Monday, May10, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Cedar Point, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:06AMSunset 8:01PM Monday May 10, 2021 6:04 PM EDT (22:04 UTC) Moonrise 4:41AMMoonset 6:08PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 406 Pm Edt Mon May 10 2021
.small craft advisory in effect until 11 pm edt this evening...
Tonight..SW winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt late this evening, then becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy late this evening, then diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight. Showers and tstms likely this evening, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms after midnight. A slight chance of showers late.
Tue..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a slight chance of rain in the afternoon.
Tue night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of rain in the evening, then a chance of rain after midnight.
Wed..NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough. Rain likely.
Wed night..NE winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough, diminishing to choppy after midnight. A chance of rain, mainly in the evening.
Thu..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Thu night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Fri..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Sat..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cedar Point, NC
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location: 34.67, -77.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 102042 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 442 PM EDT Mon May 10 2021

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will approach from the west today and cross the area tonight. High pressure will build in mid week to late week as a series of weak low pressure systems move south of the area.

NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 415 PM Mon . Latest analysis shows a weak surface low over west central NC with a cold front now dropping towards the Albemarle Sound. This front is providing the focus for scattered shower and thunderstorm development mainly from Winston-Salem east to the northern Outer banks. Another batch of scattered showers and storms are developing along a slowly intruding sea breeze. These more diurnally driven storms along the coast will be the immediate threat, followed by the frontally-forced convection reaching the coastal plain by around 23-00Z. The pre- storm environment is somewhat favorable for some organized storm clusters, with MLCAPES 1000-1500 J/kg and effective shear 40-45 kt. Some marginally severe hail and damaging wind gusts would be the primary threat.

Front will race offshore tonight, clearing out all precip after midnight with only lingering activity along the boundary mainly offshore. High 850 mb RHs trapped under the inversion spell mainly overcast conditions will continue. Temperatures and dew points drop behind the front with lows dipping into the 50s.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY/. As of 425 PM Mon . Front will remain to our south with lingering overcast conditions through the day. A very weak area of low pressure is forecast to develop along this boundary although guidance is not enthusiastic about much shower coverage across the region as high pressure will be building in from the north. If any chance exists, it will be for far southern zones. Ample cloud cover keeps temperatures just below 70.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 430 PM Mon . Main changes were to raise PoPs for Wednesday with more robust signal in medium range guidance. Given expected cold-air damming, also lowered highs a few degrees for Wednesday, although these may need to trend lower still.

Prev disc . A rather unsettled weather pattern for the middle to late part of the workweek, before warmer and drier weather returns for the weekend.

Numerous signals for development of a Cold-Air Damming event for Wednesday as strong parent develops in the Ohio Valley with shallow cool wedge moving into the Carolinas. Have continue previous trend of showing high temperatures cooler than guidance for Wednesday. Although moisture is fairly deep, model PoPs/QPF remain low. Did raise PoPs just a bit from the previous forecast to show high chance over the southern tier of the CWA. High temperatures Wednesday only in the lower 60s across the region.

With a couple of additional waves of low pressure moving south and east of the area, kept 20 to 40 percent PoPs in the forecast Thursday and Friday with continued below normal temperatures with highs mainly in the lower 70s and lows mid/upper 40s inland, mid 50s beaches.

For the weekend, high pressure builds east from the Tennessee Valley into the Carolina with a warmer and drier trend with highs back into the 80s.

AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. SHORT TERM /through Tuesday Afternoon/ . As of 1220 PM Mon . VFR conditions are present this afternoon across Eastern NC, but that is expected to change as a cold front cross through the airspace this afternoon and evening. Good coverage of showers and thunderstorms are also anticipated along and ahead of the front, and think that sub-VFR conditions will be likely for a period late this afternoon into early tonight. Generally, conditions should remain above IFR levels, but a couple hour period of IFR conditions are possible across all TAF sites as the front moves south. After the front crosses the area and moves offshore, clouds will likely hang on, under northeasterly flow, and MVFR conditions will continue overnight, and possibly through the morning tomorrow.

LONG TERM /Tuesday night through Friday/ . As of 330 AM Monday . Unsettled weather expected Tuesday through Thursday with small chances of showers and a good deal of cloud cover. Think sub-VFR conditions will be limited by the overall lack of rainfall with low chance PoPs over the far southern tier of the CWA. Still, cannot rules some brief reductions to MVFR for the Tuesday through early Friday period.

MARINE. SHORT TERM /Tonight and Tuesday/ . As of 435 PM Mon . Cold front is crossing the waters this afternoon, currently between Kitty Hawk and Oregon Inlet. The front will continue to race south tonight, pushing entirely offshore after midnight. There will likely be a very brief surge of northerly winds to 25 kt, but otherwise hi-res guidance is not enthusiastic about any SCA conditions developing in the boundary's wake. Made some minor extensions to existing headlines, but expect SCA conditions to come to an end just after midnight. Northeasterly winds continue across the waters Tuesday as front stalls offshore.

Seas have reached their peak of around 6-8 feet this afternoon and will fall through the period, hovering around 3-5 feet with persistent NE flow.

LONG TERM /Tuesday night through Friday/ . As of 335 AM Monday . The gradient between strong high pressure building in the Ohio Valley and low pressure offshore will lead to likely SCA status winds starting later Tuesday night and continuing through Wednesday night, as NE winds of 15-25 knots gust to around 30 knots. Conditions improve somewhat later Thursday into Friday as the high weakens and low pressure moves away from the coast, resulting in E/NE winds 10-20 knots and seas 3-5 feet.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ195- 196-199-204-205. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Tuesday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for AMZ156- 158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . MS SHORT TERM . MS LONG TERM . CTC/MS AVIATION . CTC/SGK MARINE . CTC/MS


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi46 min SSW 13 G 21 72°F 72°F1013.3 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 30 mi64 min SSW 16 G 21 73°F 1013 hPa (-0.8)
41159 32 mi38 min 71°F6 ft
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi56 min SSW 18 G 27 73°F 71°F1013.2 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi56 min SW 16 G 21 71°F 70°F1013.1 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 49 mi27 min 70°F4 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi46 min S 13 G 16 73°F 71°F1012.6 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC3 mi67 minW 13 G 279.00 miThunderstorm73°F65°F76%1013.7 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC17 mi70 minSSW 11 G 214.00 miThunderstorm Rain73°F68°F84%1012.1 hPa
MCAS New River, NC19 mi68 minNE 510.00 miOvercast69°F65°F87%1013.1 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC23 mi66 minS 14 G 2410.00 miMostly Cloudy73°F67°F81%1012.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNJM

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----------------------------------SW17
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1 day ago------------------------------------------------
2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
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Bogue Inlet
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:40 AM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:40 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:41 AM EDT     2.15 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:35 PM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:08 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:57 PM EDT     2.54 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.20.10.30.81.31.82.12.11.91.510.50.20.20.40.91.522.42.52.421.4

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:42 AM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:41 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:44 AM EDT     2.90 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:37 PM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:08 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:00 PM EDT     3.42 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.20.10.411.72.42.82.92.621.30.70.30.20.51.222.73.23.43.22.71.9

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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