Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Kennedy, AL
 | Sunrise 5:52 AM Sunset 7:47 PM Moonrise 9:07 PM Moonset 6:06 AM |
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kennedy, AL
NEW! Add second zone forecast
FXUS64 KBMX 131828 AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 128 PM CDT Tue May 13 2025
New LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 115 PM CDT TUE MAY 13 2025
The ever-present closed low that has been a nuisance over the Deep South over the past several days is finally making an exit to our north and west. Before the system finally departs, we'll have some lingering showers and storms to deal with through the rest of the afternoon and into this evening. Mid to upper level shortwave energy rotating around the southern side of the closed low will provide additional lift and 0-6km shear will remain around 30 to 35 knots. The northern half of the CWA has been stable so far today, with only stratiform rain and plenty of cloud cover while the southern half has seen plenty of sunshine. The first storms of the day have developed across Sumter and Greene Counties within the more unstable environment, and we're expecting coverage of storms to increase through the rest of the afternoon. The stratiform rain and clouds across the north are forecast by a majority of the CAMs to eventually mix out through 4pm with additional storms firing north of the I-20 corridor. We're a little skeptical in this solution at the moment, as the coverage of rain and clouds is persisting longer than the CAMs have anticipated. If storms are able to eventually develop, gusty winds and hail will once again be the main hazards with any stronger storms, with a few marginally severe storms not out of the question. A Marginal Risk for severe storms will remain in place across a good portion of the CWA through 10pm tonight. With an overall veering of surface winds and the overall mean flow from the west and northwest, storm movement will be easterly to southeasterly this afternoon and evening. Temperatures will stay on the cooler side across northwest counties in the lower 70s, while I-85 south should top out in the lower 80s with a good dose of sunshine.
Rain chances will diminish overnight as the low continues to move off to the northeast and weaken with time as a kicker shortwave trough dives southward into the Desert Southwest. Chance PoPs were kept in across northeast counties and locations such as Gadsden, Centre, Heflin, and Anniston after midnight for the possibility of additional bands of lingering showers developing closer to the low. Otherwise most locations should stay dry tonight as temperatures drop into the lower 60s. Upper level ridging will begin on Wednesday as temperatures heat up, but we could catch the southwestern fringe of a weak upper level shortwave moving southeast across the Tennessee Valley. Low PoPs remain in the forecast roughly along and north/east of a line from Double Springs to Birmingham, to Wedowee for a few showers or storms during the day. Strong warm air advection and a breezy southwesterly flow at the surface (gusts over 20mph in the afternoon) will send temperatures into the mid and upper 80s Wednesday afternoon under partly cloudy skies.
56/GDG
LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 120 PM CDT TUE MAY 13 2025
Warmer and drier conditions are expected on Thursday and Friday as mid-level ridging builds across the region in the wake of the departing upper-level low. Highs will reach the upper 80s to lower 90s. PoPs continue to increase for the forecast this weekend, particularly Friday night into Saturday as the ridge flattens out and a weak northeast to southwest oriented cold front moves into the area. Mid-level flow will take on more of a westerly orientation, and could see some strong storms move from the Midsouth region into the warm air over Central Alabama, perhaps supporting a low- end severe risk. The front stalls over the area and maintains elevated rain chances into Sunday then the ridge looks to reamplify early next week with chances for rain becoming more diurnally driven and isolated to scattered in coverage.
86/Martin
Previous long-term discussion: (Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 146 AM CDT TUE MAY 13 2025
Upper level ridging and high pressure will be over the area for Thursday. The area should be dry, with probably the only day of little to no precip chances in the forecast. By Friday afternoon, a low pressure system will strengthen over the Ohio Valley, with a front draped over the area. Models differ on how far south the boundary will cause convection, but with a minimal amount of instability and shear increasing along a mid level jet, thunderstorms are possible, especially across the northern areas.
