Thursday, October1, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
New Bern, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:02AMSunset 6:52PM Thursday October 1, 2020 7:36 AM EDT (11:36 UTC) Moonrise 6:10PMMoonset 5:39AM Illumination 99% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ137 NEuse And Bay Rivers- 716 Am Edt Thu Oct 1 2020
Today..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S this afternoon. Waves light chop.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop after midnight.
Fri..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop in the afternoon.
Fri night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Sat..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Sat night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Sun..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. Showers likely, then a chance of showers.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Bern, NC
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location: 35.09, -77.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 010922 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 522 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2020

SYNOPSIS. A dry cold front will cross the area tonight, followed by cooler high pressure Friday into the weekend. Low pressure and unsettled weather is possible early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 345 AM Thu . Deep layer subsidence keeps clear/sunny skies and a dry forecast in place today. High pressure building in from the south and weak troughing inland keeps light southerly winds in place, with highs within a degree or two of normal across the area.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY/. As of 345 AM Thu . Robust high pressure pushing from the Great Plains into the eastern US will force a cold front through the area late tonight. Strong and persistent mid to upper level subsidence will keep a dry forecast in place through the passage of the front, though modest low level moisture will bring the development of stratus along and behind the front. Temps only cool slowly after sunset through the overnight hours, then much more quickly as stronger CAA develops behind the cold front through the pre-dawn hours. Lows will be in the mid to upper 50s for most.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 430 AM Thursday . An amplified upper level pattern will persist across the CONUS through early next week with ridging across the west coast and an upper trough across the eastern 2/3rds of the CONUS. A series of embedded shortwaves will move through the upper trough through the long term with attendant sfc cold fronts moving across ENC occasionally bringing enhanced precip chances early next week and again toward the end of the period, especially along the coast.

Friday through Saturday . A cold front will push farther offshore Friday morning with cool high pressure building in from the west into the weekend. Lingering low level moisture will keep partly to mostly cloudy skies Friday morning but expect clearing skies in the afternoon into Saturday, though expect increasing clouds to begin to push in from the coast as a coastal trough develops offshore through the day. CAA will bring breezy northerly winds Friday, which diminish and shift to the NE Saturday. Temps will be a few degrees below climo with highs around 70 inland to mid 70s along the coast.

Saturday night through Monday . A robust northern stream shortwave approaches the area Saturday night and Sunday and pushes across the area Monday. Improving jet dynamics with the region placed under the right entrance region of the jet will enhance ascent across the region with increasing convergence along coastal trough just offshore bringing scattered to numerous showers across ENC with best coverage across coastal sections. A weak low pressure area is progged to develop along the trough just offshore Sunday night and deepen as it lifts away from the area Monday as the upper trough and attendant sfc cold front pushes through the area. The region is expected to remain on the cool side of the trough with pred N to NE winds and highs continuing around 70 inland to mid 70s coast.

Monday night through Wednesday . Brief shortwave ridging and sfc high pressure build into the area Monday night, then pushes offshore Tuesday into Tuesday night as the next northern stream shortwave and cold front moves across the Midwest. Dry conditions expected through most of this period but once again a coastal trough will develop offshore as the shortwave approaches and could see a few showers skirting coastal sections Wednesday and perhaps a few light rain showers Wednesday night as the shortwave trough and front push across the area, though moisture will be limited with this system. Temps will warm a few degrees Tuesday into Wednesday with return flow as the high slides offshore with high in the mid 70s and perhaps a few upper 70s southern coastal sections.

AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 140 AM Thu . Efficient radiational cooling ongoing tonight, with dew point depressions around 2 degrees or less across the area. Some patchy, shallow fog is possible through sunrise, but the weakening subsidence inversion and occasional few knots of wind are expected to limit fog coverage below what justifies inclusion in the TAF. VFR prevails through this evening under clear skies and light SSW winds. A cold front will cross the area very early Thursday morning, and a few hours of SUB-VFR conditions are possible a low stratus develops behind the front pre-dawn.

Long Term /Friday through Monday/ . As of 445 AM Thursday . A cold front will push offshore early Friday and could see lingering sub-VFR condition lingering into Friday morning, but expect clearing skies in the afternoon with pred VFR conditions into the first half of the weekend. A system will be approaching from the west with showers increasing along the coast Saturday night and spreading inland Sunday into Monday with periods of sub-VFR conditions across rtes, especially at coastal terminals.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 4 AM Thu . High pressure building in from the south keeps mainly light southerly flow in place across the waters today. Tonight, a cold front front will approach from the northwest bringing moderate south to southwest prefrontal flow. The front will quickly cross the waters early Thursday morning, with moderate to breezy winds 15-20 kt northwest developing through the pre- dawn hours. Seas remain around 3 to 4 ft today and tonight in mainly medium to short period trade-like swell.

Long Term /Friday through Monday/ . As of 5 AM Thursday . A cold front will push through early Friday with CAA bringing gusty N wind around 10-20 kt Friday, trending to the NE on Saturday while seas build to around 3-5 ft. Could see a short period of SCA conditions with the initial surge behind the front, mainly in gusts. A coastal trough develops offshore Sunday as a system approaches from the west but it is progged to remain around 20 nm offshore with NE winds around 15 kt or less. Another cold front will push across the waters Monday with winds becoming N to NW around 10-15 kt.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CB SHORT TERM . CB LONG TERM . SK AVIATION . SK/CB MARINE . SK/CB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 33 mi66 min Calm G 1.9 64°F 75°F1016.7 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 43 mi36 min NW 7 G 8 69°F 1016.6 hPa (+0.6)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC1 mi42 minN 010.00 miFair52°F52°F100%1016.3 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC19 mi42 minN 010.00 miFair52°F51°F97%1016.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWN

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW5W8NW8NW9W7W8W8W8W8SW8W6Calm--SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmS3Calm
1 day agoCalmS5SE5SE5S6S7S93SW5S10
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalm33E3E4SE5SE4SE4S5S5S3CalmSE3CalmCalmSE4CalmCalmSE3SE3W7S5

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:24 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:20 AM EDT     2.49 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:46 PM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:06 PM EDT     Full Moon
Thu -- 06:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:08 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 09:34 PM EDT     2.40 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.510.50.30.30.71.21.82.22.52.42.21.71.20.70.40.30.511.62.12.42.42.2

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:22 AM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:38 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:14 AM EDT     1.53 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:44 PM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:06 PM EDT     Full Moon
Thu -- 06:50 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:08 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:28 PM EDT     1.48 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.20.90.60.30.20.20.40.71.11.41.51.51.310.70.40.20.20.30.611.31.51.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.