Sunday, August9, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Davis, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:22AMSunset 8:03PM Sunday August 9, 2020 4:34 PM EDT (20:34 UTC) Moonrise 10:30PMMoonset 10:46AM Illumination 67% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ156 S Of Ocracoke Inlet To Cape Lookout Nc Out 20 Nm- 319 Pm Edt Sun Aug 9 2020
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Tue night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop.
Wed night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Davis, NC
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location: 34.79, -76.51     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 091958 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 358 PM EDT Sun Aug 9 2020

SYNOPSIS. A front will linger near the area, dissipating by Monday. High pressure building in from the Atlantic then takes control through the rest of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 345 PM Sun . Rather stagnant upper air pattern this afternoon with a very weak shortwave pivoting over the western Carolinas but otherwise very weak flow overhead. At the surface, a stalled front continues to meander across the CWA and is currently along or just north of the Pamlico River.

Before sunset . Typical summertime pattern continues with the most robust convection firing along the seabreeze, with weaker convection along or north of the stalled boundary. Expect coverage to gradually expand inland with ongoing boundary collisions with an isolated stronger storm or two possible in an environment of 2500 J/kg MLCAPEs. Gusty winds are the primary threat.

Tonight . Front will dissipate overnight with convection gradually waning. Given the convective trends over the past couple nights extended mentionable PoPs to around 03z. Skies gradually clear overnight with winds potentially decoupling. Patchy fog is possible especially for areas that will receive rainfall this afternoon. Lows again remain in the low to mid 70s, upper 70s to around 80 beaches.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY/. As of 355 PM Sun . Similar pattern to today with front completely dissipating allowing for weak southwesterly flow across the region. CAMs are a bit more aggressive on coverage tomorrow, which is possible as the shortwave to our west gradually approaches the region. On the other hand drier air/subsidence will continue to remain a factor aloft. Opted to keep similar PoPs to today with the seabreeze once again being the primary convective initiator. Low-level thicknesses change little with highs again climbing to around 90.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 345 AM Sunday . Seasonable weather on tap through the long term period, with only minor day to day variability owing to subtle changes in the upper level pattern and strength of low level WAA.

Broad upper ridging over the southern US begins to break down Monday as shortwave energy pushes across the Midwest, with a more pronounced weakness aloft developing mid to late week. In the lower levels, continued SW flow on the periphery of the Bermuda high will keep ample low level moisture in place through the period, with storm trends following mainly diurnal patterns, with the greatest threat for thunderstorms coming each afternoon along and ahead of the sea breeze. Waning upper level subsidence and weak surface troughing gradually strengthening inland through the week allow for greater storm coverage each day (~50% POP by Thu/Fri), and would be expected to initiate convection earlier in the day with less capping in place. While ample moisture and instability will be present, shear will be meager with 0-6 km bulk shear generally around 10 kt or less limiting the severe threat. Still, cannot rule out stronger storms producing isolated wind damage and heavy rainfall producing localized flooding. Temps will generally continue to be near normal, with convection being the primary culprit for deviations from normal.

AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Short Term /through 18Z Monday/ . As of 145 PM Sunday . Cu field around FL030 but coverage is limited. VFR conditions this afternoon outside of tstorms that are firing along the coast and could bring brief periods of sub- VFR cats. Regional terminals are expected to have scattered tstorms later in the day beginning around 21Z. With calming winds overnight, patchy fog is expected in the footprint of rainfall this afternoon/evening; MVFR visibilities were added to the early morning hours. Tomorrow winds will be light, predominantly out of the S/SW.

Long Term /Monday night through Thursday/ . As of 145 PM Sun . Typical summertime pattern through the period with light winds and diurnally enhanced convection each day. Pred VFR conditions expected outside of showers and thunderstorms and patchy early morning fog and/or stratus.

MARINE. Short Term /Through Monday/ . As of 400 PM Sun . Favorable boating conditions continue for the period. Front is draped over the Pamlico River with easterly winds over the Northern OBX, southerly winds elsewhere at 5-10 kt. Buoys show seas of 1-2 ft. Front dissipates tonight with southerly flow overspreading all waters at around 10 kt, with weaker winds during the morning hours. Seas reach no higher than 2 feet.

Long Term /Monday night through Thursday/ . As of 330 AM Sunday . Good boating conditions continue through much of the long term. Expect S to SW winds around 10 kt into mid week, with gusts to around 15 kt each afternoon as the sea breeze develops and differential heating tightens the gradient a bit locally. The Bermuda high begins to strengthen offshore mid to late week with southerly winds increasing to 10-15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late Wednesday and Thursday. Seas persist around 2 ft through Tuesday, then build to 2-3 ft Wednesday and Thursday.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . MS SHORT TERM . MS LONG TERM . SK/CB AVIATION . SK/CB/CEB MARINE . SK/MS


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 10 mi46 min N 5.1 G 7 82°F 86°F1020.4 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 12 mi34 min SW 6 G 8 83°F 1019.5 hPa (-0.8)
41159 46 mi38 min 84°F2 ft
41064 47 mi26 min SW 9.7 G 12 83°F 1019.3 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC9 mi36 minNW 31.50 miThunderstorm in Vicinity Light Rain77°F72°F85%1019.7 hPa
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC16 mi38 minS 510.00 miFair83°F72°F70%1020 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC20 mi40 minN 05.00 miThunderstorm Light Rain Fog/Mist74°F72°F94%1019.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMRH

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW12SW10SW8SW10SW9SW11SW10SW8SW7SW5SW7W10S5SW4SW3NW5NW4N4NW3S6S4S7E6NW3
1 day agoSW7S8S7S11SW10SW9W7W7W5SW5S6SW7SW5SW4NW6NW5NW7NW5N33SW9S9SW10SW8
2 days agoSW9S11S7SW6S5S5S4S4SW3S5S6S5SW4W4SW5SW76SW7S8S9SW11SW8SW7SW10

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:59 AM EDT     1.75 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:50 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 02:29 PM EDT     1.85 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:27 PM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:30 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.61.71.71.51.20.80.50.30.30.40.81.21.61.81.81.71.41.10.80.60.40.50.7

Tide / Current Tables for Harkers Island Bridge, North Carolina
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Harkers Island Bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:42 AM EDT     1.55 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:13 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 02:12 PM EDT     1.64 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:50 PM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:30 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.51.51.41.20.90.60.40.30.30.50.91.21.51.61.61.41.20.90.60.50.40.50.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.