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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Oak Island, NC

June 25, 2024 11:47 AM EDT (15:47 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:00 AM   Sunset 8:29 PM
Moonrise 10:44 PM   Moonset 8:39 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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AMZ252 Coastal Waters From Cape Fear Nc To Little River Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 856 Am Edt Tue Jun 25 2024

Rest of today - N winds 5 kt, becoming E late this morning and early afternoon, then becoming 10 kt late. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 7 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms late this morning and afternoon.

Tonight - SE winds 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 6 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms.

Wed - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 5 seconds and se 2 ft at 10 seconds. A slight chance of tstms in the morning. A slight chance of showers.

Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 10 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms after midnight.

Thu - SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 5 seconds and E 2 ft at 7 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms.

Thu night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 6 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms.

Fri - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.

Fri night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.

Sat - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.

Sat night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ200 856 Am Edt Tue Jun 25 2024

Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles - A weak front stalled near the area will maintain a chance for showers and Thunderstorms for the next few days. Atlantic high pressure will bring southerly winds for the latter half of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oak Island, NC
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Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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907 FXUS62 KILM 251301 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 901 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

SYNOPSIS
A cold front will be stalled in the area today before lifting back to the north on Wednesday. Very hot conditions will continue all week, an upper disturbance bringing widespread showers and storms on Thursday.

UPDATE
Patchy dense over portions on Southeast North Carolina is dissipating and visibilities are now over 3 miles and mention of fog has been removed from forecast. Otherwise, only minor changes.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
A cold front currently west of the I-95 corridor will attempt to push through the forecast area this morning. Models continue to suggest this front will make it to the coast and just offshore before retreating westward this afternoon. However, the lack of movement over the last several hours and the arrival of easterly flow this morning are likely to initially push the weak front westward, if at all. The latest forecast update will keep all of coastal NC/SC in the oppressive pre-frontal air mass with the front making no additional eastward progress.

Onshore flow today will maintain humid conditions near the coast with areas along and west of I-95 staying hot, but much less humid.
Partial thicknesses will be similar to yesterday and we should see widespread temperatures in the upper 90s to near 100, especially inland SC. High temperatures are a little tricky due to guidance struggling with the position of a weak cold front. Regardless, dew points will be a degree or two lower in a drier mixed layer this afternoon. Onshore flow near the coast will keep temperatures slightly cooler than yesterday, but the added humidity will offer little relief.

Isolated showers and storms are expected along the coast this afternoon where low level convergence and instability will be best.
The best chance of seeing a storm will be in extreme southeastern NC and areas east of I-95 in SC. Warm and humid overnight with most of the area in the mid 70s. This will set up a very hot day on Wednesday.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
Dewpoints will be back into the mid/upper 70s on Wednesday as the front that brought Tuesday`s minor reprieve lifts back to the north.
Despite the heat and humidity there will be no widespread forcing for ascent and convection will remain rather isolated in nature, likely driven by mesoscale boundaries. This changes on Thursday as our WNW mid level flow pushes a few vorticity centers across the area. The mid level forcing combined with continued ample instability should favor scattered to numerous mainly afternoon thunderstorms. Weak shear should not support any organized severe weather threats. Both afternoons appear to be candidates for a Heat Advisory for areas away from the immediate coast though Thursday`s more widespread storms could hamper the heat compares to Wed.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
The highlight of the long term will be the continuation of above normal temperatures through at least Sunday. Rain chances will be elevated above normal on Friday as Thursday`s front will still be meandering around. And like Thursday this could make some areas fall short of Heat Advisory criteria while other areas get there. Over the weekend as rain chances decrease areas away from the beaches should attain criteria in a more widespread manner ahead of the cold front that may arrive on Monday.

