Dustin Acres, CA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Dustin Acres, CA

June 18, 2024 5:15 AM PDT (12:15 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:39 AM   Sunset 8:15 PM
Moonrise 5:23 PM   Moonset 2:56 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 259 Am Pdt Tue Jun 18 2024

Today - SW wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 20 kt this afternoon. Local gusts to 25 kt across the western third in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 8 seconds.

Tonight - W wind 10 to 20 kt. Local gusts to 25 kt across the western third in the evening. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: W 4 ft at 7 seconds.

Wed - NW wind 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 8 seconds.

Wed night - NW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: W 4 ft at 7 seconds.

Thu - W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 7 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.

Thu night - NW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: W 4 ft at 6 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.

Fri - W wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.

Fri night - W wind 10 to 20 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.

Sat - Light winds. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 7 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.

Sat night - Light winds. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.

PZZ600 259 Am Pdt Tue Jun 18 2024

Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park - At 09z, or 2 am pdt, a 1027 mb high was located 1200 nm W of point conception. A 996 mb thermal low was near las vegas. Hazardous marine conditions with strong winds and steep seas will affect much of the outer waters over the next few days.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Dustin Acres, CA
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Area Discussion for - San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA
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FXUS66 KHNX 180939 AFDHNX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hanford CA 239 AM PDT Tue Jun 18 2024

KEY MESSAGES

1. A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for strong gusty winds coupled with low relative humidity that will bring Elevated Fire Weather concerns to the Kern County mountains, West Hills and the San Joaquin Valley through noon.

2. Snowmelt from the higher elevations of the Sierra Nevada, will continue to result in dangerously cold and fast flows along rivers and waterways.

3. Starting Tuesday a warming trend will begin with triple digits anticipated starting Friday lasting through next weekend.

DISCUSSION

A broad upper level trough continues across the west coast of the CONUS this morning. This trough holds in through Thursday with gradual weakening as upper height rise. The large ridge parked over the eastern CONUS begins to back into the region on Friday. On Saturday the ridge to the east meets the Pacific ridge to build upper level heights over the Golden State. This becomes the dominate feature lasting into early next week and the foreseeable future. 500 mb heights are expected to build into the low 590s.

The impacts for this morning will be the diminishing wind gusts along the Mojave Slopes. The High Wind Warning is set to expire at 5 am and that should hold up. The short range ensembles support this with probabilities of 60 mph wind at zero percent.
Even wind gusts in excess of 40 mph declines rapidly towards dawn to less than 20 percent. The other highlight is the Red Flag Warning across the San Joaquin Valley and Kern County Mountains. The wind continues to relax throughout the morning.
The short range ensembles show the probability of 25 mph wind gusts going down and become a zero percent probability by 10 am.
The poor relative humidity recoveries and still a breeze. Have decided to push the Red Flag Warning out to noon.

Wednesday and Thursday the focus moves away from wind. Humidity remains low across the region. The temperature returns to the forefront of the forecast. The probability of exceedance of normal maximum temperatures (92-93 degrees) ranges from 26 to 61 percent on Wednesday and 56 to 91 percent on Thursday.

The trend moves upward focusing on the PoE of 100 on Friday. The PoE of 100 degrees remains in the range of 16 to 41 percent.
Zooming on Fresno Air Terminal point the statical spread is fairly confident on a range of 98 to 101 degrees. Overnight lows at Fresno 68 to 71 degrees. Confidence is fairly strong across the San Joaquin valley with similar results. Viewing the Day 4 500 mb cluster analysis the range of possibilities is fairly tight on the pattern and in reasonable on trend of anomalies in the heights. The heat risk for excessive heat remains in the little to none range for Friday.

