Kennedy, AL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Kennedy, AL

April 16, 2024 3:46 PM CDT (20:46 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:19 AM   Sunset 7:26 PM
Moonrise 12:52 PM   Moonset 2:47 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kennedy, AL
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Area Discussion for - Birmingham, AL
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FXUS64 KBMX 162037 AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 337 PM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024

New LONG TERM

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 1207 PM CDT TUE APR 16 2024

Morning clouds have finally mixed out which has allowed for a window of sunshine which should stick around this afternoon.
We'll warm nicely with highs in the low to mid 80s with passing mid-high clouds. Winds will remain southerly at 5-10 mph with low-level ridging parked to our southeast.

Conditions will calm tonight, though clouds will be on the increase from the west as a weakening front and line of convection nears the Tennessee Valley. Lows will settle in the 60s. This line of decaying convection is forecast to move into Central Alabama during the early morning hours, progressing southeast toward the I-20 corridor by Noon or so. Instability parameters remain on the marginal side (500-1,000 J/kg SBCAPE) despite sufficient westerly shear vectors for organized storms. Forcing is also quite low, with little convergence in the low-levels and best support aloft well to our north. Thunderstorms remain in the forecast, though we're not expecting any meaningful threat for severe weather due to the lack of overlapping forcing & instability.

40/Sizemore

LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 258 PM CDT TUE APR 16 2024

A weakening upper air trof axis will sink southward and become stationary over north Alabama Wednesday evening. There will likely be isolated showers or thunderstorms Wednesday evening, dissipating before midnight. An elevated warm front could bring scattered showers and thunderstorms to north Alabama Thursday afternoon and evening. There is just enough conditional instability for stronger storms, but 0-6KM bulk shear is forecast to be less than 30 knots.
Any storm that develops will be discrete, but overall severe threat looks low. Scattered to numerous showers and a few storms will linger overnight Thursday as a cold front approaches northwest Alabama on Friday. Conditions on Friday look similar to Thursday, so an isolated strong to severe storm not out of the question. By Saturday morning, the cold front should make it into far south Alabama. Several upper level impulses will track along the Gulf Coast over the weekend. The ECMWF model is showing much more rainfall amounts than the GFS, but decent areal coverage regardless. The post-frontal air mass will result in mostly showers north of I-85, with isolated storms across south Alabama.
The rain should clear out Sunday night.

58/rose

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1207 PM CDT TUE APR 16 2024

Morning IFR conditions have improved with low cigs mixing out across Central Alabama. A few clouds around 025 remain with upper cirrus. Winds will remain southerly at 5-10 kts this afternoon, with gusts ~15 kts. VFR conditions are forecast through much of the TAF period, though will monitor for patchy FG near TOI, perhaps MGM after ~09z - I included a TEMPO for TOI.

Clouds will be on the increase from the west after ~12z with a front nearing the region from the northwest. We'll see MVFR cig potential at TCL and perhaps BHM after ~15z with nearby SHRA. It appears TSRA could impact these terminals closer to ~18z (next TAF period). Winds will favor southerly to southwesterly at 5-10 kts tomorrow afternoon, ahead of the weakening front.

40/Sizemore

FIRE WEATHER

Rain free conditions expected overnight with max RH values 75-85% east of I-65 and 85-95% west of I-65. A band of showers and a few thunderstorms will impact north Alabama on Wednesday, with forecast rainfall amounts one-quarter to one-half inch. Min RH values on Wednesday 60-70% along and north of I-20 and 45-55% south of I-20. Rain chances will continue through the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 61 78 59 85 / 10 50 20 20 Anniston 60 79 60 84 / 10 40 20 20 Birmingham 64 78 62 85 / 10 50 20 20 Tuscaloosa 63 79 63 84 / 10 50 20 20 Calera 62 79 62 83 / 0 40 20 20 Auburn 62 80 63 84 / 0 10 10 10 Montgomery 60 82 63 84 / 0 10 10 10 Troy 59 83 63 84 / 0 10 0 10

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.




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