Sunday, May31, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ocracoke, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:53AMSunset 8:17PM Sunday May 31, 2020 11:20 AM EDT (15:20 UTC) Moonrise 1:32PMMoonset 1:36AM Illumination 71% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 935 Am Edt Sun May 31 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 7 pm edt this evening...
Today..N winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming ne 15 to 25 kt late. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tonight..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon night..E winds around 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves 1 ft.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft, then 2 to 4 ft in the afternoon.
Tue night..SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Wed..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ocracoke, NC
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location: 35.12, -75.99     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 311352 AAA AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 952 AM EDT Sun May 31 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build into the Carolinas through midweek. Another cold front will approach from the northwest Thursday into Friday.

NEAR TERM /REST OF TODAY/. As of 940 AM Sunday . Very minor adjustments for the near term forecast, mainly for temps/dew points/sky cover, otherwise previous forecast in very good shape. Latest surface analysis illustrates the cold front offshore of the NC coast, with strong 1029mb centered over the upper Mid-West and Great Lakes. High pressure will gradually build in from the NW today. Blended total precipitable water imagery further illustrates the airmass drying over Eastern NC, with PWATS now around 0.9 inches or 80 percent of normal for late May. Very pleasant weather expected today as a cooler and drier airmass filters into the area. Low level thickness values and N/NE flow support highs ranging from the low 70s across the NE to upper 70s across the SW. Dewpoints currently in the lower 60s inland to upper 60s along the coast, but will fall into the 50s this afternoon.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 220 AM Sun . Quiet and pleasant night expected with high pressure in control. Below normal temps expected overnight with good radiational cooling setup allowing lows to fall into the low 50s inland and upper 50s along the beaches. PWATs will fall to around 0.5", haven't seen it that low here in a few weeks.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 330 AM Sunday . High pressure will bring drier and cooler conditions Monday and Tuesday. The high will move offshore by the middle of the week with southwest flow bringing much warmer temperatures through the end of the week. A series of disturbances will bring rain chances back into the forecast late week into next weekend.

Monday through Tuesday . The high will be centered across the area Monday, then slides offshore Tuesday. NW downslope flow aloft will generally bring dry conditions but a weak shortwave and warm front will move across the region late Tuesday/Tuesday that could trigger a very isolated shower, but forcing and upper level support will be weak. Dewpoints in the 40s and 50s will continue to bring comfortable conditions for early June. Temps Mon will be around 5-10 degrees below normal with highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s. Southwest return flow develops Tuesday with temps warming into the lower 80s inland.

Wednesday through Saturday . High pressure will be centered well offshore through the period with a series of weak disturbances moving through the WNW flow aloft for the remainder of the period which will bring a chance of showers across the area, especially from late week into next weekend. Models have wavered some with timing and coverage of pcpn, so will limit PoPs to slight chance to low chance at this time. The best chances may come Friday into Saturday as a more robust shortwave moves across the area and a weakness in the ridge across the South allows more Gulf moisture to advect north into the area. SW return flow around the high offshore will bring much warmer temps with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s inland with mid 80s along the beaches.

AVIATION /14Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Short Term /through tonight/ . As of 630 AM Sun . Mix of VFR and IFR currently across the sites this morning. Area of low stratus will continue to push E/SE of the sites in the next hour or so, becoming VFR. Pred VFR expected after 12z. N/NE wind gusts 15-20 kt today.

Long Term /Monday through Thursday/ . As of 4 AM Sunday . Pred VFR expected through much of the long term with generally dry conditions prevailing, however shower chances begin to increase late in the period bringing brief periods of sub-VFR conditions.

MARINE. Short Term /Through Tonight/ . As of 945 AM Sunday . Latest surface and buoy data indicate NNE winds 15-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots for the coastal waters and Pamlico Sound, where the best gradient exists between the cold front offshore and high pressure building in from the northwest. Seas range 4-6 ft north to 2-4 ft south, but expect deteriorating conditions to spread south this morning, as northerly surge shifts through the central and southern waters. Gusty northerly surge 15-25 kt expected behind the front continuing through the evening. SCA continues for the waters and sounds. Seas will build to 4-7 ft today. Winds and seas will slowly subside tonight and early Mon morning. NE winds diminishing to 10-20 kt late tonight with seas subsiding below 6 ft early Mon morning.

Long Term /Monday through Thursday/ . As of 415 AM Sunday . High pressure building over the waters Mon will result in diminishing winds and subsiding seas. High pressure will slide offshore by Tuesday with SW winds increasing to 15-25 kt in the afternoon. Strong SW flow 20-25 kt will prevail Tue night into Wed night with seas around 5-7 ft. SW flow will decrease to 15-20 kt Thu with seas forecast to subside from 4-6 ft to 3-5 ft Thu night.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ196- 203>205. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for AMZ135- 150. Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EDT this afternoon for AMZ131- 230-231. Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Monday for AMZ152-154-156- 158.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . DAG/CQD SHORT TERM . CQD LONG TERM . SK AVIATION . CQD/SK MARINE . DAG/CQD/SK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 16 mi50 min NNE 20 G 29 70°F 75°F1017.5 hPa
41025 - Diamond Shoals 34 mi40 min NNE 25 G 33 71°F 78°F1016.1 hPa63°F
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 45 mi80 min NNE 24 G 29 73°F 1017.3 hPa (+1.9)73°F
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 46 mi50 min NNE 16 G 23 74°F 78°F1018 hPa

Wind History for USCG Station Hatteras, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hatteras, Mitchell Field, NC21 mi29 minNE 14 G 2510.00 miFair74°F57°F57%1017.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHSE

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Ocracoke, Ocracoke Island, North Carolina (2)
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Ocracoke
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:17 AM EDT     1.06 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:01 AM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:31 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:56 PM EDT     1.13 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:42 PM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.70.91.110.90.70.50.20.100.10.30.60.91.11.11.10.90.70.40.20.10.1

Tide / Current Tables for Hatteras Inlet, North Carolina (2)
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Hatteras Inlet
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:35 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:01 AM EDT     2.04 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:22 AM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:30 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:40 PM EDT     2.18 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:03 PM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.61.921.91.61.20.70.30.10.10.40.91.41.82.12.221.61.10.60.20.10.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.