Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Atlantic, NC

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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC

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FXUS62 KMHX 171921 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 221 PM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will continue over the region into early next week. A dry cold front will move through early Wednesday morning.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 200 PM Sunday . Quiet weather is expected tonight with just some passing mid clouds from time to time. A cold front now over central Tennessee will cross the mountains and move into our area. With little moisture to work with, any moisture will remain on the windward side of the NC mountains with this front. The main impact for us will be a few additional clouds ahead of the front and some additional mixing, which will hold lows in the 30s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY/. As of 200 PM Sunday . The front mentioned above will usher in a reinforcing shot of colder air. Temps again will be in the upper 40s to around 50. Another mostly sunny day is expected with high pressure building northeast out of the Gulf of Mexico.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 330 AM Sunday . A strong shortwave embedded in a deep longwave upper trough will cross eastern NC during the day on Monday. The deeper moisture with this shortwave will remain to the north of the area, so will continue a dry forecast although considerable cloudiness is expected, given steep lapse rates. A cool day with highs upper 40s northeast to lower 50s southern CWA.

Monday night will be cold with lows in the upper 20s to around 30 degrees, rebounding into the low/mid 50s Tuesday under sunny skies as the area is between systems. A dry cold front will cross the area during the first part of the day Wednesday, with only a wind shift expected. Temperatures remain fairly consistent into late week with highs low/mid 50s and lows mainly in the 40s.

Some changes in model trends for the end of the week into next weekend. GFS/ECMWF trending drier with Thursday and will keep just 20-30 percent PoPs in the forecast. Big differences in the two models for Friday as a several waves of low pressure form along a stalled front near or just south of the CWA. The GFS has trended drier, shunting the moisture/precipitation to the south, while the ECMWF shows a rather wet day on Friday with deeper omega and moisture. Split the difference, which matches well with the surrounding offices showing high chance PoPs for Friday, but the forecast for this period will continue to evolve. Saturday looks dry and cool with highs mainly upper 40s.

AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Short Term /Through 06Z Monday/ . As of 130 PM Sun . VFR through the TAF period. A slight increase in clouds overnight but VFR expected. Gusty winds this afternoon diminish toward sunset, and become a bit gusty again Monday 10 to 15 kts.

Long Term /Monday through Thursday/ . As of 340 AM Sunday . With high pressure in control, VFR conditions are expected Monday through Wednesday. A few showers are possible on Thursday as frontal boundary stalls near the area, but any sub-VFR conditions will be brief.

MARINE. Short Term /Through Monday afternoon/ . As of 215 PM Sunday . Slight timing adjustments to the current SCA, otherwise no big changes. As expected we are seeing a brief window of improving conditions on the waters now with west- southwest winds 10 to 20 mph, and seas 3 to 4 feet. A cold front will move through the waters tonight. As the gradient increases along the front, southwest winds will increase 20 to 30 kts, especially the central and southern waters. Seas will build to 6 feet late.

West winds Monday will remain brisk 20 to 30 kts, again especially central and southern waters. Seas will be near 6 feet.

Long Term /Monday night through Friday/ . As of 345 AM Sunday . Gusty westerly winds and rough seas will continue through Monday, with gusts to 30 knots and seas up to 6 feet. These conditions should subside Tuesday through Thursday with mostly W/NW winds 15-20 knots and seas 3-5 feet on most waters.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EST Tuesday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Tuesday for AMZ156-158. Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Monday for AMZ135.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . EH SHORT TERM . EH LONG TERM . CTC AVIATION . EH/CTC MARINE . EH/CTC

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC	20 mi	41 min	WSW 9.9 G 13	48°F			1013.2 hPa (-2.4)
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC	21 mi	53 min	SW 6 G 9.9	48°F	51°F		1013.3 hPa
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC	41 mi	53 min	W 12 G 14	47°F	59°F		1012.1 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC

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SW11 G24

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC	12 mi	1.7 hrs	WSW 10	10.00 mi	Fair	50°F	29°F	44%	1013.1 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC	20 mi	43 min	WSW 12	10.00 mi	Fair	48°F	31°F	52%	1012.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNBT

Wind History from NBT (wind in knots)

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W17 G30

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S13 G18

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S11 G17

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Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for Harkers Island Bridge, North Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Ground Weather Radar Station

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