New Hope, MS Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for New Hope, MS

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June 8, 2023 1:41 PM CDT (18:41 UTC)
Sunrise 5:41AM   Sunset 8:03PM   Moonrise  12:00AM   Moonset 10:21AM 

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Hope, MS
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location: 33.38, -88.4

Area Discussion for - Jackson, MS
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Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Jackson MS 1249 PM CDT Thu Jun 8 2023


Issued at 1043 AM CDT Thu Jun 8 2023

Took an early run at the forecast out through the day on Friday, with no drastic changes to the current forecast or reasoning.
Looking at water vapor satellite imagery this morning, a vorticity maximum dropping southeast through central TX is helping to generate some morning convection there and into the offshore waters south of LA at this hour. A "cold" front dropping south through our region today is apparent with a weak surface trough of low pressure extending from southern GA into southern AR. A minimum in PWATs (1.0-1.2 inches) lies just south of this boundary, while 1.5+ inch values reside along the Gulf Coast and along portions of the cold front in northern MS/AR. Both these areas of better moisture content should more readily allow for showers and thunderstorms to develop this afternoon, with moderate instability along the front and best surface-based instability expected closer to the Gulf Coast. DCAPE is maximized in the driest air, which makes sense given the column sampled by this morning's KJAN 12Z sounding. Ingredients for microbursts are not favorably aligned, but with adequate heating, some stronger storms developing along the gradients of deeper moisture cannot be ruled out this afternoon. Satellite imagery this mornings shows some smoke drifting over our region, a few obs sites have maintained some haze, and regional air quality monitoring stations are reporting Moderate air quality conditions due to smoke in the air.
These hazy conditions should continue into the day tomorrow though forecasts show concentrations should gradually decrease with mixing. /NF/

Issued at 409 AM CDT Thu Jun 8 2023

Today and tonight:

Our region is squeezed between an upper ridge over the central plains and an upper low over the northeast and has resulted in persistent deep northwesterly flow which has allowed for seasonably warm temperatures. This should continue today with high temperatures likely reaching the low to mid 90s. A cold front attendant to the low pressure system in the northeast sweeps across the area from north to south this afternoon. Prefrontal dry air (PWAT >1 inch and dewpoints in the upper 50s and low 60s) will likely reduce severe potential and limit coverage. Still, thunderstorms should develop this afternoon aided by the cold front and diurnal heating and should generally stay concentrated near the front or to areas with greater moisture available. Additionally, some smoke associated with wildfires in Quebec should spread into the region behind the front and may create hazy conditions across northern areas. Scattered rain showers will likely continue tonight and into Friday morning aided by post frontal moisture./SAS/

Friday through Wednesday:

Come Friday our CWA will still be on the southwest periphery of a large closed low centered over the New England states with a stalled backdoor cold front nearly into central Mississippi. This will result in cooler and drier air over out northeast that will limit convection while a warm moist airmass continues over the southwest half of our CWA. The stalled boundary will remain the focus for mainly diurnally driven convection that will flare up during the afternoon and dissipate during the early evening hours.
Saturday an upper level disturbance within the northwest flow aloft will be dropping over the central Plains while our stalled front lifts back to the northeast placing our whole CWA back into a warm moist airmass. The upper level disturbance is expected to develop vigorous convection upstream of our CWA Saturday afternoon that may survive moving into the western portions of our CWA by late afternoon and evening. Isolated severe storms capable of damaging wind gusts and hail will be possible generally over the southwest half of our CWA late Saturday afternoon and evening.
This potential for severe development will wain through the evening with the loss of daytime heating. By Sunday morning the upper level disturbance will be shifting east of Mississippi but a potent shortwave dropping out of Canada will help develop another closed low over the Great Lakes region by Sunday afternoon. This closed low will continue to deepen Sunday night into Monday and help support a cold front dropping into our northwest zones Sunday night that looks to clear our southeast zones by Monday evening.
It's possible a strong storm or two will develop along the cold front Monday before the front pushes south of our CWA. Models differ significantly Tuesday through Wednesday as mid level ridging tries to strengthen over our region from the southwest while the large closed low slowly shift northeast. It appears that the Monday cold front will lift back to the north Tuesday into Wednesday and serve as a focus for mostly diurnally driven convection. This will shift our greatest rain chances to the north and result in warmer temperatures each day going into the end of the week. /22/

(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1247 PM CDT Thu Jun 8 2023

VFR conditions should prevail at the TAF sites through the period, however some HZ or patchy BR around the region after 06Z Friday will pose some chance for MVFR conditions at a few sites. Isolated SHRA or TSRA are also expected around parts of the region today, however chances for thunder at any of the TAF sites were too low to include in the TAFs at this time. /NF/

Jackson 92 67 91 68 / 20 20 30 10 Meridian 93 65 89 65 / 20 20 20 0 Vicksburg 93 68 92 70 / 20 10 20 10 Hattiesburg 93 68 93 68 / 20 10 40 10 Natchez 92 68 92 69 / 20 10 30 10 Greenville 93 68 89 68 / 20 20 20 10 Greenwood 92 67 88 66 / 30 20 20 0


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KGTR GOLDEN TRIANGLE RGNL,MS 11 sm45 minN 0810 smClear88°F66°F49%29.81
KCBM COLUMBUS AFB,MS 19 sm1.8 hrsNW 0810 smPartly Cloudy82°F61°F48%29.78
KSTF GEORGE M BRYAN,MS 24 sm26 minNNE 0510 smA Few Clouds84°F68°F58%29.79

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Wind History from GTR (wind in knots)

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