Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Leland, NC

KEY MESSAGES
1) Unsettled weather pattern continues, with scattered to numerous showers and storms expected through the end of the week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1
Unsettled weather pattern continues, with scattered to numerous showers and storms expected through the end of the week.

A slight deviation from what we saw yesterday as mainly stratiform activity continues at the coast, the debris clouds slightly sequestering inland activity. The heavier showers we saw into the evening are instead forming west of I-95, though we could see showers start to pop up further east should these clouds break up quickly. Isolated flooding is possible should slow-moving, heavy rainfall move over the same areas for several hours. Activity should calm down into the evening before picking up again early Wednesday morning, mirroring what we've been seeing with showers moving onshore. Due to the calm conditions and rainfall, fog formation is possible, particularly inland, though there's uncertainty with the coverage at this time. Activity should be slightly diminished into Wednesday as the upper low shifts west, more noticeable as we head into the weekend. We could see a return to a more typical scattered afternoon shower/storm pattern as moisture sticks around but without much upper level forcing.

AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Coastal activity looks to have diminished, not seeing VSBY restrictions out of the light RA. Heavier showers are popping up near and west of I-95 which could impact inland terminals. Activity might diminish into tonight without restrictions but there is the chance for fog at inland terminals with some uncertainty in the VSBYs right now. activity should pick up again towards dawn Wednesday at the coast where we could see a similar pattern but perhaps lighter rain.

Extended Forecast...Periodic sub-VFR restrictions will be possible in showers and storms for the remainder of the week. The moist low- level airmass will also support a greater potential for morning stratus each day.

MARINE
Tonight through Sunday...Sub-SCA S/SE flow continues through the period as Bermuda high pressure is locked in place off to the east.
Chances of showers and storms remain elevated most days, esp. during the night and morning hours over the waters.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...High Risk for Rip Currents until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ110.
SC...High Risk for Rip Currents until 8 PM EDT this evening for SCZ054.
MARINE...None.