Monday, August19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cedar Point, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:29AMSunset 7:52PM Monday August 19, 2019 11:04 PM EDT (03:04 UTC) Moonrise 9:21PMMoonset 9:03AM Illumination 80% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 934 Pm Edt Mon Aug 19 2019
Overnight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Isolated showers and tstms in the morning.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the morning.
Wed night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cedar Point, NC
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location: 34.67, -77.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 200146
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
946 pm edt Mon aug 19 2019

Synopsis
High pressure offshore will extend west into eastern north carolina
through mid week as a weak trough of low pressure lingers well inland.

A cold front will slowly approach the area late this week and
then cross the area next weekend.

Near term overnight
As of 945 pm mon... An area of very light showers continues near
highway 17 this evening, as earlier convection has dissipated across
the area. Slightly cooler across the area early this evening
courtesy of convection and associated outflow boundaries.

The area will remain between a well established bermuda ridge
offshore and developing troughing inland. Inland areas will
decouple shortly after sunset while coastal areas see persistent
light southwest winds as the high ridges strongly to our south.

Dry conditions are expected, though a stray shower or two over
the beaches cant be completely ruled out. Patchy fog is possible
for locations that decouple and can remain clear enough for
efficient radiational cooling. Though higher clouds from earlier
convection may limit cooling and possible fog. Lows will be
several degrees above normal as a warm and humid airmass remains
in place.

Short term 6 am Tuesday morning through 6 pm Tuesday
As of 330 pm mon... High pressure ridging into the area from the
east and south will dominate once again on Tuesday. Troughing
inland will be a bit stronger, and a bit more storm coverage
than today is possible. Still, it will overall be a similar day
to today with isolated to scattered convection away from the
beaches and the potential for a few strong storms producing
gusty winds. Temps will be a degree or two cooler than today,
owing primarily to increased cirrus coverage.

Long term Tuesday night through Monday
As of 245 am mon... High pressure will extend over the area
through Thursday with only scattered thunderstorms expected.

Then, a slow moving cold front will approach from the north late
in the week, and should eventually cross the area this weekend,
which would lead to another period of unsettled weather.

Tuesday night through Thursday... Scattered afternoon
thunderstorms are expected through Thursday with a weak lee
trough forming over central nc, and continued possible
convective initiation along the sea breeze each day. Very little
wind shear will keep convection disorganized. High temps will
be slightly above average through this period, with readings in
the low 90s inland and the mid to upper 80s along the coast.

Warm and humid nights will continue.

Friday through Sunday... The base of an upper level trough will
swing into the southern appalachians Friday, as a cold front
drops south through virginia. Precip chances will be increasing
Friday as storms fire along and south of the front in a hot and
humid airmass.

Thereafter guidance diverges, with the latest run of the gfs
aggressively pushing the front south of the region on Friday
before stalling (and then pushing back north late in the
weekend), whereas the latest ECMWF develops an area of low
pressure along the front Friday in southern va which halts the
progression of the front southward until later in the weekend
when the front moves eastward through the area. Will keep
generally 40-50% pops for Friday and the weekend, and hope for
some better model consensus in the next cycle.

Aviation 02z Tuesday through Saturday
Short term through Tuesday ...

as of 945 pm mon...VFR currently across the terminals as earlier
convection has dissipated. Patchy MVFR fog is possible again
early Tue morning, given the similar airmass. Scattered showers
and storms expected again Tue afternoon.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday ...

as of 255 am mon... MostlyVFR conditions this week, with
scattered convection expected during the afternoons and
evenings. Patchy fog also possible in the early mornings with
high dewpoints and rather light winds.

Marine
Short term through Tuesday ...

as of 945 pm mon... Latest obs show wsw SW winds 10-15 kt with
seas 2-3 ft. Bermuda high pressure ridging south of the area
will remain in control. Light to moderate southeast winds
prevail, though winds may occasionally become more west-
southwest as the strength of the ridging to the south subtly
varies. Seas around 2-4 ft prevail in mainly locally generated
windswell.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday ...

as of 255 am mon... Decent boating conditions are expected for
most of the upcoming week. Winds will be mostly SW 10-15 through
Wednesday afternoon, before increasing to ssw 15-20 kts
Wednesday evening through Friday morning. Seas will be 2-4 ft
through Wednesday, and then increase to 3-5 ft early Wednesday
night. Conditions Wednesday night through Thursday night will
likely be close to small craft over most of the coastal waters,
with wind gusts near 25 kts and seas around 5 feet.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Cqd cb
short term... Cb
long term... Sgk
aviation... Cqd sgk
marine... Cqd sgk cb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi47 min S 7 G 8 81°F 85°F1019 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 30 mi65 min SW 5.1 G 7 81°F 1018.4 hPa (+1.2)75°F
41159 32 mi35 min 84°F3 ft
41064 33 mi57 min W 14 G 18 83°F 84°F1018.8 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi57 min W 14 G 19 81°F 84°F1018.9 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi57 min WSW 9.7 G 14 82°F 83°F1018.6 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 49 mi25 min 84°F3 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi53 min SSW 7 G 8 82°F 84°F1018.4 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bogue Field Marine Corps Auxiliary Field, NC3 mi2.1 hrsN 010.00 miFair77°F69°F77%1018.4 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC17 mi2.2 hrsSW 610.00 miThunderstorm in Vicinity77°F68°F74%1017.8 hPa
MCAS New River, NC19 mi2.1 hrsS 710.00 miA Few Clouds75°F72°F90%1017.6 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC23 mi2.1 hrsWSW 1110.00 miA Few Clouds82°F75°F79%1018.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNJM

Wind History from NJM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW9------W6W6W7W6W3W4W4SW7S8S8SW10SW10SW11SW13SW12SW14SW12NW8
G18
CalmCalm
1 day agoS11SW13
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SW11SW10SW8--W11
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W7--NW5W8W6SW8W5SW10SW11SW8SW11SW10SW9SW11SW9
2 days ago--SW7----W5W6W3NW4CalmCalmCalmNW3W5SW5SW8W8W4NE5N4E6SE12S9S10S7

Tide / Current Tables for Bogue Inlet, North Carolina
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Bogue Inlet
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:36 AM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:48 AM EDT     2.43 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:57 PM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:58 PM EDT     2.35 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.11.61.10.70.40.40.611.622.32.42.31.91.40.90.60.50.611.41.92.22.4

Tide / Current Tables for New River Inlet, North Carolina
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New River Inlet
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:38 AM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:51 AM EDT     3.28 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:59 PM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:01 PM EDT     3.17 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.82.21.50.80.40.40.71.322.73.23.332.51.81.20.70.50.71.21.82.533.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.