Vandemere, NC Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Vandemere, NC

April 17, 2024 5:06 PM EDT (21:06 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:31 AM   Sunset 7:44 PM
Moonrise 1:01 PM   Moonset 2:39 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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AMZ137 NEuse And Bay Rivers- 323 Pm Edt Wed Apr 17 2024

Tonight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers after midnight. A chance of showers late.

Thu - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning.

Thu night - S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves light chop.

Fri - NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop in the afternoon.

Fri night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.

Sat - W winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon. A chance of showers in the afternoon.

Sat night - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms.

Sun - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of rain in the morning, then rain likely.

Mon - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. Rain likely, mainly in the morning.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

AMZ100 323 Pm Edt Wed Apr 17 2024

Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - A warm front has lifted back north as a warm front this morning. Another weak cold front cross the region by the end of the work week before another stronger cold front impacts the area next weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Vandemere, NC
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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 171946 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 346 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

SYNOPSIS
A backdoor cold front will lift back north as a warm front today. Another weak cold front cross the region by the end of the work week before another stronger cold front impacts the area next weekend.

NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/
As of 1530 Wednesday...Warm front has lifted N of the FA leading to Serly WAA. Have lowered Highs a degree or two for this afternoon due to cloud coverage. Upper front and attendant shortwave will approach the region tonight. CAMs point to a broken band of precipitation crossing the FA just after midnight ahead of the s/w, but confidence is low any of this will reach the ground especially west of Highway 17 where dry air will remain stubbornly entrenched. Modestly better risk of rainfall will be along the coast where moisture profiles are less hostile. Still, the odds of precipitation are low - no higher than Chc PoPs in any area. Persistent cloud cover and steady southwesterly winds keep temperatures elevated with overnight lows in the mid 60s.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY/
As of 1530 Wednesday...SFC low sliding off the MidAtlantic coast will usher a weakening front through the NEern half of the FA while flow aloft becomes more downsloping NWerly in the wake of the shortwave trough axis pushing offshore. Werly background winds 10G15kt keeps seabreeze pinned along the Crystal Coast; Nern sea/sound/river breezes showing more penetration inland, aided by the front moving through at the same time. Highest PoPs in the afternoon will be centered over the convergence zone of the Nern sound/river breezes and the front which could be enough to spark some upward motion, but the column is expected to be too dry for any meaningful rainfall. Regardless, can plan on sunny skies for most with clouds developing along the pinned Crystal Coast seabreeze and the boundaries in the N with a broader diurnal Cu field developing inland later. Mostly sunny through the day leads to MaxTs in the upper 80s inland, low to mid 70s beaches.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 230 PM Wednesday...

A fairly active pattern is on tap this week into early next week with multiple frontal passages impacting the area.

Thursday night through Friday night...Upper ridging will build back over the area late Thursday, with the axis cresting over the area early Friday with dry conditions prevailing. Another dampening mid level shortwave and attendant cold front is progged to push across the area late Friday and Friday night, which may bring isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms across the region. Most guidance keeps the best overlap of shear and instability to the west of ENC, but we'll have to monitor trends in guidance as there is a non-zero risk of some stronger afternoon storms west of HWY 17.
Temps will remain above avg across the Coastal Plain with highs Thursday generally in the mid to upper 80s inland and 70s along the coast. On Friday, E to NE onshore flow will bring cooler conditions along the coast, especially across the OBX where mid to upper 60s will prevail, but well inland highs expected in the mid 80s with a few upper 80s possible.

Saturday through Tuesday...Broad cyclonic flow prevails over the Eastern CONUS over the weekend and into early next week. A weakening cold front will drop into the area Saturday and stall just off the coast Saturday night. The timing of the front during the day Saturday will need to be monitored, as some of the 12z guidance today has come in slower with the front, which may allow more heating/destabilization to occur across southern sections of ENC.
Should this slower trend hold, we'll have to watch for a strong to severe thunderstorm risk.

Additional shortwave energy moving through the flow aloft will bring better forcing across the area with sfc low pressure developing along the offshore front, which is progged to pass off the OBX Sunday night and push the cold front farther offshore on Monday as high pressure builds in from the west through Tuesday. Highs Saturday will be a few degrees cooler inland with highs around 75-80 with mid 60s to mid 70s along the coast. Saturday normal inland with highs in the low to mid 80s inland and 70s along the coast. A cooler airmass builds in behind the front which, along with clouds and showers, will keep temps several degrees below normal with highs in the 60s Sunday and Monday. Temps are expected to warm back to near normal for Tuesday.

AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Thursday Morning/...
As of 1300 Wednesday...VFR flight cats expected through the period. Warm front has lifted N across the terminals earlier this morning bringing southwesterly winds of 5-10 kt. Gusty conditions are likely along immediate coastal terminals with a few gusts up to 20 kt possible. Clouds gradually increase through the day ahead of a mid-level disturbance, and there is a low chance (20-35%) of spotty showers traversing the region from northwest to southeast primarily after 04z Thursday. The probability, as well as expected impacts to flight ops, was too low to mention in TAFs this cycle. Regardless of obs reporting SHRA or not, CIGs will lower, but remain AoA FL040.

LONG TERM /Thursday through Sunday/...
As of 430 AM Wednesday...Pred VFR expected through the long term although there will be an opportunity for brief periods of sub- VFR in isolated showers late Friday/Friday night and again late Saturday as a series of mid level shortwaves and attendant cold fronts traverse the area. Low pressure passes along the offshore front on Sunday bringing the best chance of widespread rain and sub-VFR conditions across rtes.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /Tonight/...
As of 1545 Wednesday...Benign boating conditions continue this afternoon as warm front lifted N through area waters earlier today. Regional observations show seas of 3-4 feet with predominantly S to SWerly 10-15kt. Several of the high-res models continue to suggest SCA conditions developing offshore overnight. The less aggressive guidance still shows gusts up to 20+ kt tonight into Thursday morning. Considering how poorly the model suites resolved the winds near the front yesterday, have erred on the side of caution and went with SCAs for Central and Sern coastal waters as well as PamSound overnight.Seas will remain steady at 3-4 feet through the day, building slightly to 3-5 feet with 6 ft possible over far outer waters overnight with the stronger winds.

LONG TERM /Thursday through Sunday/...
As of 445 AM Wednesday...An active pattern will prevail in the long term with a series of mid level systems and weakening cold fronts move into the waters but conditions are expected to remain below SCA criteria until late in the weekend. SW winds around 10-20 kt on Thursday will become NE behind a cold front pushing through Thursday night into Friday. Variable winds around 10 kt or less Friday night becomes Nly around 10-15 kt on Saturday as another cold front drops into the area and stalls offshore. Low pressure will develop along the front Sunday and pass off the OBX Sunday night with NE winds around 15-25 kt.
Seas will generally be 2-4 ft, occasionally getting to 5 ft across the outer waters through most of the period but will build to 4-7 ft Sunday night.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 7 AM EDT Thursday for AMZ135.
Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 11 AM EDT Thursday for AMZ152-154.
Small Craft Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Thursday for AMZ156-158.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 31 mi48 min WSW 12G21 69°F 68°F30.05
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 38 mi66 min SW 13G17 68°F 30.09


Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KEWN COASTAL CAROLINA REGIONAL,NC 22 sm12 minS 0810 smClear79°F63°F58%30.04
KNKT CHERRY POINT MCAS /CUNNINGHAM FIELD/,NC 22 sm10 minSSW 1110 smMostly Cloudy73°F61°F65%30.06
Link to 5 minute data for KNBT


Wind History from NBT
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Tide / Current for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
   
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Core Creek Bridge
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Wed -- 03:38 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 04:58 AM EDT     1.91 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:36 AM EDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:01 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:22 PM EDT     1.78 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:41 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:47 PM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
0.6
1
am
0.9
2
am
1.2
3
am
1.6
4
am
1.8
5
am
1.9
6
am
1.8
7
am
1.6
8
am
1.3
9
am
1
10
am
0.7
11
am
0.5
12
pm
0.5
1
pm
0.6
2
pm
1
3
pm
1.3
4
pm
1.6
5
pm
1.8
6
pm
1.8
7
pm
1.6
8
pm
1.3
9
pm
1
10
pm
0.7
11
pm
0.5



Tide / Current for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
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Wed -- 12:05 AM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:38 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:57 AM EDT     1.63 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:58 PM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:01 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:21 PM EDT     1.53 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

North River Bridge, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
0.3
1
am
0.4
2
am
0.7
3
am
1
4
am
1.3
5
am
1.6
6
am
1.6
7
am
1.6
8
am
1.4
9
am
1.1
10
am
0.9
11
am
0.6
12
pm
0.4
1
pm
0.4
2
pm
0.5
3
pm
0.7
4
pm
1.1
5
pm
1.4
6
pm
1.5
7
pm
1.5
8
pm
1.4
9
pm
1.1
10
pm
0.9
11
pm
0.6




Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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Morehead City, NC,



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