Saturday, January25, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Pell City, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:43AMSunset 5:09PM Saturday January 25, 2020 7:24 AM CST (13:24 UTC) Moonrise 8:27AMMoonset 6:59PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pell City, AL
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location: 33.61, -86.29     debug


Area Discussion for - Birmingham, AL
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FXUS64 KBMX 251153 AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 553 AM CST Sat Jan 25 2020

UPDATE. For 12Z Aviation.

SHORT TERM. /Updated at 0300 AM CST Sat Jan 25 2020/

Through Sunday.

High pressure will build into the area today. However the stubborn upper level low must exit across the north. Until it does later this afternoon, look for low clouds to persist across the north Clouds will keep the north in the 40 to low 50s. A mix of clouds and sun will allow the south to warm up into the low to mid 50s. A cool night on tap tonight, but not perfect radiational cooling so look for lows in the low to mid 30s.

As we work into Sunday, a gulf low will swing eastward and will help increase clouds during the morning. As the day progresses, we will see the clouds continue to slide north and east as we begin to saturate across the area. Look for rain chances to increase across the southwest with the influx of the moisture from the south. The better chances will be Sunday night and will be discussed in the extended. Highs on Sunday will be in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

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LONG TERM. /Updated at 0300 AM CST Sat Jan 25 2020/

Sunday evening through Monday night.

A northern stream shortwave trough will continue an east- southeastward trajectory toward the Lower Mississippi River Valley on Sunday, generally becoming more phased with and complimentary to a southern stream perturbation. This will continue an already ongoing trend of increasing rain chances as the mid and lower troposphere become more saturated. Areas of light rain, possibly some light shower activity, will continue from west to east into Monday morning. Forecast soundings suggest a surface-based moist layer up to ~1 km into early Monday afternoon, so carried patchy drizzle through Noon despite the decreasing PoP trend. Have no mentionable PoPs for Monday afternoon, though low overcast and drizzle may continue until drier air can advect back into the area.

Tuesday through Friday.

A broad, complex upper-level pattern appears likely to continue into the long-term forecast period. Rain chances will come and go during this time, owing to the timing of any shortwave trough that enters our region. There are consistent signs another shortwave ejects from the Four Corners region into the Southern Plains By Tuesday morning. This disturbance will likely bring another chance of light rain to Central Alabama late Tuesday and into Wednesday. Have truncated PoPs to 30-40% until better timing and other details can be resolved until then.

Thereafter, little forecast confidence exists on any one particular solution toward mid/late next week. An active pattern will likely yield yet another system by late-week and into the weekend, however. Global models depicts this next trough/disturbance with more amplification & resultant poleward extent of quality moisture. Increased PoPs have been placed in the forecast later Thursday through early Saturday as a result of latest trends suggestive of a more moderate rainfall event. Again, PoPs are truncated to ~40% as this remains a low confidence forecast until we get closer to this time. Temperature trends for the entire forecast period remain quite seasonable with highs in the 50s, and lows in the 30s & 40s.

40/Sizemore

AVIATION. 12Z TAF Discussion.

Upper low swinging slowly through the north this morning. Ceilings have remained around 3000 to 4000 feet, generally VFR for TAF sites this morning. There still could be a drop to MVFR ceilings this morning through 16z so included a TEMPO for the northern sites. Skies clear in the north finally after 18z and we will see VFR for the rest of the cycle. Clouds could increase again by 12z in the west but will leave out for now and focus on the initial 6 hours.

16

FIRE WEATHER.

Northwest winds, becoming more westerly at 5-10 mph, are expected throughout today with a south to north distribution of cloud cover, at least into the afternoon. Dry weather will stick around today, though another chance of light rain moves in from the west by Sunday afternoon. Recent rainfall and seasonable temperatures will help maintain relative humidity values >40% into next week where another chance of rain possibly affecting Central Alabama by Wednesday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Gadsden 49 31 52 42 54 / 0 0 20 60 20 Anniston 50 32 54 43 55 / 0 0 20 50 20 Birmingham 50 35 54 45 56 / 0 0 20 60 10 Tuscaloosa 54 37 55 46 58 / 0 0 40 60 10 Calera 52 34 54 44 56 / 0 0 20 60 10 Auburn 52 35 55 44 55 / 0 0 20 50 10 Montgomery 55 36 57 45 60 / 0 0 20 60 10 Troy 56 37 57 45 60 / 0 0 20 50 10

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES/. None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Anniston Metro Airport, AL23 mi31 minN 010.00 miFair31°F28°F92%1020.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KANB

Wind History from ANB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN3CalmSW6W9SW11SW6SW8SW12
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1 day agoE10E9NE8E8NE6NE6E7E10E6E7NE8NE9NE7NE7NE9NE8NE7
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2 days agoNE4E8NE6NE5NE5E6E75NE4CalmNE3NE3NE6N5E7E8E8
G16
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Birmingham, AL (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Birmingham, AL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.