z-16Z. There is a low 20-30% chance for brief, intermittent IFR cigs for a few hours early Thursday morning. Very light, spotty rain showers may bring reduced visibilities through the overnight, and a VCSH addition may be needed. Influence from Francine will allow for light ENE surface winds through much of the TAF period shifting more ESE Thursday evening.
Langfeld
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 88 68 95 75 98 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 89 66 96 74 98 / 0 0 0 0 5 Paris 86 62 91 68 95 / 10 0 0 0 0 Denton 88 64 95 72 99 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 88 64 94 72 98 / 5 0 0 0 0 Dallas 89 67 95 75 100 / 5 0 0 0 0 Terrell 87 63 94 72 98 / 10 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 87 66 95 74 98 / 5 0 0 0 0 Temple 89 65 96 72 98 / 0 0 0 0 5 Mineral Wells 87 65 96 72 99 / 0 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 131 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
New Short Term, Aviation
SHORT TERM
/NEW/ /Through Friday/
Now Tropical Storm Francine made landfall over southern Louisiana several hours ago and will continue to shift northeastward quite rapidly over the next 24-30 hours before merging with a mid- to upper-level trough to its northwest. Moisture wrapping around the western periphery of Francine's circulation has brought a swath of low clouds to the region and spotty light rain showers across portions of eastern North and Central Texas. Patchy fog will also be possible through the overnight and into early Thursday morning generally south of the I-20 corridor where dewpoints in the upper-60s to lower-70s remain. Widespread cloud cover will keep overnight lows in the mid-60s to near 70 degrees.
By mid- to late morning Thursday, cloud cover will begin to diminish and rain chances will push off to the east as North and Central Texas are finally placed behind that aforementioned shortwave trough. Broad easterly flow with a subtle northerly component will keep high temperatures in the 80s region-wide Thursday afternoon. Mid-level ridging building behind Francine and the return of southerly low-level flow will begin a period of abnormally warm conditions Friday with afternoon highs in the mid- to upper-90s expected across much of the area (5-10 degrees above-average for mid-September).
Langfeld
LONG TERM
/Issued 233 PM CDT Wed Sep 11 2024/ Update: No significant changes in the long-term period as the return of summer temperatures take the main headlines. A heating trend will start on Friday and peak over the weekend where high temperatures will reach the upper 90s to around 102 degrees. A more stable pattern will dominate over the next several days as a ridge builds over the region in between an upper trough to our west and the remnants of Francine. See the discussion below for more details including the potential for some fire weather concerns late next week.
Sanchez
Previous Discussion: /Thursday Night Onward/
Key Messages:
- Weekend temperatures will be well above normal for this time of the year.
- Confidence in a prolonged heatwave lasting through at least next weekend is increasing. Heat coupled with gusty southwesterly winds may contribute to a slight uptick in fire weather concerns mid to late next week.
--------------------------------------------------------------
Francine's influence will quickly be diminishing as we head into the weekend with the arrival of high pressure into the Southern Plains. This high pressure will translate into well above normal temperatures this weekend, especially on Saturday.
Highs on Saturday will be in the mid 90s to around 100 degrees across the entire region. A few factors that will contribute to the hot conditions will be the near record hot temperatures about 4,000 feet above us. Additionally, strong cyclogenesis along the Front Range in Colorado will turn our winds out of the southwest between 10 to 15 mph. With southwesterly winds in place, compressional warming as the parcel descends will add a few degrees to our afternoon temperatures. The combination of the hot temperatures and moisture in place will yield heat index values that approach 104 degrees.
Sunday is unlikely to be as hot as Saturday, however, temperatures will still be in the mid to upper 90s with heat index values up to 102 degrees.
Heading into next week, much of the guidance has backed off on a potential West Coast trough sending impulses into the Southern Plains. Instead, we'll likely have to contend with strong ridging, prolonging the duration of the well above normal temperatures. At this time, precipitation chances remain below 10% through next weekend.
Hernandez
AVIATION
/NEW/ /06Z TAFs/
Low-level moisture wrapping around now Tropical Storm Francine has allowed MVFR cigs to overspread much of North and Central Texas.
MVFR cigs will persist through the overnight and into Thursday morning before lifting and clearing out by 15Z-16Z. There is a low 20-30% chance for brief, intermittent IFR cigs for a few hours early Thursday morning. Very light, spotty rain showers may bring reduced visibilities through the overnight, and a VCSH addition may be needed. Influence from Francine will allow for light ENE surface winds through much of the TAF period shifting more ESE Thursday evening.
Langfeld
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 88 68 95 75 98 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 89 66 96 74 98 / 0 0 0 0 5 Paris 86 62 91 68 95 / 10 0 0 0 0 Denton 88 64 95 72 99 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 88 64 94 72 98 / 5 0 0 0 0 Dallas 89 67 95 75 100 / 5 0 0 0 0 Terrell 87 63 94 72 98 / 10 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 87 66 95 74 98 / 5 0 0 0 0 Temple 89 65 96 72 98 / 0 0 0 0 5 Mineral Wells 87 65 96 72 99 / 0 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KLUD
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KLUD
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KLUD
Wind History graph: LUD
(wind in knots)
Dallas/Fort Worth, TX,
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