AVIATION /13Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Low clouds and fog associated with NE winds will impact the NC terminals this morning with a higher impact for coastal areas.
Near minimums along the coast for an hour or two after sunrise with rapid improvement thereafter. Pockets of IFR likely to disperse between 13-14Z as winds become more easterly. VFR will dominate today for all areas. Isolated thunderstorms expected this afternoon, mainly in coastal SC and extreme southeastern NC.

Extended Outlook...VFR should prevail outside of periodic MVFR/IFR during diurnal showers/thunderstorms plus spotty morning low clouds/fog.

MARINE
Through Tonight... Showers and thunderstorms continue this morning as outflow driven convection pushes offshore. Easterly flow develops today as high pressure settles to our north and the cold front retreats inland. Onshore flow will be enhanced this afternoon as onshore temperatures soar into 90s. Winds will generally be in around 10-15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots near the coast. Seas gradually improve this evening from 3-4 feet today to 2-3 feet tonight, but the addition of a easterly wind wave will maintain an unsettled sea state into Wednesday.

Wednesday through Saturday... Front from the near term washes back north/weakens by Wed and southerly flow returns. A small SE swell will mix in the the southerly wind wave yielding a general 2-3 ft forecast. A front dropping into the area on Thursday will not have much of an effect on wind or seas. A weak boundary dropping in and stalling Friday will bring lighter winds with some variability to the still predominantly south wind. That is, flow may vary from SW to SE. This boundary should be gone by Saturday but return flow never really strengthens so expect southerly winds capped at 10kt and the swell/chop mix to keep on at 2-3 ft total.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
41108 13 mi48 min 81°F 81°F5 ft
MBIN7 17 mi54 minSSW 6G9.9 80°F 29.9777°F
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 22 mi40 minSSE 7.8G14 80°F 83°F29.9676°F
MBNN7 23 mi48 minSSW 4.1G8 81°F 29.9678°F
WLON7 23 mi48 min 83°F29.96
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 25 mi40 minSW 7.8G9.7 79°F 80°F30.0174°F
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 25 mi52 min 81°F4 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 26 mi48 minS 8.9G12 80°F 81°F29.97
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 38 mi40 minSW 9.7G12 79°F 80°F29.9873°F
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC 48 mi48 minSSE 14G18 81°F 83°F29.97


Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KSUT CAPE FEAR RGNL JETPORT/HOWIE FRANKLIN FLD,NC 1 sm17 minSE 0410 smMostly Cloudy84°F72°F66%29.98
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Wind History graph: SUT
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Tide / Current for Yaupon Beach, North Carolina
   
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Yaupon Beach
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Tue -- 04:37 AM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:38 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 10:47 AM EDT     4.59 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:37 PM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:16 PM EDT     5.60 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:43 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Yaupon Beach, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
5
1
am
3.7
2
am
2.3
3
am
1
4
am
0.1
5
am
0
6
am
0.6
7
am
1.7
8
am
2.9
9
am
3.9
10
am
4.4
11
am
4.6
12
pm
4.1
1
pm
3.2
2
pm
2
3
pm
0.9
4
pm
0.2
5
pm
0.1
6
pm
0.7
7
pm
1.8
8
pm
3.2
9
pm
4.3
10
pm
5.2
11
pm
5.6


Tide / Current for Cape Fear, North Carolina
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Cape Fear
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Tue -- 04:58 AM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:38 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 10:53 AM EDT     4.20 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:58 PM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:22 PM EDT     5.12 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:43 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Cape Fear, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
4.7
1
am
3.7
2
am
2.4
3
am
1.2
4
am
0.3
5
am
-0
6
am
0.4
7
am
1.3
8
am
2.4
9
am
3.4
10
am
4
11
am
4.2
12
pm
3.9
1
pm
3.1
2
pm
2.1
3
pm
1.1
4
pm
0.3
5
pm
0
6
pm
0.4
7
pm
1.3
8
pm
2.6
9
pm
3.8
10
pm
4.6
11
pm
5.1


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southeast   
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Wilmington, NC,




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