Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Preston, TX

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 445 PM CST Thu Feb 12 2026

Cool and pleasant conditions are expected this evening and tonight as temperatures fall into the mid and upper-50s. At the surface, persistent southerly flow will continue through the overnight hours helping to draw up boundary layer moisture from the gulf. As such, an area of coastal stratus looks to nudge northward into Central Texas and the Brazos Valley by daybreak Friday morning.
Just ahead of this cloud deck, patchy fog may develop thanks to the aforementioned moisture advection and sufficient radiative cooling. While most in this area will likely only see cloudy morning skies, more sheltered/fog prone areas in addition to locations that remain generally cloud free overnight may see visibilities drop into the 1-2 mile range due to fog, particularly between 5 AM and 8 AM.

Friday, expect skies to become increasingly cloudy as our next storm system approaches from the west. Though most will remain dry during the day, isolated rain showers (20-30% chance) are possible Friday afternoon north of the I-20 corridor.

LONG TERM
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 105 PM CST Thu Feb 12 2026

A potent upper level trough will sweep eastward through the Southwest CONUS and northern Mexico through Friday night, eventually reaching West Texas on Saturday. As large scale ascent overspreads the region as the system approaches, widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms are expected to develop across western portions of the state Friday night and will gradually move east through the forecast area on Saturday. One final round of showers and storms may develop Saturday afternoon ahead of a cold front, perhaps just to our west. This round would move through the forecast area late Saturday afternoon through the evening hours, with most of the precipitation ending from west to east late in the evening. There could be a few lingering showers and storms on the backside of the system as the upper trough makes its final departure, but all activity will exit to the east by Sunday morning.

Most of the region will receive beneficial rainfall with this system, with rainfall totals still expected to be between 0.5 and 1.5 inches on average. Isolated totals in excess of 2" will be possible, mainly for areas east of the I-35 corridor. We'll have to monitor the threat for minor flooding for any areas that see localized heavy rain, especially in urban and low-lying areas.
Most of the rain that's expected will be quite welcome though following our prolonged period of below normal precipitation.

Not much has changed regarding the potential for strong to severe storms. It still looks like there will be an isolated, conditional threat Saturday afternoon, but this is contingent upon whether we destabilize and when the late afternoon/evening storms develop and move through the region. It's possible these things will not align optimally to support much of a strong/severe threat, but we'll have to monitor this potential now that we're starting to get within range of hi-resolution guidance/CAMs. If a threat for strong to severe storms does materialize, the main threats would be hail and gusty winds.

Beyond the weekend system, slightly cooler temperatures are expected on Sunday with highs in the mid 60s to low 70s.
Temperatures will quickly rebound into the 70s and low 80s early next week, with above normal temperatures continuing for the foreseeable future.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 445 PM CST Thu Feb 12 2026

Low stratus/fog will nudge northward into Central Texas after 09Z tonight. While cloud ceilings should lift to VFR levels before reaching KACT, there is a narrow window between 14Z and 17Z where there is a low chance (20%) for MVFR ceilings at the terminal area. Any fog should remain southeast of KACT. Despite increasing cloud cover throughout the day on Friday, VFR conditions and south flow at 5-10 knots should prevail at all TAF sites.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 75 55 79 62 / 0 0 10 60 Waco 78 57 78 62 / 0 0 0 40 Paris 69 49 74 59 / 0 10 20 50 Denton 73 53 79 59 / 0 0 20 70 McKinney 71 53 78 61 / 0 10 20 60 Dallas 75 56 79 62 / 0 0 10 60 Terrell 73 54 79 61 / 0 0 10 50 Corsicana 75 58 80 63 / 0 0 10 30 Temple 79 58 79 62 / 0 0 0 40 Mineral Wells 77 54 80 59 / 0 0 10 80

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.