Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Laguna Beach, CA

DISCUSSION
FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES...

New Aviation and Marine Discussion...

As of 2:00 PM PDT, satellite depicts mostly clear skies with an isolated patch of cirrus clouds. Temperatures are running 5 to 10 degrees warmer than yesterday inland, reaching into the mid-to-upper 80s through the Inland Empire and the upper 70s/low 80s for inland areas of San Diego and Orange Counties. Most of the lowlands are experiencing a typical May sea breeze. The San Diego to Tonopah pressure gradient has remained constant at around -5 mbs, yielding to offshore flow (N/NE winds) and lower humidity through most of the Inland Empire and in the mountains. As a result, relative humidities are 10-20% in the mountains and 15-30% through the Inland Empire.

The sea breeze boundary will push eastward through the foothills and mountains this afternoon, increasing humidities this evening through the boundary layer - below 3000-400 feet elevation. This morning's sounding showed a marine layer thickness of around 2500 feet deep, and with similar 700-mb heights, the marine layer should settle to a similar depth tonight, where humidities will mostly recover above 50% overnight (80% closer to the coast). Clouds will struggle to develop, however, and should be restricted to coastal San Diego County should any clouds develop (65-75% chance).

While 500-mb heights don't change much, the weak surface high pressure in the Great Basin creating offshore flow will continue to move eastward. Temperatures will warm in the deserts through Thursday, which will increase the onshore pressure gradient and enhance the sea breeze. The marine layer will gradually deepen each day, with higher chances for more broad coverage into the Inland Empire Thursday morning.

While there isn't a strong temperature trend this week, temperatures peak Wednesday for inland areas (mid-80s - low 90s) and Thursday through the low deserts (approaching 100 degrees).

.LONG TERM (Friday through Monday)...

Temperatures in the mountains and deserts look to remain relatively constant through next Monday. At the coast and through the inland valleys, temperatures look to gradually decrease a degree or two each day through Sunday, with perhaps a steeper decrease in temperatures Monday onward, contingent upon a trough digging deep from the Pacific Northwest into Southern California. Based on WPC 500-mb clusters, about 30% of ensemble runs are converging on this solution, while others build a ridge to the northwest, though keeping heights above Southern California around normal for this time of year.

AVIATION
200430Z...Mostly clear skies expected over most of the area through the TAF period with the exception to southern coastal San Diego, up to 20 miles inland. Low clouds are expected to move inland after 09- 10Z, increasing in coverage through 14-15Z with bases around 1000- 2000ft MSL. Low clouds are expected to clear after 16-17Z.

everywhere else, VFR conditions expected through the TAF period.

MARINE
No hazardous marine conditions are expected through Sunday morning.

SKYWARN
Skywarn activation is not requested. However weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions.



SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None.
PZ...None.