Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Casmalia, CA
February 8, 2025 10:44 AM PST (18:44 UTC) Change Location
![]() | Sunrise 6:52 AM Sunset 5:39 PM Moonrise 1:48 PM Moonset 4:21 AM |
PZZ673 Waters From Pt. Sal To Santa Cruz Island Ca And Westward 60 Nm Including San Miguel And Santa Rosa Islands- 751 Am Pst Sat Feb 8 2025
.small craft advisory in effect through late Sunday night - .
Today - NW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 10 ft. Wave detail: nw 10 ft at 9 seconds and S 2 ft at 15 seconds.
Tonight - NW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft. Wave detail: nw 10 ft at 9 seconds and S 2 ft at 14 seconds.
Sun - NW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft. Wave detail: nw 9 ft at 8 seconds and S 2 ft at 14 seconds.
Sun night - NW wind 20 to 30 kt, becoming 10 to 20 kt late. Seas 7 to 9 ft. Wave detail: nw 9 ft at 8 seconds and S 2 ft at 14 seconds.
Mon - NW wind 10 to 20 kt, becoming 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 9 ft. Wave detail: nw 8 ft at 9 seconds.
Mon night - NW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft. Wave detail: nw 9 ft at 9 seconds.
Tue - NW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 10 ft, building to 10 to 11 ft. Wave detail: nw 11 ft at 9 seconds. A slight chance of rain in the afternoon.
Tue night - NW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 11 ft. Wave detail: nw 9 to 11 ft at 8 seconds. A slight chance of rain in the evening, then a chance of rain after midnight.
Wed - NW wind 15 to 25 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 9 ft. Wave detail: nw 8 ft at 8 seconds. Rain likely.
Wed night - S wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Wave detail: sw 3 ft at 6 seconds and nw 7 ft at 14 seconds. Rain.
PZZ600 751 Am Pst Sat Feb 8 2025
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park - At 15z, or 7 am pst, a 1032 mb surface high was centered 700 nm nw of san francisco. A 1012 mb low was centered in western az.

NEW! Add second zone forecast
Avila Click for Map Sat -- 04:20 AM PST Moonset Sat -- 05:46 AM PST 3.10 feet High Tide Sat -- 06:55 AM PST Sunrise Sat -- 01:19 PM PST -3.63 feet Low Tide Sat -- 01:44 PM PST Moonrise Sat -- 05:38 PM PST Sunset Sat -- 08:07 PM PST 0.96 feet High Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Avila, California, Tide feet
12 am |
-0.2 |
1 am |
0.1 |
2 am |
0.8 |
3 am |
1.6 |
4 am |
2.4 |
5 am |
3 |
6 am |
3.1 |
7 am |
2.7 |
8 am |
1.8 |
9 am |
0.6 |
10 am |
-0.8 |
11 am |
-2.1 |
12 pm |
-3.1 |
1 pm |
-3.6 |
2 pm |
-3.5 |
3 pm |
-2.9 |
4 pm |
-1.9 |
5 pm |
-0.8 |
6 pm |
0.1 |
7 pm |
0.7 |
8 pm |
1 |
9 pm |
0.8 |
10 pm |
0.5 |
11 pm |
0.1 |
Port San Luis Wharf Click for Map Sat -- 12:17 AM PST 2.64 feet Low Tide Sat -- 04:20 AM PST Moonset Sat -- 06:35 AM PST 5.74 feet High Tide Sat -- 06:55 AM PST Sunrise Sat -- 01:44 PM PST Moonrise Sat -- 02:13 PM PST -0.93 feet Low Tide Sat -- 05:38 PM PST Sunset Sat -- 08:58 PM PST 3.66 feet High Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Port San Luis Wharf, California, Tide feet
12 am |
2.6 |
1 am |
2.7 |
2 am |
3.1 |
3 am |
3.7 |
4 am |
4.5 |
5 am |
5.2 |
6 am |
5.7 |
7 am |
5.7 |
8 am |
5.2 |
9 am |
4.3 |
10 am |
3 |
11 am |
1.7 |
12 pm |
0.4 |
1 pm |
-0.5 |
2 pm |
-0.9 |
3 pm |
-0.8 |
4 pm |
-0.1 |
5 pm |
0.9 |
6 pm |
2 |
7 pm |
2.9 |
8 pm |
3.5 |
9 pm |
3.7 |
10 pm |
3.5 |
11 pm |
3.1 |
Area Discussion for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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FXUS66 KLOX 081349 AFDLOX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 549 AM PST Sat Feb 8 2025
SYNOPSIS
08/549 AM.
