Friday, September25, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bayboro, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:57AMSunset 7:01PM Friday September 25, 2020 9:08 AM EDT (13:08 UTC) Moonrise 2:47PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 58% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ137 NEuse And Bay Rivers- 700 Am Edt Fri Sep 25 2020
Today..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms late.
Tonight..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Sat..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of tstms. Showers, mainly in the morning.
Sat night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the evening.
Sun..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves flat. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop. A chance of showers. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bayboro, NC
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location: 35.15, -76.77     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 251057 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 657 AM EDT Fri Sep 25 2020

SYNOPSIS. The remnants of Beta will reach the Carolinas today leading to periods of rain lasting into Saturday. A cold front will slowly approach the area early next week, moving through mid week. Cooler high pressure will build in late week and next weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 645 AM Fri . The latest analysis is showing sfc high pressure extending into the Carolinas, while a weak low associated with the remnants of TC Beta located at the border of AL/TN. The remnants of Beta will get absorbed by the shortwave that is dropping down from the OH Valley. Models have delayed the timing of the heavy rain tonight, though scattered light rain will continue to spread across the area today. Due to the extensive cloudiness, instability will be very limited, reducing the chances for severe threat. In general, expect widespread cloudiness, and scattered showers to gradually spread across ENC, though models are showing a brief break late morning If this occurs and there's breaks in the clouds. this will allow for some instability to occur, and result to a few thunderstorms in the afternoon, especially along the coast. Expect, high's in the mid to upper 70s across the area.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY/. As of 645 AM Fri . The bulk of the heavy rain will occur tonight and the overnight hours as the shortwave becoming aligned with the 850mb moisture transport leading to widespread rain and heavy at times. At the same time, instability increases, especially along the coastal counties which can lead a few strong thunderstorms that can produce locally heavy rainfall and lead to minor flooding or localized flash flooding. ENC is now in a Marginal threat for excessive rain as precipitable water values surge to AOA 2 inches. Expect less than one inch of QPF across inland areas by this evening to 1 to 2 inches localized up to 3 inches along the coast during the overnight hours. Expect overnight lows in the mid to upper 60s inland and around 70 along the beaches.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 250 AM Fri . Unsettled with temps near or slightly above climo for the first several days of the period, then cooler and drier late next week.

Saturday through Sunday . Axis of deep moisture from the remnants of Beta and mid level trough will push off the coast by Sat afternoon. Precip chances will be quickly tapering off from west to east Sat morning. Will keep high pops early Sat morning diminishing from west to east and becoming more scattered by afternoon. Moderate to locally heavy rain possible along the coast early Sat morning. Upper ridge will briefly build over the area Sat night and Sun, with models hinting at weak coastal trough development just off the coast. Expecting only isolated to widely scattered showers/tstms Sun. Temps near to slightly above normal this weekend, with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s Sat and low to mid 80s Sun.

Monday through Thursday . The upper flow is forecast to become more amplified next week with an Eastern upper trough developing. The leading edge of the trough will be associated with a strong surface cold front which will move slowly across the Mid Atlantic, producing scattered showers and thunderstorms. Good amt of model spread and uncertainty this morning. Models now much slower with the frontal passage. The EC is much more robust developing a strong sfc and upper low, while the GFS is about 24 hr faster and weaker with the system. Right now best precip chances look like Tuesday, so increased pops a bit. Drier and cooler air will filter in behind the front late week with troughing aloft and sfc high building in. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s through Wed and cooling a few deg back into the 70s Thu and Fri.

AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Short Term /through Friday/ . As of 645 AM Fri . VFR conditions is expected to continue through the morning to early afternoon as ceiling heights gradually lowering as moisture advects into the region. Models continue to show a mix of VFR to MVFR conditions for this afternoon . leading to a low confidence forecast, especially for our inland TAF sites (KPGV/KISO). Maintained a VFR forecast though the morning hours, then possible MVFR conditions across KPGV/KISO as rain chances increases, while KEWN/KOAJ will remain VFR through the rest of the afternoon. All TAF sites are expect to become MVFR tonight as heavier showers develop.

Long Term /Saturday through Tuesday/ . As of 250 AM Fri . Widespread sub-VFR conditions likely through Sunday morning, mainly in the form of low ceilings though patchy fog will be possible inland Sunday morning. Scattered showers and isolated tstms Saturday, with activity becoming more isolated Sunday and Monday. Conditions will be improving Sunday with pred VFR returning and should continue into Mon. Sub-VFR chances increase Tue as front approaches the area.

MARINE. Short Term /through tonight/ . As of 645 AM Fri . The latest buoy observations are showing light and variable winds and seas 2-3 ft. Winds will generally be S/SE 5-10 knots today, increasing to 10-15 knots this afternoon through tonight. Seas will continue at 2-4 feet.

Long Term /Saturday through Tuesday/ . As of 250 AM Fri . S/SE winds 10-20 kt Sat with seas 3-5 ft. Sun still looks like the best boating day with winds generally 10 kt or less and seas 2-4 ft. A cold front will slowly approach the waters early next week, likely not pushing through until mid week. S/SW winds 5-15 kt Mon and 10-15 kt Tue. Periods of gusty S/SW winds 15-20 kt expected ahead of the front Tue night through Wed night. There is potential for a period of SCA conditions mid week.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . BM SHORT TERM . BM LONG TERM . CQD AVIATION . CQD/BM MARINE . CQD/BM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 30 mi51 min NNE 4.1 G 5.1 70°F 72°F1019.3 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 39 mi69 min SSE 6 G 6 76°F 1018.9 hPa (+1.0)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport, NC15 mi75 minENE 410.00 miOvercast65°F63°F93%1019.4 hPa
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC19 mi73 minENE 710.00 miPartly Cloudy69°F66°F90%1019.5 hPa
Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station, NC21 mi75 minNE 310.00 miMostly Cloudy67°F64°F93%1018.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWN

Wind History from EWN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW33W3S4SW5W4NE5E3E3CalmCalmCalmE3CalmE4SE3CalmN3NE4NE4NE5NE5E4SE4
1 day agoNW4W5W4W54W4W8SW7SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3W4
2 days agoN10N9
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N864N85NW9NW6NW3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3Calm----SW3----

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:46 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:13 AM EDT     1.99 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:29 AM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:45 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:51 PM EDT     2.42 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:40 PM EDT     0.44 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.71.11.51.821.91.71.410.60.50.50.71.11.622.32.42.321.61.10.70.5

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:46 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:12 AM EDT     1.70 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:51 AM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:45 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:50 PM EDT     2.07 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.50.81.21.51.71.71.51.20.90.60.40.40.50.91.31.722.121.71.410.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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