Sunday, January17, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Mesic, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 5:23PM Sunday January 17, 2021 3:45 AM EST (08:45 UTC) Moonrise 10:19AMMoonset 9:59PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ137 NEuse And Bay Rivers- 335 Am Est Sun Jan 17 2021
Today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Mon night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Tue night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mesic, NC
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location: 35.18, -76.58     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 170644 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 144 AM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will gradually build over the area this weekend into early next week. A dry cold front will move through early Wednesday morning.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. As of 1005 PM Sat . Shortwave pivoting around broad upper low centered over New York is lifting further offshore, with upper heights rising and subsidence increasing. Weak high pressure will continue to build into the area overnight. Skies now completely clear inland and will remain so overnight with westerly winds between 5-10 kt. Gusty conditions likely to prevail along coastal locales with a few gusts to 25 kt still possible. Lows drop into the upper 20s to low 30s inland, and mid to upper 30s for the beaches.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/. As of 230 PM Sat . Surface high pressure will build over the area, while strengthening shortwave dives through the Central US. Clear skies early with increasing mid and high clouds through the day. Low level thickness values support highs in the low 50s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 315 AM Saturday . Another strong shortwave will cross the state on Monday, but the best moisture and lift will be north of our CWA and will keep the forecast dry, just show an increase in clouds. Lows behind the shortwave Tuesday morning will be the coldest of the week, dropping into the upper 20s. A dry cold front crosses the area on Wednesday morning with little fanfare except a wind shift.

A pattern change starts to evolve late Wednesday night into early Thursday. Deeper moisture will lift northeast from the Gulf of Mexico near a east-west oriented frontal boundary. A chance of showers returns to the forecast Thursday. Differences between the GFS and ECMWF for Friday as the GFS shunts most of the moisture to our south, while the ECMWF shows a wetter pattern. To account for the difference, have kept low chance PoPs in the forecast for now. High temperatures will mainly be in the 50s, while overnight lows moderate from the 30s into the 40s by Thursday into Friday.

AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Short Term /Through Sunday/ . As of 1240 AM Sun . Quiet TAF period ahead with VFR conditions expected. High pressure building overhead will keep skies clear and continue diminishing westerly winds this morning around 5-10 kts. Winds pick up slightly again Sun aftn as a weak disturbance moves through late Sunday and washes out. Expect more SWrly flow around 10 kts with a few gusts around 15 kts in the aftn. Mid to upper level clouds during the aftn and into the evening with dry weather forecasted.

Long Term /Sunday night through Thursday/ . As of 330 AM Saturday . With high pressure in control, VFR conditions are expected through the period. Some increase in clouds are possible Monday with a strong mid-level shortwave and on Wednesday with a dry cold front early in the day, but ceilings should remain in VFR status.

MARINE. Short Term /through Sunday/ . As of 1010 Sat . Dropped SCAs over inland rivers and sounds, and downgraded to a Small Craft over the Pamlico Sound. Hi-res guidance not handling current situation too well for inland waters so confidence in ending time of SCA is lower than normal. Gale headlines on track with Diamond Shoals gusting a persistent 40-50 kt for the past several hours.

Prev disc . Strong winds and rough seas expected across the waters into tonight. Gale Warnings and SCA continue for the waters, with strongest winds across the south/central waters and Pamlico Sound. Latest obs show W/WSW winds 20-30 kt with seas 4-8 ft. Strong westerly winds 20-30 kt with gusts 30-40 kt will continue through late evening, then slowly diminishing late as gradient relaxes. W winds 15-20 kt Sun morning, becoming WSW 10-20 kt in the afternoon. Seas will peak at 7-10 ft this evening, subsiding to 4-8 ft Sunday morning and 3-5 ft Sun afternoon.

Long Term /Sunday night through Thursday/ . As of 335 AM Saturday . A period of fairly poor marine weather is expected for most of the extended period. A strong shortwave will lead to additional gusty west winds at 20-30 knots Monday into Monday night. West winds drop to 10-15 knots Tuesday before becoming NW and increasing early Wednesday as a dry cold front crosses the waters.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 330 PM Sat . Minor water level rises will be possible along the soundside of the Outer Banks through tonight as westerly winds increase. Main impacts likely from Oregon Inlet to Hatteras Village, will issue CF Advisory with inundation up to 1 ft agl for low lying areas. Received report of water level rises near Salvo.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 AM EST early this morning for NCZ205. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST early this morning for AMZ135. Gale Warning until 5 AM EST early this morning for AMZ152-154- 156-158. Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CQD/MS SHORT TERM . CQD LONG TERM . CTC AVIATION . CTC/ML MARINE . CTC/MS TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 32 mi45 min WNW 8.9 G 15 41°F 52°F1013.6 hPa (+0.9)
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 39 mi45 min W 19 G 23 44°F 1013.3 hPa (+1.0)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 46 mi45 min W 19 G 23 44°F 51°F1012 hPa (+1.5)

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Piney Island, Bt-11 Bombing Range, NC13 mi49 minW 910.00 miFair39°F29°F67%1013.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNBT

Wind History from NBT (wind in knots)
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2 days agoW7W9--SW4NW5W11
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NW8W9--W9W6W94S3S4SW6S5SE6S4S4S3CalmS4S5

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:48 AM EST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:18 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:46 AM EST     1.97 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:21 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:22 PM EST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:00 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.81.61.20.70.2-0.1-0.10.10.511.61.921.81.410.50.1-0.1-0.10.20.71.21.6

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:27 AM EST     1.55 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:10 AM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:12 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:18 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:45 PM EST     1.69 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:20 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:44 PM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 09:59 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.51.310.70.30-0.1-00.30.81.31.61.71.51.30.90.50.2-0.1-0.10.10.51

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.