Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Dardanelle, AR
 | Sunrise 6:05 AM Sunset 8:12 PM Moonrise 11:15 PM Moonset 7:47 AM |
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Dardanelle, AR
NEW! Add second zone forecast
FXUS64 KLZK 162314 AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 614 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 318 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025
Latest data from KLZK radar indicate that the isolated, yet very well organized storms that affected north central portions of the forecast area have dissipated or moved out of the forecast area.
Very unstable conditions exist area wide, with MLCape values of >= 3500 j/kg noted. Moderate effective shear, along with the pronounced instability, are sufficient to support well defined supercellular convection.
18z KLZK upper air sounding indicates a strong capping inversion around 850 mb. This feature has strengthened substantially since 12z.
Recent CAM guidance suggests forcing along a weak cold frontal boundary approaching western parts of the state during the late afternoon and evening hours will be sufficient to overcome the convective inhibition. The resulting convective activity would then spread eastward. Southwesterly surface flow indicates that the overall tornadic potential may be low with this activity.
On Saturday, moderately unstable conditions will develop during the afternoon hours. The previously mentioned surface boundary will be in the vicinity to promote strong convection during the afternoon and evening hours.
LONG TERM
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 318 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025
Unsettled conditions will prevail until late Tuesday, when a strong cold front moves southeast through the mid south. Dry and relatively cooler conditions are expected during the second half of this forecast period.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 612 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025
CAM guidance has had some difficulty in recent runs regarding strength of convective inhibition across the forecast area. Still expected some southward increase in convective coverage through 08z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 64 89 65 84 / 30 10 60 60 Camden AR 67 90 68 89 / 70 30 50 20 Harrison AR 58 84 61 81 / 0 0 60 60 Hot Springs AR 64 90 68 87 / 40 20 50 40 Little Rock AR 67 91 69 87 / 60 10 50 50 Monticello AR 71 92 71 90 / 70 10 40 30 Mount Ida AR 63 90 67 86 / 20 30 50 30 Mountain Home AR 58 84 61 81 / 0 0 60 70 Newport AR 64 89 68 85 / 50 0 60 60 Pine Bluff AR 67 91 70 89 / 70 10 50 30 Russellville AR 62 90 67 85 / 20 10 50 50 Searcy AR 64 90 68 85 / 50 10 60 50 Stuttgart AR 69 90 71 86 / 70 10 50 40
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 614 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 318 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025
Latest data from KLZK radar indicate that the isolated, yet very well organized storms that affected north central portions of the forecast area have dissipated or moved out of the forecast area.
Very unstable conditions exist area wide, with MLCape values of >= 3500 j/kg noted. Moderate effective shear, along with the pronounced instability, are sufficient to support well defined supercellular convection.
18z KLZK upper air sounding indicates a strong capping inversion around 850 mb. This feature has strengthened substantially since 12z.
Recent CAM guidance suggests forcing along a weak cold frontal boundary approaching western parts of the state during the late afternoon and evening hours will be sufficient to overcome the convective inhibition. The resulting convective activity would then spread eastward. Southwesterly surface flow indicates that the overall tornadic potential may be low with this activity.
On Saturday, moderately unstable conditions will develop during the afternoon hours. The previously mentioned surface boundary will be in the vicinity to promote strong convection during the afternoon and evening hours.
LONG TERM
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 318 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025
Unsettled conditions will prevail until late Tuesday, when a strong cold front moves southeast through the mid south. Dry and relatively cooler conditions are expected during the second half of this forecast period.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 612 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025
CAM guidance has had some difficulty in recent runs regarding strength of convective inhibition across the forecast area. Still expected some southward increase in convective coverage through 08z.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 64 89 65 84 / 30 10 60 60 Camden AR 67 90 68 89 / 70 30 50 20 Harrison AR 58 84 61 81 / 0 0 60 60 Hot Springs AR 64 90 68 87 / 40 20 50 40 Little Rock AR 67 91 69 87 / 60 10 50 50 Monticello AR 71 92 71 90 / 70 10 40 30 Mount Ida AR 63 90 67 86 / 20 30 50 30 Mountain Home AR 58 84 61 81 / 0 0 60 70 Newport AR 64 89 68 85 / 50 0 60 60 Pine Bluff AR 67 91 70 89 / 70 10 50 30 Russellville AR 62 90 67 85 / 20 10 50 50 Searcy AR 64 90 68 85 / 50 10 60 50 Stuttgart AR 69 90 71 86 / 70 10 50 40
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KRUE
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KRUE
Wind History Graph: RUE
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of Southern Mississippi Valley
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Little Rock, AR,
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