Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Kennedy, AL

DISCUSSION
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 128 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2026

This afternoon satellite is indicating some developing cumulus fields along with ample mid/upper clouds as moisture increases ahead of an approaching cold front. A surface low pressure system is moving to the NE across the ERN 1/2 of Canada. As it does so, it will drag a frontal system SEWD across AL through tonight. We do have some light to moderate radar returns across portions of W TN/N MS ahead of it, along with a few lightning strikes. Hires guidance, is unfortunately not indicating very much in the way of QPF. There is a low to medium probability of 0.25 to 0.50 inch amounts of rain scattered about for some lucky folks in the NW and far WRN counties of C AL through tonight. However, most amounts expected are under 0.25 inch. So, while this won't put much dent in the drought, we will take what any amounts that we can get as our rivers are running well below normal flows. Behind this front, look for a nice cool down with below normal temps for Sun into Mon. Our airmass starts to moderate, warming back up as we head into mid week as the surface ridge slides E then SE with our low level flow turning back around.

Conditions will be breezy on Sun behind the front. Will be keeping an eye on this for fire weather concerns. ATTM, wind gusts probabilities look to taper down some before the lower RHs kick Sun afternoon. So, will forgo a red flag warning for now. Will take another look at it when the next round of guidance comes in for Sun.

Low to moderate probabilities are present in extended guidance for another shot at rain starting back on Fri with the approach of another cold front by next weekend.

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Previous discussion: (Saturday through next Friday)
Issued at 1044 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2026

Another fair and warm day is expected today, with afternoon highs climbing into the mid-80s. Thankfully, this pattern will finally begin to break down by the evening hours, as rain chances begin to increase ahead of the cold front. The bad news is, rainfall amounts still look meager at best, with amounts generally ranging between 0.25 and 0.5 inches through Sunday morning.

Temperatures still look to drop some 15-20 degrees behind the cold front, with afternoon highs on Sunday ranging in the upper-60s and low-70s. Given the stiff winds behind the front, and very low RH values, we may push Red Flag Warning criteria is some locations.
However, that will need further tuning through the day tomorrow.
Otherwise, the rest of the week is "more of the same" as a slight ridge builds back into the area. Afternoon highs will begin to climb, reaching the mid-80s once more come Thursday, and the only chance for rain appearing to be next weekend.

/44/

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1255 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2026

Except for a some areas of MVFR cigs across the SE portions of C AL, all other sites are VFR ATTM. SHRA will develop ahead of a surface front this afternoon in MS and move across C AL late this afternoon into the overnight hours. TS probability is not zero but too low to mention in any of the TAFs ATTM. Will stick with just SHRA for now along with some accompanying MVFR cigs with it at times. NRLY winds will be breezy behind the front into Sun morning.

***Note: Spring seasonal issuance of KASN TAF runs from 04/19 00z through 04/29 18z issuances.***

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FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1208 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2026

Fire weather conditions will remain elevated into today, with fuels remaining critically dry. Rain chances will increase this evening into Sunday, but it won't be the drought busting rain that we desperately need. Winds will be strong over the weekend as well, as a cold front moves through the region, before decreasing into Monday and Tuesday. From here, low MinRH values are expected for much of the week, ranging in the low to mid-20%'s.

CLIMATE
Issued at 1208 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2026

Record High Temperatures:

April 18: KBHM: 91/2006 KEET: 90/2006 KANB: 90/1955 KMGM: 91/2006

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 44 68 40 75 / 80 0 0 0 Anniston 47 69 41 75 / 80 0 0 0 Birmingham 48 69 45 77 / 80 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 47 72 44 79 / 80 0 0 0 Calera 48 71 43 78 / 80 0 0 0 Auburn 51 69 48 77 / 50 20 0 0 Montgomery 50 71 44 79 / 50 20 0 0 Troy 50 70 45 78 / 40 20 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.