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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Solvang, CA

July 2, 2024 10:47 PM PDT (05:47 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:51 AM   Sunset 8:20 PM
Moonrise 1:44 AM   Moonset 4:38 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 818 Pm Pdt Tue Jul 2 2024

Tonight - SW wind 5 to 10 kt this evening, becoming light. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 10 seconds. Patchy dense fog. Vsby 1 nm or less.

Wed - Light winds. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 10 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.

Wed night - W wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 9 seconds and S 2 ft at 13 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.

Thu - Light winds, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 8 seconds and S 2 ft at 15 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.

Thu night - NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 5 seconds and S 2 ft at 15 seconds.

Fri - NW wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 6 seconds and S 2 ft at 15 seconds.

Fri night - W wind 10 to 20 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 6 seconds and S 2 ft at 17 seconds.

Sat - Light winds. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 7 seconds and S 2 ft at 15 seconds.

Sat night - W wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming E after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 7 seconds and S 2 ft at 15 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.

Sun - E wind 5 to 10 kt in the morning, becoming light. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 7 seconds and S 2 ft at 12 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.

Sun night - Light winds. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 6 seconds and S 2 ft at 12 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.

PZZ600 818 Pm Pdt Tue Jul 2 2024

Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park - At 03z, or 8 pm pdt, a 1034 mb surface high was centered 600 nm west of portland, while a 1004 mb low was over southern nevada. Dense fog will continue to affect most of the coastal waters during the overnight period through late this week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Solvang, CA
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Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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FXUS66 KLOX 030327 AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 827 PM PDT Tue Jul 2 2024

SYNOPSIS
02/126 PM.

A significant heatwave will impact the region this week through early next week, with dangerously hot temperatures across much of the area. High temperatures by mid to late week are expected to reach 95 to 105 degrees in many areas away from the coast, with highs upwards of 105 to 115 over interior valleys and foothills, including the Antelope Valley. Very warm to hot conditions could extend closer to the coast by late this week. Patchy night to morning dense fog will be possible near the coast tonight as well as Wednesday and Thursday mornings.

.SHORT TERM (TUE-FRI)...02/826 PM.

***UPDATE***

Low clouds and some dense fog were along much of the immediate coast early this evening. these low clouds will expand to all coastal areas overnight, with some inland penetration to the lower coastal vlys. There is a strong and low inversion over the area this evening (around 900-1000 ft) which will help to develop at least patchy dense fog where there is low clouds. There is a chance the dense fog could have a larger aerial extent overnight which would lead to the issuance of a Dense Fog Advisory.
Otherwise and elsewhere, mostly clear skies can be expected thru the night.

Upper level ridging will continue nosing into southern CA from the E Pac overnight where a strong 597-598 dam H5 high will be parked about 700 miles NW of Point Conception. This upper level ridging was helping to promote the strong and shallow marine inversion. A large warm layer was noted in the VBG sounding and the LAX ACARS soundings at around 2500-5000 feet or so with temps in the upper 70s to low 80s.

As a result of the warm layer in the soundings, low temperatures tonight should be quite warm for some of the inland vlys, as well as the foothills and lower mtns. Temps are expected to fall only into the 70s for much of this area, with near 80 possible in the lower mtns and deserts.

***From Previous Discussion***

High pressure across the eastern Pacific continues to slowly creep toward the West Coast. While onshore flow and night and morning marine layer stratus is still keeping coast and valley areas on the milder side, inland areas have started to heat up. Interior areas are showing temperatures trends up 5-10 degrees today and expecting that trends to continue through the week. Coastal valleys will start noticing the warmup Wednesday as the high starts to compress the marine layer and confine it to the coastal areas at most. And by Thursday and Friday the warming trend will include the coastal areas as well as onshore flow weakens in response to increasing subsidence from the near 600dam high that by then will be centered over northern California, but encompassing the entire western third of the US. Highs across our far interior areas like the Antelope Valley,interior SLO County, and the lower mountain elevations will see highs between 108-116, 15-20 degrees above normal. Warmer coastal valleys expected to reach as high as 107-109. Expecting many high temperature records this weekend, though possibly more on Friday as Saturday's records are quite a bit warmer due to a heat wave in 2018 that saw Woodland Hills reach 116 and Downtown LA reach 108.

