Monday, August19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Swansboro, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:31AMSunset 7:54PM Monday August 19, 2019 10:20 AM EDT (14:20 UTC) Moonrise 9:22PMMoonset 9:04AM Illumination 84% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 644 Am Edt Mon Aug 19 2019
Today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the morning.
Wed night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Thu..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Swansboro, NC
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location: 34.59, -77.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 191108
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
708 am edt Mon aug 19 2019

Synopsis
High pressure offshore will extend west into eastern north carolina
through mid week as a weak trough of low pressure lingers well inland.

A cold front will slowly approach the area late this week and
then cross the area next weekend.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 7 am Monday... Low pressure now well east of the new jersey
coast at daybreak and continuing to accelerate away from the
united states mainland. Skies are generally clear inland with
some patchy clouds near the coast. Light winds and a very wet
ground has lead to some patchy fog early this morning with some
reductions in vsby. Any fog should burn off quickly leading to
a warm morning. Today will be very humid with dewpoints in the
mid upper 70s. With this moisture, most all of the high-
resolution models indicate convection initiating near the sea
breeze by midday to early afternoon over inland areas, mainly
from the highway 17 corridor westward. Rain chances at the
beaches should remain very slim today. Overall, rain coverage
will be limited. High temperatures today will be 90-93 degrees
in most areas except upper 80s outer banks. Apparent temperature
values will range from 100-104 degrees at peak heating this
afternoon.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Tuesday
As of 330 am Monday... Any convection should end quickly this
evening with loss of heating leaving a generally partly to
mostly clear sky. Another warm muggy late august night with lows
mainly in the mid 70s.

Long term Tuesday through Sunday
As of 245 am mon... High pressure will extend over the are
through Thursday with only scattered thunderstorms expected.

Then, a slow moving cold front will approach from the north late
in the week, and should eventually cross the area this weekend,
which would lead to another period of unsettled weather.

Tuesday through Thursday... Scattered afternoon thunderstorms
are expected Tuesday through Thursday with a weak lee trough
forming over central nc, and continued possible convective
initiation along the sea breeze each day. Very little wind shear
will keep convection disorganized. High temps will be slightly
above average through this period, with readings in the low 90s
inland and the mid to upper 80s along the coast. Warm and humid
nights will continue.

Friday through Sunday... The base of an upper level trough will
swing into the southern appalachians Friday, as a cold front
drops south through virginia. Precip chances will be increasing
Friday as storms fire along and south of the front in a hot and
humid airmass.

Thereafter guidance diverges, with the latest run of the gfs
aggressively pushing the front south of the region on Friday
before stalling (and then pushing back north late in the
weekend), whereas the latest ECMWF develops an area of low
pressure along the front Friday in southern va which halts the
progression of the front southward until later in the weekend
when the front moves eastward through the area. Will keep
generally 40-50% pops for Friday and the weekend, and hope for
some better model consensus in the next cycle.

Aviation 11z Monday through Friday
Short term through 12z Tuesday ...

as of 705 am Monday... Some patches of MVFR fog being observed
early this morning with light to calm winds, clear skies and a
wet ground. The fog should dissipate quickly Monday morning
becomingVFR with isolated to widely scattered diurnal
convection. Another round of MVFR fog is possible with a similar
airmass early Tuesday morning.

Long term Monday night through Friday ...

as of 255 am mon... MostlyVFR conditions this week, with
scattered convection expected during the afternoons and
evenings. Patchy fog also possible in the early mornings with
high dewpoints and rather light winds.

Marine
Short term today and tonight ...

as of 710 am Monday... No major changes needed to current marine
forecast as SW winds continue at 5-15 knots with seas 2-4 feet.

High pressure offshore with weak troughing well inland, and
stronger low pressure well east of the mid-atlantic moving away
will continue to more SW winds at 5-15 knots with seas 2-4 feet
today and tonight.

Long term Tuesday through Friday ...

as of 255 am mon... Decent boating conditions are expected for
most of the upcoming week. Winds will be mostly SW 10-15
through Wednesday afternoon, before increasing to ssw 15-20 kts
Wednesday evening through Friday morning. Seas will be 2-4 ft
through Wednesday, and then increase to 3-5 ft early Wednesday
night. Conditions Wednesday night through Thursday night will
likely be close to small craft over most of the coastal waters,
with wind gusts near 25 kts and seas around 5 feet.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Ctc
short term... Ctc
long term... Sgk
aviation... Ctc sgk
marine... Ctc sgk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41064 30 mi73 min WNW 9.7 G 14 82°F 84°F1018.9 hPa
41159 30 mi51 min 84°F3 ft
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 30 mi51 min W 1.9 G 6 84°F 83°F1019.8 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 37 mi81 min W 11 G 12 82°F 1018.9 hPa (+1.7)76°F
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 40 mi51 min SSW 2.9 G 4.1 84°F 83°F1018.4 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 41 mi73 min W 5.8 G 7.8 80°F 83°F1018.9 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 41 mi41 min 83°F2 ft
WLON7 46 mi51 min 84°F 84°F1018.9 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC12 mi24 minSW 710.00 miFair84°F77°F80%1019.3 hPa
MCAS New River, NC14 mi85 minWSW 510.00 miA Few Clouds80°F75°F85%1018.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNJM

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW5W8W6SW8W5SW10SW11SW8SW11SW10SW9SW11SW9SW9------W6W6W7W6W3W4W4
1 day agoNW3W5SW5SW8W8W4NE5N4E6SE12S9S10S7S11SW13
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2 days agoSW5Calm3SW9SW9SW7N5E6CalmS6S5CalmSW6--SW7----W5W6W3NW4CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:38 AM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:51 AM EDT     3.28 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:59 PM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:01 PM EDT     3.17 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.82.21.50.80.40.40.71.322.73.23.332.51.81.20.70.50.71.21.82.533.2

Tide / Current Tables for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
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Bogue Inlet
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:36 AM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:48 AM EDT     2.43 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:57 PM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:58 PM EDT     2.35 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.11.61.10.70.40.40.611.622.32.42.31.91.40.90.60.50.611.41.92.22.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.