Sunday, March29, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Crowell, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:26AMSunset 7:57PM Sunday March 29, 2020 1:11 PM CDT (18:11 UTC) Moonrise 9:39AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 31% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Crowell, TX
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location: 34.11, -100     debug


Area Discussion for - Lubbock, TX
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FXUS64 KLUB 291740 AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 1240 PM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

AVIATION. Southerly to southeasterly breezes and abundant high clouds will continue through tonight, with VFR prevailing. A developing 40 kt southerly LLJ will bring the risk for pockets of LLWS where surface winds drop off sufficiently overnight. Otherwise, the LLJ will gradually transport improving levels of moisture northward. A risk for MVFR cigs could briefly visit KLBB and KPVW around and shortly after daybreak, though this is somewhat uncertain. Any low clouds on the Caprock will be swept eastward by late morning, but KCDS will have a risk of sub-VFR cigs through the afternoon hours. In addition, elevated convection will be possible Monday morning. This activity would likely be east of KLBB and KPVW, but could affect KCDS. The terminals on the Caprock will then experience another bout of strong westerly winds just beyond this TAF window on Monday afternoon.

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 310 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020/

SHORT TERM . Surface high pressure will migrate east through the course of the day under shortwave ridging aloft. Seasonal temperatures with relatively light winds will result in a nice day across the region. There will be persistent high clouds most of the day with some partial clearing late in the afternoon. Though some partial clearing is expected late in the day into the evening hours, enough cloud cover will remain overnight for mild lows into Monday morning, mostly on the mid 40s.

LONG TERM . The next storm system to impact the region will moving across the Four Corners region by sunrise Monday and this will result in a weak area of low pressure to develop across southeastern Colorado. Low-level flow will swing to the southeast before sunrise and moisture will rapidly mix northwestward. As the surface low continues to deepen, the surface trough/dryline/Pacific Front will start to sharpen and mix eastward. Overall trend remains for this feature to mix eastward rapidly but the 00Z ECMWF now is much slower and has the axis near the TX/NM state line at 18Z while all other models have it close to the edge of the Caprock. Forecast continues to reflect the faster punch of the dryline eastward and PoPs are removed faster than the NBM had. However, if the ECMWF does indeed verify, PoPs may need to be pulled further west at 18Z. By 00Z, all models agree that the best chances for precip will be in the far eastern Rolling Plains pushing east and there is just enough instability for a few storms. Only other concern for Monday afternoon will be wind speeds behind the surface boundary; MOS guidance is now almost to 30 knots from the west and have increased wind speeds Tuesday afternoon to stay closer to MOS than NBM. We could see patchy blowing dust and the need for a wind advisory if forecast wind speeds remain this high.

Once the trough pushes east of the forecast area, a weak front Canadian front will move into the area and the surface ridge will be in place by the afternoon. Temperatures will only be a few degrees cooler compared to Monday but wind speeds will be much lower so Tuesday should be a very nice day across the region. Weak shortwave ridge will move over the region through Wednesday morning which will result in flow aloft gradually transitioning to southwesterly by sunrise Wednesday. This will result in the redevelopment of a lee surface trough and low-level moisture return across the eastern half of the forecast area through the day. Models are still bringing a cold front into the area Friday morning dropping highs from the mid to upper 70s on Thursday back down into the 60s for Friday. NBM continues to put barely slight chance PoPs into the forecast for Fri, Sat, and next Sunday but post-frontal flow and weak cyclonic flow aloft really doesn't seem too favorable for rain chances and have kept them below mention for now.

Jordan

LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

55/14/23


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Childress, Childress Municipal Airport, TX27 mi19 minS 510.00 miFair60°F35°F39%1022.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCDS

Wind History from CDS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW13
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W9W9W7N10NE11NE6NE8N4W3W5CalmN6N5W3CalmW5S4S7S5
1 day agoS7SW11SW9SW12S10S10S11SW11SW7S7S7S7SW12NW24
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2 days agoSW17
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Lubbock, TX (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Frederick, OK
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.