The biggest adjustments to the forecast today include the addition of Excessive heat warnings for the south coast of Santa Barbara County and a Fire weather watch for portions of the interior (addressed in the fire weather section). Models continue to advertise an impressive amount of heat along with low grade Sundowners Thu-Sat across southern Santa Barbara County, though mostly Friday and Saturday. The NAM is showing temperatures as high as 40c (104F) at 950mb in the Santa Ynez Range Friday night.
For the time being gradients thankfully are not excessive, but enough to bring some wind over and down the coastal slopes of the SY Range. Given these conditions chances are increasing that much of southern SB County will see temperatures in the 90s Fri and Sat, and possibly some lower 100s in the foothills. For this reason an Excessive heat warning has been issued for that area.

Other coastal areas will be warming up as well later this week with the possibility of lower 90s away from the immediate coast.

No other major changes to the forecast in the short term. Marine layer stratus will decrease in depth and areal coverage through the period. The lowering depth will result in increasing visibility restrictions due to dense fog.

.LONG TERM (SAT-TUE)...02/223 PM.

Latest ensemble based guidance suggesting this heat wave may continue, at least in some areas well into next week. The ensemble mean 500mb height is still around 597dam as late as next Thursday, though the high does start to shift a little to the east. In addition, models have been indicating increasing onshore flow next week, which would also increase the risk for larger fires. There is certainly a chance that at least for inland areas the current suite of heat warnings will need to be extended beyond Monday.
Coastal areas should start to cool off with the onshore flow increase and the possibility of a weak eddy circulation developing over the coastal waters that would also bring a return of marine layer stratus, at least to coastal areas south of Pt Conception.

AVIATION
03/0038Z.

At 00Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 900 feet deep. The top of the inversion was at 4300 feet with a temperature of 25 Celsius.

High confidence in 00Z TAFs for KPRB, KPMD, and KWJF.

For KBUR and KVNY there is generally hi confidence in the 00Z TAFs except for a 50% chance of MVFR vsbys due to haze from about 11Z-16Z Wed.

Moderate confidence in remainder of the 00Z TAFs, with IFR-LIFR conditions expected to return tonight and continue into Wednesday morning with low clouds and fog near all coastal sites. Cig/vsby restrictions should dissipate in the afternoon on Wednesday, with onset and dissipation timing of cig/vsby restrictions varying by +/- 3 hours of current forecasts.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in the 00Z TAF. High confidence in LIFR conditions much of the night and into the morning, with a 70% chance of dense fog. No significant easterly wind component is expected.

KBUR...Generally hi confidence in the 00Z TAF except for a 50% chance of MVFR vsbys due to haze from about 11Z-16Z Wed.

MARINE
02/754 PM.

For the Outer Waters, Small Craft Advisory (SCA) conditions are not expected through Thursday afternoon. For Thursday night through Saturday, there is a 40% chance of SCA winds.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, SCA conditions are generally unlikely through the upcoming weekend, though there is a 20% chance for SCA winds for Friday afternoon and evening.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, SCA conditions are not expected through the upcoming weekend.

Dense fog is expected over the coastal waters for the remainder of this week during the overnight to morning hours, with a gradual decrease in the coverage of fog as the week progresses.
Please reference the Marine Weather Statement for additional information.

BEACHES
02/134 PM.

A southerly swell front will overspread the Southern California coastal waters Thursday into Friday, followed by 15-17-second southerly swell persisting from late this week into the weekend.
While surf is not expected to be particularly high, surf heights upwards of around 5 feet are anticipated at beaches exposed to southerly swell -- especially the LA and Ventura County beaches.
Moreover, significant wave energy with the long-period swell will combine with the elevated surf to create dangerous conditions at area beaches, with powerful and dangerous rip currents expected.
This is especially the case for the beaches of LA and Ventura Counties. A Beach Hazards Statement has been issued from Thursday mid-day through the weekend to address these concerns.

FIRE WEATHER
02/545 PM.

Wednesday will be the beginning of a long duration heat wave across Southwestern California. Afternoon temperatures will be on the increase, topping out in the 100-110 range across interior sections on Wednesday with cooler temperatures closer to the coast. With the developing heat, lower relative humidity can be expected away from the coast. Typical diurnal winds can be expected through Wednesday with gusty southwesterly winds across interior sections in the afternoon and evening. Elevated fire weather conditions can be anticipated across interior sections through Wednesday.

