Tuesday, January21, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Belville, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:14AMSunset 5:31PM Tuesday January 21, 2020 12:37 PM EST (17:37 UTC) Moonrise 4:27AMMoonset 2:42PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 1217 Pm Est Tue Jan 21 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 3 pm est this afternoon...
.gale warning in effect through Wednesday morning...
This afternoon..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
Tonight..N winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
Wed..N winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
Wed night..NE winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
Fri..E winds 10 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. A chance of showers through the day, then showers through the night.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, subsiding to 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers through the day.
AMZ200 1217 Pm Est Tue Jan 21 2020
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Arctic high pressure will build across the area from the mid-section of the u.s. Today bringing strong northerly winds. Low pressure will develop just off the ga and fl today. The low will quickly deepen as it accelerates away from the u.s. Mainland thru Wed. For Wed night thru Fri, high pressure will ridge back across the area from the west along with elevated seas continuing.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Belville, NC
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location: 34.23, -77.95     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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FXUS62 KILM 211717 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 1217 PM EST Tue Jan 21 2020

SYNOPSIS. Arctic high pressure will prevail across the area through early Friday. A modest warmup will develop ahead of a cold front moving across early Saturday. Seasonal and dry conditions will develop late in the weekend and early next week.

UPDATE. No notable changes with the latest update of the forecast.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Cold high pressure will continue to be the main influence to the weather for the next 36 hours. Below normal temperatures in the lower 40s across the area today as breezy north winds continue. Gusts as high as 25 to 30 mph are possible later this afternoon into the evening hours tonight. High pressure weakens a bit and temperatures will warm into the upper 40s to lower 50s, but afternoon readings will still be on the cooler side of normal.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. Transition period as the deep trough responsible for the cold weather will be on the move with sharp albeit progressive ridging moving across. Arctic surface high pressure will be dissolving via air mass modification. No pops through the period although the usual low clouds developing offshore and some mid to high level moisture will be moving in from the west. Cold again Thursday morning with most lows at or below freezing. Highs Thursday reach the 50s with lows Friday morning mostly above freezing.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. A cold front is still on track to move across the area later Friday and Saturday. No changes to the pops which are topped out at mostly likely values with a few areas (mainly northeast zones) at categorical. Seasonal temperatures will follow this system with dry conditions as the mid level pattern takes a northwest turn.

AVIATION /17Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. VFR conditions for the next 24 hours. A rather vigorous upper vort moves through this afternoon. No available moisture to work with, perhaps a 6k ceiling this afternoon. Gusty winds this afternoon as well. Continued northerly wind on Wednesday.

Extended Outlook . VFR conditions thru Thursday. Next storm system approaches the region for late this week.

MARINE. Small craft advisory through the mid afternoon before the onset of gale conditions tonight. Wave heights 5 to 7 feet will increase to between 6 and 10 feet with north winds 25 to 35 kts with gusts in excess of 40 kts at times, especially tonight. Conditions are expected to improve Wednesday afternoon, but seas and winds will still be high enough to warrant extra caution for small craft operating the offshore waters.

Northeast winds will continue through about midday Friday with speeds trending down from 15-20 knots early to at or below 10 knots by Friday. A brief onshore flow will develop before transitioning to a brief southwest flow late Friday into early Saturday. Beyond this it will mainly be an offshore flow a few knots either side of 15 knots. The primary threats will be sea fog development Friday into early Saturday with possible small craft conditions for the same time frame.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ250- 252-254-256. Gale Warning until noon EST Wednesday for AMZ250-252-254-256.



SYNOPSIS . SHK UPDATE . 21 NEAR TERM . MCK SHORT TERM . SHK LONG TERM . SHK AVIATION . 43 MARINE . MCK/SHK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WLON7 0 mi56 min 41°F 53°F1027.8 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 9 mi56 min 36°F 52°F1027 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 14 mi90 min N 19 G 25 36°F 1027.7 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 14 mi58 min 55°F5 ft
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 35 mi90 min N 23 G 31 37°F 59°F1026.6 hPa
41108 35 mi68 min 55°F5 ft
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 39 mi90 min N 18 G 25 34°F 53°F1029.7 hPa
SSBN7 39 mi46 min 1 ft

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wilmington International Airport, NC4 mi45 minN 13 G 2210.00 miFair39°F16°F39%1028 hPa
Brunswick County Airport, NC22 mi43 minN 1410.00 miFair38°F16°F41%1027.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KILM

Wind History from ILM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW10N10N10
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N11N9N8N4NE5NE6NE5NE7NE6N6N7N10N10N10N9N10N10N13
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1 day agoW14
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W13W12NW13W5NW8N10N8N9N14
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2 days agoE7SE9SE75S6S6--S9S11S13
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SW10SW12W11
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Tide / Current Tables for Wilmington, North Carolina
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Wilmington
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:55 AM EST     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:27 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:48 AM EST     4.39 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 01:40 PM EST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:42 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 05:30 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:01 PM EST     3.76 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.1-0.40.11.32.63.64.24.443.32.61.80.90.1-0.10.61.72.73.53.83.52.71.91.3

Tide / Current Tables for Masonboro Inlet, North Carolina
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Masonboro Inlet
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:26 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:08 AM EST     4.13 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:35 AM EST     0.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:42 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 05:19 PM EST     3.32 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:30 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 11:42 PM EST     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.21.12.133.84.143.42.61.60.70.20.10.61.42.22.93.33.22.82.11.30.5-0.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.