Wednesday, April21, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
New Bern, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:26AMSunset 7:47PM Wednesday April 21, 2021 6:20 AM EDT (10:20 UTC) Moonrise 12:43PMMoonset 2:21AM Illumination 70% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ137 NEuse And Bay Rivers- 426 Am Edt Wed Apr 21 2021
.small craft advisory in effect from this afternoon through Thursday morning...
Today..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt this afternoon. Waves light chop, increasing to choppy this afternoon. A slight chance of showers and tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves choppy. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves choppy.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Waves light chop.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Sat..S winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves choppy. Showers.
Sun..W winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Bern, NC
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location: 35.09, -77.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 210947 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 547 AM EDT Wed Apr 21 2021

SYNOPSIS. A strong cold front will cross the area this afternoon through early evening. High pressure will build in from the west Thursday and Friday. Low pressure will impact the region later Saturday into Sunday, followed by high pressure early next week.

NEAR TERM /TODAY/. As of 430 AM Wed . A strong cold front approaching the area this morning will cross this afternoon under a passing shortwave aloft. Prefrontal low level flow will be SW, with wind gusts around 20-30 mph late morning through the afternoon, but very limited moisture transport. As such, mainly sunny skies this morning, with ample mixing bringing gusty winds and low RH values ahead of the front this afternoon. See the FIRE WEATHER section below more on the enhanced fire danger for today.

CAMs in good agreement that very limited pre-frontal moisture transport will limit precip coverage to isolated (or less) for much of the area. Still, strong shear and modest instability approaching 1500 J/kg after a sunny morning means that any storms that are initiated along/just ahead of the front will have the potential to become organized and produce damaging wind gusts. Limited available moisture will be the primary limiting factor for the severe threat/coverage. The already low precip changes will end late this afternoon or early this evening as the front pushes off the coast and strong CAA ensues.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 430 AM Wed . Post-frontal CAA is the name of the game tonight. Breezy/brisk conditions on tap as high pressure forces its way in from the west. Temps drop quickly through the night, with lows dropping into the 30s away from the coast under clearing skies. Persistent winds will limit the frost and fog threat.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 5 AM Wednesday . Cold high pressure builds into the area Thursday into Friday bringing the potential for frost Friday morning. A potentially strong low pressure area and cold front will push through this weekend with high pressure building back in early next week.

Thursday through Friday . CAA continues Thursday as high pressure builds into the area. A mid-level shortwave and sfc trough will push across the area Thursday evening with little affect on sensible weather other than to pinch the gradients some. Temps Thursday will be around 10-15 degrees below normal despite generally sunny skies with highs expected in the low to mid 60s. High pressure builds back in from the west late Thursday night becoming centered over the area early Friday morning. Clear skies and calm winds allowing for excellent radiational cooling bringing a better frost potential with lows dropping into the mid 30s inland while coastal sections will be in the low to mid 40s. The high migrates offshore Friday with return flow bringing warming temps with highs expected in the upper 60s to around 70 inland with coastal sections in the mid 60s.

Saturday through Sunday . A robust mid-level shortwave and attendant sfc low track across the southern states Saturday then deepens as it tracks through the southern mid-Atlantic Saturday night. Much better moisture transport will surge into the area bringing widespread rainfall with guidance showing 1-1.5" QPF possible. Significant shear will be in place with guidance showing 50-70 kt 0-6km bulk shear but instability will be very limited only peaking around 500 J/Kg Saturday night as the low tracks NW of the area leading to a minimal severe threat. A few lingering showers possible early Sunday but the low will quickly lift away from the area with clearing skies. High temps Saturday will be in the mid to upper 60s warm into the low to mid 70s Sunday.

Monday and Tuesday . High pressure will build into the area early next week bringing dry conditions and a slow warming trend with 70s to near 80 by Tuesday.