Saturday turns up the heat on the forecast for the region. The oddity is the highest height anomaly is centered from Northern California into Oregon across the spectrum of the cluster.
Central California has a higher than normal anomaly. Still does not seem to fit a typical heat wave. The EFI is not impressed with anomaly values. The PoE of 100 degrees is 85 percent to near 100 in the San Joaquin Valley seems very reasonable. The PoE of popping 105 degrees ranges 20 to 40 percent north and foothills, 36 to 56 percent in the heart of the valley.
Saturday's range of probable maximum temperatures is 104 to 107 and minimums of 73 to 75 at Fresno for the example. Heat risk has a good swath of level 3 or major risk and fair amount of moderate risk. The general feeling is that the overnight minimums are more of the issue than afternoon maximums. Still we are looking at 8-12 degrees above normal on maxs and mins. NBM trend has been a tweak down from yesterday. Putting the puzzle to together with the trend and anomalies will opt to hold the cards on the excessive heat highlights keeping the focus on fire weather for today. The main highlight continues to be the cold water from runoff risk to life. Will keep messaging the cold water threats.

Sunday into next Tuesday the spread of solutions in the clusters and point data spreads open quite a bit. The PoE of 100 degrees continues above 60 percent for the Valley floor. The PoE of 105 is highest in the period on Sunday with the spread 11 to 46 percent. Monday and Tuesday, outside of Fresno, falls below 20 percent with Fresno ranging from 21 to 26 percent. Using the Fresno example the range opens to 100 to 105 each day and overnight lows now dropping into the upper 60s. The heat risk guidance responds with mostly moderate level across the region.

Saturday through next Tuesday looks to be a hot period and possibly with a reverse in trends then excessive heat risk advisory/warning would be a probability.

AVIATION

VFR conditions will prevail across the Central CA interior for the next 24 hours. Very localized reduction to visibilities are probable near any fires.

FIRE WEATHER

Poor overnight relative humidity recovery this morning with some continued breezy conditions mainly along the I-5 has prompted an extension of the Red Flag warning through noon. Otherwise, the wind becomes less of an issue by midday and not much concern for the rest of the week. Relative humidly will continue on the low side through the foreseeable future during the afternoon.
Overnight recovery does move up above 40 percent helping out during the nighttime hours. The current pattern is not favorable for any thunderstorm activity keeping dry lightning threat near zero.

AIR QUALITY ISSUES
ISSUED: 06/17/2024 14:57 EXPIRES: 06/18/2024 23:59 None.

CERTAINTY

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is medium.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low
medium
and high. Please visit www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information and/or to provide feedback.

HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
High Wind Warning until 5 AM PDT early this morning for CAZ338.
Red Flag Warning until noon PDT today for CAZ579-580-596-597.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KBFL MEADOWS FIELD,CA 18 sm21 minE 0610 smClear64°F36°F34%29.79
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Wind History graph: BFL
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Tide / Current for Santa Barbara, California
   
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Santa Barbara
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Tue -- 02:39 AM PDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:59 AM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:46 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:59 AM PDT     3.07 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:08 PM PDT     2.22 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:22 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:46 PM PDT     5.63 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:13 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Santa Barbara, California, Tide feet
12
am
1.6
1
am
0.8
2
am
0.3
3
am
0.2
4
am
0.6
5
am
1.2
6
am
1.9
7
am
2.5
8
am
2.9
9
am
3.1
10
am
2.9
11
am
2.7
12
pm
2.4
1
pm
2.2
2
pm
2.3
3
pm
2.7
4
pm
3.4
5
pm
4.2
6
pm
5
7
pm
5.5
8
pm
5.6
9
pm
5.3
10
pm
4.5
11
pm
3.3


Tide / Current for Santa Barbara, California (2)
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Santa Barbara
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Tue -- 02:41 AM PDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:59 AM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:46 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:01 AM PDT     3.17 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:21 PM PDT     2.16 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:22 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:53 PM PDT     5.54 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:13 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Santa Barbara, California (2), Tide feet
12
am
1.7
1
am
0.9
2
am
0.3
3
am
0.3
4
am
0.6
5
am
1.2
6
am
1.9
7
am
2.6
8
am
3
9
am
3.2
10
am
3
11
am
2.7
12
pm
2.4
1
pm
2.2
2
pm
2.2
3
pm
2.6
4
pm
3.2
5
pm
4
6
pm
4.8
7
pm
5.4
8
pm
5.5
9
pm
5.2
10
pm
4.5
11
pm
3.4


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