Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Forestbrook, SC

KEY MESSAGES
1) The drought continues.

DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...The drought continues.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... By far the biggest story continues to be the lack of appreciable rain chances during the next several days. A front will be dropping in from the north on Monday but guidance has been trending increasingly pessimistic regarding its ability to produce much rainfall. As the post-frontal high moves offshore there may also be some minor rain chances on Tuesday or even Wednesday but with the mid level ridge making a comeback this looks rather dubious. Also, heat index values peak on Monday in the upper 90s to perhaps a few 100 degree values, well below any headline thresholds.

AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Winds will decrease to ~5 kts tonight before becoming ~10 kts by sunrise Saturday. Another afternoon sea breeze will increase gusts to ~20 kts with some alto cu possible.

Extended Forecast... VFR to generally prevail outside of a low risk for shallow early morning fog as early as Sun aftn. A low to moderate risk for restrictions from showers/storms is expected Mon as a weak cold front impacts the area, possibly lingering into Tue.

MARINE
Tonight through Wednesday... Easterly swells will increasingly become less dominant in the very near term as high pressure moves offshore and weak Piedmont trough develops Saturday. SW winds to continue until being disrupted by a cold front approaching from the N on Monday. Tough to say what winds Monday and Tuesday may bring as it will hinge on the uncertain position at which the boundary stalls. Southerly flow should return later Tuesday though as the front lifts back to the north while dissipating.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.