Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Beaufort, NC

KEY MESSAGES
1) Warming and mostly dry conditions will continue through mid next week. There is a low end potential for record high temps this weekend into early next week.

2) The next frontal system approaches the area late next week, with increasing precip chances.

DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...High pressure transits across the Eastern Seaboard and sets up offshore over the weekend and early next week. This will allow for S'rly flow to set up and for increasing low level thicknesses to overspread the CWA As a result, a warming and drying trend is forecast into early next week. MaxTs in the 70s today, then warming into the low to mid 80s SAT, upper 80s inland SUN, and 90s to start next work-week.
While we will likely remain below record high temps this weekend and into early next week, we will be close. These temps are forecast to bring Minor to Moderate Heat Risks.

KEY MESSAGE 2...The next frontal system approaches the area late next week. Still quite a bit of model spread (timing and moisture) this far out, but this will bring the next best chances for precip.

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
VFR conditions are expected to prevail over the next 24 hours.
Even with light winds and a slowly moistening return flow tonight, BR/FG appears unlikely. On Saturday, southerly winds should get a bump up with the seabreeze as it develops and moves inland.

Outlook: Continued moisture return in persistent southerly flow may lead to periods of low CIGs /stratus over the weekend, especially at night into the early morning hours. Otherwise, a daily seabreeze is expected with occasionally gusty winds. The seabreeze is likely to be TSRA-free through early next week, but the chance isn't zero. The next appreciable TSRA risk looks to be the middle of next week.

MARINE
Latest obs show moderate N-NNW surge 10-20 kt ongoing early this morning, with seas 3-5 ft. Dropped SCA for the central waters based on obs. NW winds will grad diminish through the day, as high pressure builds over the waters, mainly 10-15 kt with seas subsiding to 2-4 ft. Winds will grad back overnight becoming SSW 5-15 kt.

Outlook (Saturday through Tuesday): High pressure sets up offshore, allowing for typical summertime pattern along with a mostly dry and warming forecast into the weekend. Mostly S-SW winds through the period with high pressure offshore. Light to moderate SSW winds in the mornings, increasing to 10-20 kt in the afternoon and evening with stronger thermal gradient and sea/sound breezes. Seas generally remaining 2-4 ft.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.