Saturday and Sunday, a ridge starts to develop over the Gulf with a couple of shortwaves moving through the south. Showers and thunderstorms are possible each day, mainly with the day's heating in the afternoon through the evening. By Monday, the ridge strengthens with flow turning to the west. Activity should be possible around this high, with the bulk of convection basically skirting our area for now.
24
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 115 PM CDT TUE MAY 13 2025
VFR conditions are being observed at all terminals, and that is forecast to continue through the afternoon. However, SHRA/TSRA development will occur once again, and will affect TCL in the short-term, and perhaps EET and BHM over the next few hours.
Expect amendments to potentially include TEMPO or prevailing TSRA at some sites through 00z this evening. Variably gusty winds with rapid reduction in visibility will be likely as a storm passes over a terminal location. SHRA/TSRA coverage will drop overnight tonight with mainly VFR conditions prevailing. Patchy fog formation will be possible, but forecast confidence isn't high enough at this time to include mention of vis reductions. Trends and observations will be monitored for potential forecast updates. No aviation impacts are expected during the day on Wednesday. Surface winds today will be westerly to southwesterly under 10 knots and becoming variable or calm overnight. An increase in surface winds is expected through 18z Wednesday, prevailing 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots.
56/GDG
FIRE WEATHER
Moisture and rain chances will remain high across much of the region today before a drying trend begins across the area on Wednesday. Minimum relatively humidity values will still remain well above critical thresholds, ranging from 45 to 50% on Wednesday and Thursday. Southwesterly 20ft winds will range from 5 to 8 mph today and 8 to 12 mph tomorrow. This southwesterly orientation looks to persist through the end of the week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 59 84 62 89 / 40 20 0 0 Anniston 61 85 64 89 / 40 20 0 0 Birmingham 62 85 65 89 / 30 20 0 0 Tuscaloosa 63 87 65 90 / 20 10 0 0 Calera 62 85 65 88 / 20 10 0 0 Auburn 62 85 64 87 / 20 10 0 0 Montgomery 63 88 64 91 / 10 10 0 0 Troy 61 88 64 90 / 10 10 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 128 PM CDT Tue May 13 2025
New LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 115 PM CDT TUE MAY 13 2025
The ever-present closed low that has been a nuisance over the Deep South over the past several days is finally making an exit to our north and west. Before the system finally departs, we'll have some lingering showers and storms to deal with through the rest of the afternoon and into this evening. Mid to upper level shortwave energy rotating around the southern side of the closed low will provide additional lift and 0-6km shear will remain around 30 to 35 knots. The northern half of the CWA has been stable so far today, with only stratiform rain and plenty of cloud cover while the southern half has seen plenty of sunshine. The first storms of the day have developed across Sumter and Greene Counties within the more unstable environment, and we're expecting coverage of storms to increase through the rest of the afternoon. The stratiform rain and clouds across the north are forecast by a majority of the CAMs to eventually mix out through 4pm with additional storms firing north of the I-20 corridor. We're a little skeptical in this solution at the moment, as the coverage of rain and clouds is persisting longer than the CAMs have anticipated. If storms are able to eventually develop, gusty winds and hail will once again be the main hazards with any stronger storms, with a few marginally severe storms not out of the question. A Marginal Risk for severe storms will remain in place across a good portion of the CWA through 10pm tonight. With an overall veering of surface winds and the overall mean flow from the west and northwest, storm movement will be easterly to southeasterly this afternoon and evening. Temperatures will stay on the cooler side across northwest counties in the lower 70s, while I-85 south should top out in the lower 80s with a good dose of sunshine.