Mostly dry conditions with cooler than normal temperatures will continue into the early half of next week. Some light showers are possible across the interior portions this morning, along with weak to locally moderate gusty north to northeast winds through the weekend. A significant storm system, potentially the strongest of the season, will move over the region for latter half of next week and bring moderate to locally heavy rainfall and high elevation snow to the region along with gusty winds.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 549 AM PST Sat Feb 8 2025
SYNOPSIS
08/549 AM.
Mostly dry conditions with cooler than normal temperatures will continue into the early half of next week. Some light showers are possible across the interior portions this morning, along with weak to locally moderate gusty north to northeast winds through the weekend. A significant storm system, potentially the strongest of the season, will move over the region for latter half of next week and bring moderate to locally heavy rainfall and high elevation snow to the region along with gusty winds.
.SHORT TERM (TDY-MON)...08/542 AM.
Broad troughing remains in place across the region early this morning. A quick look at satellite shows some high clouds streaming over the area with a broad area of stratus clouds across the interior portions of the area. Some patches of low clouds are in place across the Santa Ynez and San Gabriel Valleys.
Marginally gusty northerly winds linger through the Interstate 5 Corridor this morning. A wind advisory was modified to end at 9 am PST this morning as the wind and thermal support aloft is waning some. High-resolution multi-model ensemble members suggest diminishing chances of advisory level wind gusts over 45 mph after 9 am this morning, then there is a chance of advisory wind gusts again after 5 pm. With KLAX-KBFL surface pressure gradients reaching -6 to -7 mb late tonight, that seems plausible, but the wind and thermal support above the surface is much weaker. The pattern will shift to more northeasterly between late tonight and early Sunday morning as an offshore flow pattern gets into gear.
A broader low-end offshore wind event cannot be ruled out as high- resolution multi-model ensemble members indicate a decent amount of areas with near-advisory wind gusts. While a weak to moderate Santa Ana wind regime will establish for Sunday in the more typical Santa Ana wind corridor, Santa Lucia winds in San Luis Obispo County and Sundowner winds in Santa Barbara County cannot be discounted. The highest confidence exists in advisory level northeast winds across the Los Angeles and Ventura County foothills and mountains, and the Ventura County and Santa Clarita Valleys, but there is a growing confidence for a Santa Lucia wind event from this evening through Sunday morning. The next shift will be briefed about the wind possibilities.
With broad troughing in place, a cooler air mass is likely to persist with high clouds streaming over the region. GFS 300-400 mb moisture indicate high humidity values lingering into late Sunday night or early Monday morning. As far as low clouds, some clouds could filter into the Carrizo Plain and the Cuyama Valley tonight and into Sunday morning, but most areas should free of low clouds into Sunday night. There is a moderate to high chance of low clouds and fog for Los Angeles County coastal plain on Sunday night and into Monday morning. EPS cloud cover means hint at low clouds returning to KLGB, while NAM BUFR time height sections lean towards a bit higher coverage across the Los Angeles County coastal plain.
.LONG TERM (TUE-FRI)...08/548 AM.
A dry pattern will very likely linger into Tuesday, but clouds will begin to increase between Tuesday and Wednesday ahead of the next storm system. This storm system continue to appear be a moderate to strong feature to affect the region for late next week.
