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FXUS62 KFFC 041143 AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 643 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2023

New 12Z Aviation Discussion

SHORT TERM
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 341 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2023

A little bit of a break from the rainy/dreary conditions over the next couple of days, although a few spots in the S CWA will see patchy dense fog for short periods of time through roughly 15Z. This afternoon, another diffuse surge of dry air will be pushing into central Georgia. Due to the scale of the feature and the mixing involved, dew points will likely be even lower than many of the high res models are indicating. That said, even accounting for this keeps dew points above Fire Danger Statement criteria (may be borderline).

Winds today may be blustery at times out of the West at 10-15mph, gusting 20-25mph. Temperatures will be on the downward trend with highs today in the 60s and highs tomorrow in the 50s to lower 60s.
Lows will be in the mid to upper 30s.

SM

LONG TERM
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 341 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2023

An upper trough will dig over New England and the Mid-Atlantic states Tuesday night and Wednesday. This may bring some very light rain showers and even a few light snow showers to the NE mountains.
No accumulating snow is anticipated at this time, and precipitation probability is low. Colder temperatures are expected by Wednesday, with daytime highs ranging from the 40s across the NE mountains to near 60 across the extreme SE zones. Wednesday night will be the coldest night of the extended period, with low temperatures ranging from the lower to mid 20s in the highest elevations of the NE to near freezing across the SE zones. Temperatures are forecast to rebound to near normal late in the work week. Another upper trough is forecast to dig over the Central Plains by Saturday and the MS Valley by Saturday night, with a chance of showers returning to the area by Saturday.

Will need to keep an eye on fire weather for Thursday. Dry air will remain in place as daytime high temperatures begin to climb again.
Additionally, SW winds will begin to increase, with gusts to 15 mph possible across portions of N GA. /SEC

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 623 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2023

Intermittent dense FG continues to affect VSBY across much of the area, particularly CSG to MCN and South. Conditions should clear to VFR areawide by 15Z. Light to VRB winds will increase to W winds at 10 to 15kts, gusting 20 to 25kts. Winds should reduce again around 01Z. No precipitation is expected.

//ATL Confidence
12Z Update
Medium Low VSBY and Ceiling.
High all other elements.

SM

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Athens 37 59 39 54 / 0 0 0 0 Atlanta 39 58 39 51 / 0 0 0 0 Blairsville 31 52 33 44 / 0 10 20 0 Cartersville 34 57 36 50 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 39 62 40 56 / 0 0 0 0 Gainesville 37 56 39 50 / 0 0 0 0 Macon 39 62 40 56 / 0 0 0 0 Rome 34 59 36 52 / 0 0 0 0 Peachtree City 36 59 37 52 / 0 0 0 0 Vidalia 44 63 43 59 / 0 0 0 0

FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for GAZ074-076- 078>086-089>098-102>113.

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