Rain chances will diminish overnight as the low continues to move off to the northeast and weaken with time as a kicker shortwave trough dives southward into the Desert Southwest. Chance PoPs were kept in across northeast counties and locations such as Gadsden, Centre, Heflin, and Anniston after midnight for the possibility of additional bands of lingering showers developing closer to the low. Otherwise most locations should stay dry tonight as temperatures drop into the lower 60s. Upper level ridging will begin on Wednesday as temperatures heat up, but we could catch the southwestern fringe of a weak upper level shortwave moving southeast across the Tennessee Valley. Low PoPs remain in the forecast roughly along and north/east of a line from Double Springs to Birmingham, to Wedowee for a few showers or storms during the day. Strong warm air advection and a breezy southwesterly flow at the surface (gusts over 20mph in the afternoon) will send temperatures into the mid and upper 80s Wednesday afternoon under partly cloudy skies.
56/GDG
LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 120 PM CDT TUE MAY 13 2025
Warmer and drier conditions are expected on Thursday and Friday as mid-level ridging builds across the region in the wake of the departing upper-level low. Highs will reach the upper 80s to lower 90s. PoPs continue to increase for the forecast this weekend, particularly Friday night into Saturday as the ridge flattens out and a weak northeast to southwest oriented cold front moves into the area. Mid-level flow will take on more of a westerly orientation, and could see some strong storms move from the Midsouth region into the warm air over Central Alabama, perhaps supporting a low- end severe risk. The front stalls over the area and maintains elevated rain chances into Sunday then the ridge looks to reamplify early next week with chances for rain becoming more diurnally driven and isolated to scattered in coverage.
86/Martin
Previous long-term discussion: (Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 146 AM CDT TUE MAY 13 2025
Upper level ridging and high pressure will be over the area for Thursday. The area should be dry, with probably the only day of little to no precip chances in the forecast. By Friday afternoon, a low pressure system will strengthen over the Ohio Valley, with a front draped over the area. Models differ on how far south the boundary will cause convection, but with a minimal amount of instability and shear increasing along a mid level jet, thunderstorms are possible, especially across the northern areas.
Saturday and Sunday, a ridge starts to develop over the Gulf with a couple of shortwaves moving through the south. Showers and thunderstorms are possible each day, mainly with the day's heating in the afternoon through the evening. By Monday, the ridge strengthens with flow turning to the west. Activity should be possible around this high, with the bulk of convection basically skirting our area for now.
24
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 115 PM CDT TUE MAY 13 2025
VFR conditions are being observed at all terminals, and that is forecast to continue through the afternoon. However, SHRA/TSRA development will occur once again, and will affect TCL in the short-term, and perhaps EET and BHM over the next few hours.
Expect amendments to potentially include TEMPO or prevailing TSRA at some sites through 00z this evening. Variably gusty winds with rapid reduction in visibility will be likely as a storm passes over a terminal location. SHRA/TSRA coverage will drop overnight tonight with mainly VFR conditions prevailing. Patchy fog formation will be possible, but forecast confidence isn't high enough at this time to include mention of vis reductions. Trends and observations will be monitored for potential forecast updates. No aviation impacts are expected during the day on Wednesday. Surface winds today will be westerly to southwesterly under 10 knots and becoming variable or calm overnight. An increase in surface winds is expected through 18z Wednesday, prevailing 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots.
56/GDG
FIRE WEATHER
Moisture and rain chances will remain high across much of the region today before a drying trend begins across the area on Wednesday. Minimum relatively humidity values will still remain well above critical thresholds, ranging from 45 to 50% on Wednesday and Thursday. Southwesterly 20ft winds will range from 5 to 8 mph today and 8 to 12 mph tomorrow. This southwesterly orientation looks to persist through the end of the week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 59 84 62 89 / 40 20 0 0 Anniston 61 85 64 89 / 40 20 0 0 Birmingham 62 85 65 89 / 30 20 0 0 Tuscaloosa 63 87 65 90 / 20 10 0 0 Calera 62 85 65 88 / 20 10 0 0 Auburn 62 85 64 87 / 20 10 0 0 Montgomery 63 88 64 91 / 10 10 0 0 Troy 61 88 64 90 / 10 10 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KCBM
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KCBM
Wind History Graph: CBM
(wind in knots)
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