There continues to be a high proportion of the ensemble members favoring a stronger system across the region. EPS QPF means favor between 1.50 and 3.00 inches of rainfall areawide in the latest model solutions, but when factoring orographic effects, it stands to reason that the amounts will be higher. Ensemble means continue to skew higher rainfall total for the northern areas, but it should pointed out the most spread exists for Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. While the EPS ensemble members and the latest WPC guidance favor higher totals with this storm, there is a still a moderate (40 percent) chance of amounts lower than the mean.
ECMWF EFI values continue to lean toward the highest impacts being felt across Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo Counties. ENS and NAEFS standardized anomalies suggest mositure parameters to range in the 97th to 99th percentiles for this time of year in the CSFR climatology. Precipitable water and integrated vapor transport anomalies approach between three and four standard deviation above the mean, highest across the southern areas. Cluster analysis on the three medium range ensembles lean toward the most impactful rain for areas north of Point Conception, but a few clusters do lean wetter for the South Coast of California. One consistent feature in the cluster analyses reveals a 48-72 hour period with rainfall across the region. As a result, this could be a multiple day storm with broad flooding impacts across the area.
Gusty winds will also accompany this storm with a mix of solutions offering the highest chances for San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties seeing gusty winds. ENS and NAEFS standardized anomalies highlight the highest anomalies between two and three standard deviations above the mean along the Central Coast, while ECMWF EFI values offer up a secondary impact of winds across the same area. EPS wind gusts mean favor advisory level gusts this early out along the Central Coast at KIZA and K87Q.
Snow levels look to remain high across the region, and break away from abnormally low NBM values in the latest forecast. With the potential for an atmospheric river type storm, snow levels should be in the higher elevations of the mountains. EPS snow amount means offer up a high spread for KSDB, but a majority of the solution favor snow for KL35.
Stay tuned to the latest forecast with this system as this could be the strongest and most impactful storm of the winter season.
AVIATION
08/1234Z.
At 12Z at KLAX, there was no marine inversion.
Areas of low clouds were affecting much of interior SLO County, the Cuyama and Santa Ynez Valleys, and the mtns from southeastern SLO County thru northwestern L.A. County, Conds were mostly IFR to VLIFR where it was cloudy. Some clouds were affecting the San Gabriel Valley and southern coastal sections of L.A. County. Conds were mostly MVFR there. Skies should clear in most areas by late morning, though clouds could linger into the afternoon on northern slopes. Expect patchy low clouds tonight, mainly in southern coastal sections of L.A. County, with MVFR conds.
KLAX...Moderate to high confidence in the 12Z TAF. There is a 20% chance of MVFR cigs from 13Z-17Z this morning, and again from 10Z-16Z Sun. If low clouds arrive, there is a 20% chance for cigs BKN005-010. There is a 10% chance of winds from 020 to 060 at 8 kt thru this 16Z this morning, and from 09Z to 15Z Sun.
KBUR...High confidence in the 12Z TAF. There is a 10% chance of MVFR cigs the 17Z this morning.
MARINE
08/413 AM.
In the Outer Waters, Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level NW winds will continue much of the time thru Tue night or Wed morning.
There may be a period of sub-SCA conditions late Sun night/Mon morning. There is a 30% chance of Gale force winds tonight, mainly in the southern two zones (PZZ673/676).
In the Inner Waters N of Pt Sal, SCA level winds are likely (70% chc) during the afternoon/eve hours today thru Tue. Seas may stay above SCA levels during the night/morning hours Mon and Tue.
In the Santa Barbara Channel, there is a 30% chance of SCA level W-NW winds during the late afternoon thru late evening hours today and Sun, mainly western portions. SCA level winds are likely (60% chc) during the late afternoon thru late eve hours Mon and Tue.