AVIATION /09Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 2 AM Wed . VFR conditions will prevail as a cold front approaching from the northwest brings the threat for at most a few isolated storms this afternoon. The cold front moves east of the terminals this evening, with clearing/drying conditions. The most impactful threat today and tonight will be gusty winds, with southwesterly winds ahead of the cold front through mid afternoon, then gusty west to northwest winds this evening and overnight. The gusty northwest winds this evening and overnight will create crosswind concerns primarily for PGV runway 2/20 and EWN runway 4/22, with crosswind impacts also possible for OAJ and ISO overnight.

Long Term /Thursday through Sunday/ . As of 530 AM Wednesday . Pred VFR conditions expected into Saturday morning. A strengthening low pressure center will impact the area later Saturday and Saturday night with sub-VFR conditions likely. Skies clear quickly Sunday with VFR conditionsreturning.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 430 AM Wed . Dangerous marine conditions develop this morning as SW winds increase rapidly ahead of an approaching cold front. The front will cross the waters later this afternoon and early evening, with gusty NW winds developing for the late evening and overnight hours. SCAs in effect for all waters to account for the pre-and-post-frontal winds. Additionally, several hours of near-gale force winds are possible early this evening as the post-frontal LLJ strengthens with the development of the nocturnal inversion inland, and winds mix very efficiently over the waters, which have climbed up to the upper 50s to 60s already this spring.

Seas are mostly predicated on local wind swell, with 3-5 ft seas developing today, and 6 footers become more common this evening and overnight as windswell strengthens despite the offshore wind direction.

Long Term /Thursday through Sunday/ . As of 530 AM Wednesday . NW winds diminish to around 10-15 kt with seas subsiding to around 3-5 ft north and 2-3 ft south around mid-day Thursday and expect SCA to drop for all waters by then. Gradients tighten up again late Thursday afternoon and evening as a mid-level shortwave and sfc trough track across the area with winds increasing to around 15-20 kt and could see some gusts around 25 kt for a few hours. High pressure will dominate Friday bringing good boating conditions but a strong low pressure area will approach the area Saturday and lift NW of the area Saturday night and expect a period of strong SCA conditions to develop Saturday afternoon. Slow improve expected through the day Sunday but most waters will continue to have SCA conditions through the day.

FIRE WEATHER. As of 430 AM Wed . Gusty SW pre-frontal winds late morning through early afternoon will bring RH values to near critical thresholds. Additionally, sunny skies will further dry surface fuels, and rapid fire growth is possible. Per coordination with NCFS, a Fire Danger Statement remains in effect for today.

There will be a continued threat of fire spread on Thursday as humidities drop into the 20 to 30 percent range and W winds gust to around 20 kt.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EDT Thursday for AMZ136-137. Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 9 AM EDT Thursday for AMZ135-156-158. Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EDT Thursday for AMZ131-230-231. Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to noon EDT Thursday for AMZ150-152-154.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CB SHORT TERM . CB LONG TERM . SK AVIATION . SK/CB MARINE . SK/CB FIRE WEATHER . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 33 mi50 min S 2.9 G 2.9 64°F 68°F1012.4 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 43 mi80 min SW 4.1 G 5.1 65°F 1012.4 hPa (-1.5)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC1 mi26 minN 010.00 miFair52°F49°F89%1011.9 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC19 mi26 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds51°F48°F89%1011.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWN

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmE5SE6E5E8SE7
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1 day agoCalm3SE6S10SE66NW12NE9N7NW12
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N9N11N9N6N3CalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmN5N5Calm5NE3SE9SE8E8SE6SE5E5E4SE3CalmCalmCalmNE5CalmCalmNE5Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:19 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 04:09 AM EDT     2.07 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:59 AM EDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:42 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:44 PM EDT     1.88 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:43 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:10 PM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.81.21.61.92.121.81.51.10.80.50.40.60.81.21.61.81.91.71.51.10.80.50.4

Tide / Current Tables for Spooner Creek, North Carolina
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Spooner Creek
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:19 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:03 AM EDT     1.27 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:57 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:43 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:38 PM EDT     1.16 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.50.811.21.31.21.10.90.70.50.30.30.30.50.811.11.21.10.90.70.50.3

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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