Sunday, August25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oriental, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 7:45PM Sunday August 25, 2019 7:00 PM EDT (23:00 UTC) Moonrise 12:14AMMoonset 2:53PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ156 S Of Ocracoke Inlet To Cape Lookout Nc Out 20 Nm- 300 Pm Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Monday evening...
Tonight..NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers rough. Scattered showers until early morning, then isolated showers late.
Mon..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. Isolated showers.
Mon night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.
Tue..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Tue night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. A chance of showers, mainly in the evening.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, diminishing to flat in the afternoon. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oriental, NC
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location: 35.03, -76.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 251945
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
345 pm edt Sun aug 25 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will remain stalled offshore into Monday. Low
pressure will lift northeast well offshore of the southeast
coast early this week. Another cold front will move through
Wednesday night or Thursday.

Near term through tonight
As of 345 pm sun... High pressure to the north will continue to
wedge into the area with sfc front and low pres well offshore.

Drier air continues to filter in, with td's falling into the 50s
coastal plains locales. This will prohibit any more showers for
these areas. A few iso showers may continue to graze the coastal
counties overnight as cyclonic flow around offshore low continues,
though these won't amount to much in way of accums. With the
drier air filtering in, low temps will cool down into the low
60s interior, though remain warm in the low 70s at the beaches
where blustery NE breezes continue.

Short term Monday
As of 345 pm sun... Another coolish day on Monday as NE flow
continues between high to the NW and low pres well offshore.

Temps should be a couple degrees warmer as thicknesses rise more
and perhaps some more breaks in the ovc skies expected. Only a
few iso sct showers possible across mainly ERN zones in closer
proximity to the low offshore, though very little if any
measurable amounts expected. Highs in the low mid 80s.

Long term Monday night through Sunday
As of 335 pm sun... Eastern nc will remain in a weakly zonal
flow between subtropical upper ridges over the SW CONUS and
bermuda through tue, while at the surface a possible tropical
cyclone tracks northeast and offshore with minimal affects
expected over land. Mid week, amplification of the flow into an
upper trough will allow a cold front to push into our region
late Wed then stall just south Thu where it will dissipate
through fri. Upper ridging from the atlantic is forecast to
extend back over the area next weekend with a weakening cold
front possibly penetrating the ridge late in the weekend.

Minimal shower chances expected through early wed, then better
coverage of showers and thunderstorms are expected late Wed into
thu with the frontal passage. Will keep 20-30% pops fri-sun for
mainly diurnal showers and storms aided by weak frontal
boundaries near the area.

Tuesday... Only minimal (20%) chance for showers as low level ne
flow associated with high pressure prevails across the area
with the potential tropical cyclone expected to remain offshore.

Any cyclone related impacts will be water related in the form
of rough surf and strong rip currents.

Highs will be in the low to mid 80s.

Wednesday through Sunday... The aforementioned front begins to
affect the area late Wed into Thu with better coverage of
showers and thunderstorms expected. Temps should warm a bit
into the mid to upper 80s wed-thu as southerly flow briefly
develops ahead of the front. The front is forecast to stall and
dissipate near along the coast Fri into Sat with another weak
front possibly moving in Sunday. Therefore will need to keep low
end chance pops fri-sun for mainly afternoon evening activity.

Highs will mostly in the low to mid 80s and lows in the mid upr
60s interior to low 70s coast.

Aviation 20z Sunday through Friday
Short term through Mon ...

as of 2 pm sun... Return toVFR finally for most terminals as
lower atms continues to slowly mix out. Blustery NE breezes with
gusts 15-20 kt will abate to around 10 kt or less tonight. There
may be another lowering of CIGS by later this evening as more
cyclonic moisture swings around low pres that is spinning well
offshore, though don't foresee any ifr CIGS at this time. Low
stratus should mix back toVFR sct bkn CIGS Mon morning.

Long term Monday night through Friday ...

as of 335 pm sun... The best chance for showers and
thunderstorms will be late Wed into Thu as a cold front moves
through the area. Otherwise, the best chance for brief subVFR
conditions will early each morning in fog stratus and briefly in
scattered showers storms Tue and Fri afternoons and evenings.

Marine
Short term through Mon ...

as of 345 pm sun... Solid SCA conditions observed across the
marine domain as high pres ridges into the carolinas from the
north and low pres gathers well offshore producing the tightened
gradient. Seas have responded by building to 6-9 ft most areas.

The winds and seas should peak this evening, and remain in the
20-30 kt range before diminishing late, where SCA conditions
should expire for the sounds and rivers. The large seas will
continue through Mon as the gradient remains with NE winds
sustained 15-20 kt. Continued to fcst based on ec waves as wwiv
and hence nwps are too low with wave heights.

Long term Monday night through Friday ...

as of 335 pm sun... Ne flow around 15 kt is expected through tue
night. Residual 5-6 ft over the outer northern and central
waters are forecast to linger through Tue evening before
subsiding. Light SW flow around 10 kt is forecast to develop
late Wed and Wed night then shift to N NE Thu as a weak cold
front crosses the waters. NE E flow around 10 kt is forecast
fri. Seas 3-5 ft wed, then becoming 2-3 ft Thursday and fri.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 345 pm sun... Dangerous surf conditions expected to
continue through mon, with strong rip currents and dangerous
shore break. A high risk of rip currents continues north of cape
hatteras, with a moderate risk from CAPE hatteras to cape
lookout.

Minor water level rises will be possible for low lying areas
adjacent to the southern pamlico sound and neuse rivers
(including areas from downeast carteret, west towards cherry
point and oriental) through tonight, given the persistent
strong NE winds. Rises up to 1 ft above ground (1.5 ft above
normal).

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz203-
205.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 2 am edt Monday for amz131-137-230-
231.

Small craft advisory until 11 am edt Monday for amz135.

Small craft advisory until 2 am edt Wednesday for amz150-152-
154.

Small craft advisory until 10 pm edt Monday for amz156-158.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Tl
short term... Tl
long term... Jme
aviation... Jme tl
marine... Jme tl
tides coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi43 min NNE 12 G 21 77°F 82°F1016.8 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 30 mi61 min NNE 23 G 28 78°F 1015.8 hPa (-0.0)69°F

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC13 mi65 minNNE 16 G 2410.00 miOvercast78°F69°F74%1016.5 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC15 mi67 minNNE 1310.00 miOvercast79°F64°F62%1016.5 hPa
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC19 mi67 minNNE 1210.00 miOvercast77°F66°F69%1017.3 hPa
Beaufort Smith Field, NC21 mi63 minNNE 14 G 2310.00 miOvercast78°F66°F69%1016.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNBT

Wind History from NBT (wind in knots)
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NE14----N9------N12--N15
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1 day agoS14SW12SW10SW6------W5W9--N8N8N6N11NE11N10N11N9NE10NE8N7N6N13N12
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2 days agoS12SW10S9--------S5------S3S3SW6W13W13W14SW7SW7
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Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:14 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:23 AM EDT     1.92 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:40 AM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:58 PM EDT     2.44 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:42 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:55 PM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.711.41.71.91.91.71.410.70.50.40.611.522.32.42.321.71.20.80.6

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:13 AM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:14 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:22 AM EDT     1.65 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:02 PM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:57 PM EDT     2.08 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:42 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.50.81.11.51.61.61.51.20.90.60.40.40.50.81.21.722.121.81.51.10.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.