In the southern inner waters, there is a 20% chance for SCA level W-NW winds late this afternoon/eve in NW portions, and there is a 20% chance of SCA level NE winds nearshore from Pt. Mugu to Malibu Sun morning. SCA conds are not expected Sun afternoon thru Tue morning. SCA level W winds are likely (60% chc) Tue afternoon/eve
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Wind Advisory now in effect until 9 AM PST this morning for zone 378. (See LAXNPWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 9 PM PST this evening for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PST Monday for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Broad troughing remains in place across the region early this morning. A quick look at satellite shows some high clouds streaming over the area with a broad area of stratus clouds across the interior portions of the area. Some patches of low clouds are in place across the Santa Ynez and San Gabriel Valleys.
Marginally gusty northerly winds linger through the Interstate 5 Corridor this morning. A wind advisory was modified to end at 9 am PST this morning as the wind and thermal support aloft is waning some. High-resolution multi-model ensemble members suggest diminishing chances of advisory level wind gusts over 45 mph after 9 am this morning, then there is a chance of advisory wind gusts again after 5 pm. With KLAX-KBFL surface pressure gradients reaching -6 to -7 mb late tonight, that seems plausible, but the wind and thermal support above the surface is much weaker. The pattern will shift to more northeasterly between late tonight and early Sunday morning as an offshore flow pattern gets into gear.
A broader low-end offshore wind event cannot be ruled out as high- resolution multi-model ensemble members indicate a decent amount of areas with near-advisory wind gusts. While a weak to moderate Santa Ana wind regime will establish for Sunday in the more typical Santa Ana wind corridor, Santa Lucia winds in San Luis Obispo County and Sundowner winds in Santa Barbara County cannot be discounted. The highest confidence exists in advisory level northeast winds across the Los Angeles and Ventura County foothills and mountains, and the Ventura County and Santa Clarita Valleys, but there is a growing confidence for a Santa Lucia wind event from this evening through Sunday morning. The next shift will be briefed about the wind possibilities.
With broad troughing in place, a cooler air mass is likely to persist with high clouds streaming over the region. GFS 300-400 mb moisture indicate high humidity values lingering into late Sunday night or early Monday morning. As far as low clouds, some clouds could filter into the Carrizo Plain and the Cuyama Valley tonight and into Sunday morning, but most areas should free of low clouds into Sunday night. There is a moderate to high chance of low clouds and fog for Los Angeles County coastal plain on Sunday night and into Monday morning. EPS cloud cover means hint at low clouds returning to KLGB, while NAM BUFR time height sections lean towards a bit higher coverage across the Los Angeles County coastal plain.
.LONG TERM (TUE-FRI)...08/548 AM.
A dry pattern will very likely linger into Tuesday, but clouds will begin to increase between Tuesday and Wednesday ahead of the next storm system. This storm system continue to appear be a moderate to strong feature to affect the region for late next week.
There continues to be a high proportion of the ensemble members favoring a stronger system across the region. EPS QPF means favor between 1.50 and 3.00 inches of rainfall areawide in the latest model solutions, but when factoring orographic effects, it stands to reason that the amounts will be higher. Ensemble means continue to skew higher rainfall total for the northern areas, but it should pointed out the most spread exists for Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. While the EPS ensemble members and the latest WPC guidance favor higher totals with this storm, there is a still a moderate (40 percent) chance of amounts lower than the mean.
ECMWF EFI values continue to lean toward the highest impacts being felt across Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo Counties. ENS and NAEFS standardized anomalies suggest mositure parameters to range in the 97th to 99th percentiles for this time of year in the CSFR climatology. Precipitable water and integrated vapor transport anomalies approach between three and four standard deviation above the mean, highest across the southern areas. Cluster analysis on the three medium range ensembles lean toward the most impactful rain for areas north of Point Conception, but a few clusters do lean wetter for the South Coast of California. One consistent feature in the cluster analyses reveals a 48-72 hour period with rainfall across the region. As a result, this could be a multiple day storm with broad flooding impacts across the area.
