Indian Trail, NC Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Indian Trail, NC

April 12, 2024 4:27 PM EDT (20:27 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:52 AM   Sunset 7:54 PM
Moonrise 8:23 AM   Moonset 11:50 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Indian Trail, NC
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Area Discussion for - Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
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FXUS62 KGSP 121900 AFDGSP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 300 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024

SYNOPSIS
Drier air will filter into the region and very windy conditions will continue into Saturday. Warmer weather returns for the weekend into the middle of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 240 PM: Been a windy day over the mountains thus far, with frequent gusts also seen east of the Blue Ridge, so obviously the Wind Advisory will continue. We continue to see numerous showers on the KMRX radar over east TN, and several have moved over the mountains, yet none have survived east of the divide. Suspect we will see a few sprinkles make it to the foothills thru afternoon, given some mid-level DPVA at the leading edge of a short wave diving down into the bottom of the trof associated with the upper low over the Great Lakes. Some weak covergence downstream of the mountains, mainly over the srn Piedmont, suggests a small chance of precip there late in the day and/or early this evening. Can't rule out a low-topped thunderstorm or two along the TN border, maybe even with some graupel briefly mixed in, based on observations/reports in east TN over the past hour or two. We continue to mix deeply enough to encounter some stronger winds aloft, and guidance shows the WNW flow at 850 mb getting stronger as we head into the early evening. Temp/dewpt trends look okay.

An upper low over the Great Lakes late today will spin off to the east overnight, and lift over eastern Quebec on Saturday. Some residual moisture in the NW flow in the wake of the short wave will keep some shower activity going into the evening hours on the W side of the mtns. The shower chances diminish after midnight as the moisture dries up. East of the mtns, the small shower chances should end with the passage of the wave. Strong wind gusts will persist across the higher terrain overnight, but east of the mtns, the winds should decouple enough to lose the gustiness. Low temps look like they will be right around normal. For Saturday, high pressure builds in over the Southeast, and the dry air should give us a sunny day. Although the gradient relaxes, we still expect some frequent gusts from late morning onward, particularly over the mtns. We might eventually need to consider extending the Wind Advisory later into the day. High temps will be right around normal, and the air mass will be dry. Dewpt might mix out enough to bring the afternoon RH down to around 25% in spots. See Fire Wx discussion below.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 2:35 PM EDT Friday: The short-term fcst picks up at 00z on Sunday with broad upper trofing moving further off the Atlantic Coast, as broad relatively flat upper ridging builds over our region. A fairly weak, embedded upper shortwave will translate over our area late Sunday as broad upper trofing persists well to our north over eastern Canada. Upper ridging will linger over our area for the rest of the period as another upper trof cuts off a closed low over the SW CONUS towards the end of the period late Monday. At the sfc, broad high pressure will be centered to our south over the Gulf Coast as the period begins. Over the next 24 to 36 hrs, a weak cold front associated with the above-mentioned upper shortwave will move thru our area. The front should not have much impact on our sensible wx other than some brief low-end PoPs over our northernmost zones late Sun into early Mon. Otherwise, temperatures will warm thru the period with values well-above climatology.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 2:25 PM EDT Friday: The extended fcst picks up at 00z on Tuesday with broad upper trofing will to our north and upper ridging over the Southeast. Over the next couple of days, a southern-stream upper trof will lift out of the Southwest CONUS and move up and over the upper ridge causing it to flatten. The trof axis is expected to pass over our area late Wed into early Thurs just as another broad upper trof/ closed low moves SE from central Canada. This system will continue to translate SE thru the end of the period, and likely be centered some- where over the Great Lakes by the end of the period next Fri. At the sfc, our area will be under weak SLY low-level flow and the western fringe of the Bermuda High as the period begins. Over the next 24 to 36 hrs, a robust low pressure system will eject from the Central Plains and bring a fairly dry cold front to our doorstep by early Wed. The front is progged to move thru our fcst area on Wed and then offshore by early Thurs. In its wake, the sfc pattern remains progressive with another low spinning up just behind the first low and moving another, potentially stronger cold front to our doorstep as the period is ending on Fri. As for sensible fcst, the first part of the period should be mostly dry with chances for showers and tstorms ramping up towards the end of next week as the stronger frontal system approaches our CWA
Temperatures will remain well-above climatology thru the period.

AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
At KCLT and elsewhere: VFR at all terminals through the period, but the remainder of the daytime hours will feature frequent wind gusts from the W. This presents a problem at KCLT of course. The obs have been in agreement with the guidance that a WSW direction will prevail and that was continued initially, but at some point late in the day, the direction should veer slightly to WNW. That change was instituted at 22Z, but confidence in that timing was not great. It could easily slip into the early evening, when a weak sfc trof comes off the mtns and gives the wrn Piedmont some isolated shower activity. KAVL could have a period of VFR broken ceiling with a passing shower into this evening. The winds finally diminish and we lose the gusts temporarily in the early morning hours Saturday. Gusts return by late morning Saturday, with the direction favoring WNW to NW.

Outlook: Winds will remain gusty across the North Carolina mountains through Saturday. VFR conditions will persist this weekend and early next week as high pressure builds across the terminals.

FIRE WEATHER
Minimum RH values on Saturday are forecast to drop below 30 percent over much of the western Carolinas, but winds will not be as gusty as today. Nonetheless, low-end gusts of 15 to 25 mph over the lower terrain and gusts of 20 to 40 mph over the mountains are expected. Thus, Fire danger statements may be needed for portions of our forecast area on Saturday.

GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...Wind Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for GAZ010-017-018- 026-028-029.
NC...Wind Advisory until 10 AM EDT Saturday for NCZ033-048>050-052- 053-059-063>065-501-503-505-507-509.
SC...Wind Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for SCZ010-101>107.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KEQY CHARLOTTEMONROE EXECUTIVE,NC 5 sm34 minWSW 19G2910 smPartly Cloudy70°F36°F28%29.76
KCLT CHARLOTTE/DOUGLAS INTL,NC 17 sm27 minNW 19G2710 smMostly Cloudy Thunderstorm Lt Rain 64°F34°F32%29.77
KUZA ROCK HILL/YORK CO/BRYANT FIELD,SC 21 sm33 minW 13G2610 smMostly Cloudy66°F34°F30%29.77
KJQF CONCORDPADGETT RGNL,NC 22 sm19 minNW 14G2510 smOvercast64°F34°F32%29.80
Link to 5 minute data for KEQY


Wind History from EQY
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Columbia, SC,



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