NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 135 AM EDT Sunday: Can't rule out a shower or two early this morning east of I-77 but any precip will be light and east of the area by daybreak as a cold front moves south of the area. Mountain valley fog is likely, mainly near the TN border, or the normally more foggy Little TN valley where the low clouds are more scattered.

High pressure builds into the area from the north today. A tight pressure gradient over the area will keep winds elevated, with low end gusts, through the day. Stratocu has developed as light isentropic lift works on the the lingering low level moisture trapped under a weak subsidence inversion. These clouds should scatter out by early afternoon as the low level flow becomes more northeasterly ending the isentropic lift. Highs will be 5 to 10 degrees below normal as a cooler air mass works in. Generally clear skies and light winds expected tonight as the center of the high pressure moves to the NC/VA border brings a relaxed pressure gradient. More widespread mountain valley fog is likely. Lows will be around 10 degrees below normal.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
As of 111 AM EDT Sunday: The first part of the new week still looks like it will be a stretch of nice late summer weather across the western Carolinas/northeast GA, courtesy of high pressure to our N/NE. A mid/upper ridge over the Plains Monday morning will build slowly east Tuesday, keeping that sfc high in our picture as it migrates from the central Appalachians to the Mid-Atlantic seaboard. This should keep an old sfc front at bay to our south through the period, while our air mass remains dry, and temps warm to within a few degrees on the cooler side of normal both days.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 200 PM EDT Saturday: The medium range guidance is in decent agreement on upper ridging continuing across the South Atlantic states to the Great Lakes, while the center of sfc high pressure remains along the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast Coast. The low-level flow will gradually shift from NELY to ELY and possibly SELY Wednesday into Thursday, which may result in increased cloud cover. As for precip chances, PoPs don't really ramp up until late Thursday into Friday, if the upper ridge axis can shift sufficiently east of the forecast area. The NBM now is in the low-end chc range for Friday, which is 10-20% under the latest model consensus. A potential tropical system in the western Gulf may be blocked somewhat by the eastern CONUS ridge. So fcst confidence is a little below average for the last couple days of the medium range. Max temps will continue to remain below normal, but min temps will trend near to slightly above normal thanks to increasing clouds and dewpts.

AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
At KCLT and elsewhere: Dry high pressure builds into the area from the north today with the center of the high settling over the NC/VA border tonight. A tight pressure gradient will keep NE winds, N at KAVL, around 10 kts with low end gusts possible. Low level moisture and weak isentropic lift has created low VFR stratocu which has spread over the area with BKN to OVC cigs. The winds and clouds should limit fog potential to the normally more foggy non-TAF sites. The cigs will remain in place through mid-morning then scatter out by afternoon as the low level flow becomes more northeasterly. Winds become more easterly by late afternoon then light and variable by evening as the pressure gradient relaxes. o Sunday night.

Outlook: The center of surface high pressure will remain over the region through the middle of the week. This will keep dry weather and VFR conditions around, but with increasing chances of mountain valley fog/low stratus each morning. A potential tropical cyclone moving out of the Gulf into the lower MS valley by Thursday could bring precip and associated restrictions to the area.

GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.