Gusty winds will also accompany this storm with a mix of solutions offering the highest chances for San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties seeing gusty winds. ENS and NAEFS standardized anomalies highlight the highest anomalies between two and three standard deviations above the mean along the Central Coast, while ECMWF EFI values offer up a secondary impact of winds across the same area. EPS wind gusts mean favor advisory level gusts this early out along the Central Coast at KIZA and K87Q.
Snow levels look to remain high across the region, and break away from abnormally low NBM values in the latest forecast. With the potential for an atmospheric river type storm, snow levels should be in the higher elevations of the mountains. EPS snow amount means offer up a high spread for KSDB, but a majority of the solution favor snow for KL35.
Stay tuned to the latest forecast with this system as this could be the strongest and most impactful storm of the winter season.
AVIATION
08/1234Z.
At 12Z at KLAX, there was no marine inversion.
Areas of low clouds were affecting much of interior SLO County, the Cuyama and Santa Ynez Valleys, and the mtns from southeastern SLO County thru northwestern L.A. County, Conds were mostly IFR to VLIFR where it was cloudy. Some clouds were affecting the San Gabriel Valley and southern coastal sections of L.A. County. Conds were mostly MVFR there. Skies should clear in most areas by late morning, though clouds could linger into the afternoon on northern slopes. Expect patchy low clouds tonight, mainly in southern coastal sections of L.A. County, with MVFR conds.
KLAX...Moderate to high confidence in the 12Z TAF. There is a 20% chance of MVFR cigs from 13Z-17Z this morning, and again from 10Z-16Z Sun. If low clouds arrive, there is a 20% chance for cigs BKN005-010. There is a 10% chance of winds from 020 to 060 at 8 kt thru this 16Z this morning, and from 09Z to 15Z Sun.
KBUR...High confidence in the 12Z TAF. There is a 10% chance of MVFR cigs the 17Z this morning.
MARINE
08/413 AM.
In the Outer Waters, Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level NW winds will continue much of the time thru Tue night or Wed morning.
There may be a period of sub-SCA conditions late Sun night/Mon morning. There is a 30% chance of Gale force winds tonight, mainly in the southern two zones (PZZ673/676).
In the Inner Waters N of Pt Sal, SCA level winds are likely (70% chc) during the afternoon/eve hours today thru Tue. Seas may stay above SCA levels during the night/morning hours Mon and Tue.
In the Santa Barbara Channel, there is a 30% chance of SCA level W-NW winds during the late afternoon thru late evening hours today and Sun, mainly western portions. SCA level winds are likely (60% chc) during the late afternoon thru late eve hours Mon and Tue.
In the southern inner waters, there is a 20% chance for SCA level W-NW winds late this afternoon/eve in NW portions, and there is a 20% chance of SCA level NE winds nearshore from Pt. Mugu to Malibu Sun morning. SCA conds are not expected Sun afternoon thru Tue morning. SCA level W winds are likely (60% chc) Tue afternoon/eve
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Wind Advisory now in effect until 9 AM PST this morning for zone 378. (See LAXNPWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 9 PM PST this evening for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PST Monday for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
46259 | 11 mi | 49 min | 55°F | 9 ft | ||||
46011 - SANTA MARIA - 21 NM Northwest of Point Arguello, CA | 23 mi | 45 min | N 18G | 55°F | ||||
46218 - Harvest, CA (071) | 32 mi | 49 min | 55°F | 9 ft | ||||
46215 - Diablo Canyon, CA (076) | 42 mi | 49 min | 56°F | 6 ft | ||||
PSLC1 - 9412110 - Port San Luis, CA | 43 mi | 57 min | 55°F | 55°F | 30.27 | |||
CPXC1 | 44 mi | 40 min | NNE 14 | 55°F | 30.27 | 42°F |
Wind History for Port San Luis, CA
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Airport Reports
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KVBG
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KVBG
Wind History Graph: VBG
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of Southwest
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Vandenberg AFB, CA,

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