For Thursday through the weekend, the heat will continue to build with Friday likely the hottest day. Dangerous heat can be expected for most areas through the weekend. Very low relative humidity will accompany the hot temperatures with minimum relative humidity dropping into the low teens and single digits with poor overnight recovery. Additionally, there will be some gusty northwesterly winds late Thursday through Friday night across the Interstate 5 corridor as well as southern Santa Barbara county.
This combination will bring the chance of widespread critical fire weather conditions and FIRE WEATHER WATCHES are in effect for the Interstate 5 Corridor and southern Santa Barbara County Thursday evening through Friday night. Elsewhere across the region, typical diurnal winds can be expected through the weekend. So, elevated fire weather conditions are expected through this weekend away from the coast.

The hot and unstable conditions will also increase the threat of large vertical plume growth for any fires that develop across the interior. The very hot and dry conditions will also cause a significant drop in both live and dead fuel moisture levels this week. These drying fuels combined with the expected fire weather conditions and increased outdoor activities associated with 4th of July festivities this week will cause the large fire threat to become high for areas away from the coast through at least Monday and possibly into the middle of next week. This is a serious fire weather event, and a hazardous heat event for human health.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Excessive Heat Warning remains in effect until 6 PM PDT Monday for zones 38-343>345-353-376>379-381>383. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Excessive Heat Warning remains in effect from 11 AM Wednesday to 6 PM PDT Monday for zones 88-342-348-351-352-356>358-369>375-380. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Heat Advisory remains in effect from 11 AM Thursday to 6 PM PDT Sunday for zones 341-347-355-368. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Excessive Heat Warning in effect from 11 AM Thursday to 6 PM PDT Saturday for zones 349-350. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Beach Hazards Statement in effect from Thursday morning through Sunday evening for zones 354-362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX).
Heat Advisory remains in effect from 11 AM Wednesday to 6 PM PDT Sunday for zone 548. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Fire Weather Watch in effect from Thursday evening through late Friday night for zones 349>353-376>378-381. (See LAXRFWLOX).
PZ...NONE.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KIZA SANTA YNEZ,CA 12 sm32 minWSW 0610 smClear66°F59°F78%29.82
KLPC LOMPOC,CA 19 sm51 minno data10 smA Few Clouds54°F54°F100%29.83
KSBA SANTA BARBARA MUNI,CA 20 sm54 minW 034 smOvercast Mist 57°F57°F100%29.82


Tide / Current for Gaviota, California
   
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Gaviota
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Tue -- 02:34 AM PDT     -0.40 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:43 AM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:52 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:05 AM PDT     3.31 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:18 PM PDT     2.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:38 PM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:54 PM PDT     6.19 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:17 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Gaviota, California, Tide feet
12
am
1.3
1
am
0.3
2
am
-0.3
3
am
-0.4
4
am
0.1
5
am
0.8
6
am
1.7
7
am
2.6
8
am
3.1
9
am
3.3
10
am
3.2
11
am
2.8
12
pm
2.4
1
pm
2.2
2
pm
2.3
3
pm
2.7
4
pm
3.5
5
pm
4.4
6
pm
5.3
7
pm
6
8
pm
6.2
9
pm
5.8
10
pm
4.9
11
pm
3.6


Tide / Current for Cuyler Harbor, San Miguel Island, California
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Cuyler Harbor
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Tue -- 02:31 AM PDT     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:45 AM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:54 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:59 AM PDT     3.24 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:15 PM PDT     2.14 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:37 PM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:48 PM PDT     6.06 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:16 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Cuyler Harbor, San Miguel Island, California, Tide feet
12
am
1.2
1
am
0.2
2
am
-0.3
3
am
-0.3
4
am
0.1
5
am
0.9
6
am
1.8
7
am
2.6
8
am
3.1
9
am
3.2
10
am
3.1
11
am
2.7
12
pm
2.4
1
pm
2.1
2
pm
2.2
3
pm
2.7
4
pm
3.4
5
pm
4.4
6
pm
5.3
7
pm
5.9
8
pm
6.1
9
pm
5.7
10
pm
4.7
11
pm
3.5


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Vandenberg AFB, CA,




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