Thursday, October22, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Dustin Acres, CA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:07AMSunset 6:12PM Thursday October 22, 2020 4:40 PM PDT (23:40 UTC) Moonrise 1:40PMMoonset 11:34PM Illumination 36% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 217 Pm Pdt Thu Oct 22 2020
Today..Winds variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 10 seconds.
Tonight..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 11 seconds.
Fri..SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 11 seconds.
Fri night..SE winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 11 seconds.
Sat..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 9 seconds.
Sat night..Winds variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 9 seconds. Slight chance of rain after midnight.
Sun..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 1 ft. Slight chance of rain.
Mon..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Combined seas 2 to 4 ft.
PZZ600 217 Pm Pdt Thu Oct 22 2020
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 20z, or 1 pm pdt, a 1032 mb high pressure center was located about 500 nm west eureka, ca extending to a 1028 mb high in washington state. A 1002 mb low was located near las vegas.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Dustin Acres, CA
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location: 35.22, -119.27     debug


Area Discussion for - San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA
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FXUS66 KHNX 222150 AFDHNX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hanford CA 250 PM PDT Thu Oct 22 2020

SYNOPSIS. A significant cooling trend will continue into early next week, with below average temperatures across the area by Saturday and continue through most of next week. There is a possibility of light precipitation in the higher elevations of the Sierra and the Kern county Mountains on Sunday and Sunday night, otherwise it will be dry.

DISCUSSION. Blocking high ridge pattern remains as the dominating weather feature over the West Coast. Yet, because of its position off the Coast, disturbances that have been steered north are now able to influence more of California's weather. First, temperatures have not reach their full heat capacity as California was more on the eastern side of the ridge axis. Second, with cold air able to reach into the Great Basin, the ridge axis is retrograded slight more offshore and paving the way for stronger disturbances to reach Central California.

The first disturbance (currently over British Columbia) is progged to move ashore by the end of the week and begin dropping south over the weekend. The wild-card in the equation is the area of weakness off the Southern California Coast that is progged to be pulled ashore during the disturbances descent southward this weekend. Model precip-water analysis is showing a possible surge eastward of moisture that may help contribute to clouds and even a slight chance of precipitation over the district on Sunday. Model confidence is not great in its potential for precipitation, but, with both the ECMWF and Canadian maintaining their analysis showing post-frontal precipitation along the east-side (including the mountains) and south-end of the valley more several model runs supports the inclusion of precipitation over the favored areas. In addition, due to how dry the atmosphere is in its current state, will not expect any significant precipitation amounts. Even with a stronger disturbance rolling through the region, moisture will be lacking as storm total precipitation may range from 0.05 to around 0.10 of an inch. A few isolated spots could reach 0.25 of an inch. Furthermore, snow levels could lower to near 6000 feet as more cold air filters into the region during the storm. While some high elevation snow could reach up to 2 inches, generally, snow amounts during the storm will range from a trace to around 1 inch.

After the storm, clearing will begin on Monday evening as the disturbance reaches the Desert Southwest. Model consensus is to have the have the upper level disturbance center over Yuma, AZ by Monday night and shifting further east on Tuesday. This trajectory will allow for a +100 Knot jet max to shift over California on Monday. The jet max is expected to drop southwestward from Northern Nevada and sit over the Sierra Nevada Range by the start of next week. Current timing has the jet max over Yosemite on Monday and shifting due south toward Mt. Whitney on Tuesday. With the continued dry environment over the region, the easterly winds will support further drying and lead toward critical fire conditions. Therefore, issued a Fire Weather Watch for both Monday and Tuesday during the time of strongest upper level winds across the mountain range. In the long term, models show the ridge pattern returning by midweek as the regions returns to a dry environment with possible warming temperatures.

AVIATION. IFR visibilities due to smoke and haze are likely in the Sierra Nevada through at least the next 24 hours. VFR conditions will otherwise prevail over the central California interior during the next 24 hours.

FIRE WEATHER. By Late Sunday Night, an upper level disturbance dropping into the region from due North will introduce a strong jet stream with a Northeast to Southwest orientation. These Northeasterly winds could reach speeds of 20-30 mph with gusts to 40 mph over the much of the Sierra Nevada/Tehachapi Range on Monday and Tuesday. Along with the strong winds, poor humidity recovery will exist across the region to elevate the fire danger to Critical levels over Central California.

AIR QUALITY ISSUES. On Thursday October 22 2020 . Unhealthy for sensitive groups in Fresno, Kern and Madera Counties and Sequoia National Park and Forest. Further information is available at Valleyair.org

CERTAINTY.

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high. The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low . medium . and high. Please visit www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information an/or to provide feedback.

HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES.

Fire Weather Watch from late Sunday night through Tuesday afternoon for CAZ299-590>597.



Public/Aviation . Molina PIO/Social Media . CMC

weather.gov/hanford


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 61 mi64 min WSW 5.1 G 7 66°F 1011.7 hPa

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bakersfield, Meadows Field Airport, CA19 mi46 minWNW 810.00 miFair84°F46°F27%1008.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBFL

Wind History from BFL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW5W5N4NE6CalmCalmE3E4E4E6E3S3CalmCalmCalmCalmSE4CalmSW3NW6W9NW7NW8NW8
1 day agoNW8NW5NE3NE6E3E6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4S4SE5SE4SE3W3W4W4W76NW9W5
2 days agoNW9NW6N4CalmNE4CalmSE3E4E6E4CalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmS4S5CalmCalmNW8NW9NW10NW10

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, California (2)
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Santa Barbara
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:38 AM PDT     3.58 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:10 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:17 AM PDT     3.16 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:39 PM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:31 PM PDT     4.99 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:15 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:34 PM PDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:37 PM PDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.32.12.83.33.53.63.43.33.23.23.43.84.34.74.954.643.22.21.30.60.20.2

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, California
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Santa Barbara
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:41 AM PDT     3.66 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:10 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:20 AM PDT     3.23 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:39 PM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:31 PM PDT     5.07 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:15 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:29 PM PDT     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:37 PM PDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.22.12.83.33.63.63.53.43.23.33.53.94.34.8554.74.13.22.11.20.400

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.