Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Russellville, AR

DISCUSSION
Issued at 1138 PM CDT Fri May 8 2026

A few light showers are all that remains on radar late this evening across parts of central Arkansas from a complex of strong to severe thunderstorms that moved across parts of western Arkansas just a few hours ago.

Surface analysis late this evening shows a frontal boundary over far northwestern Arkansas. Latest model guidance shows the boundary pushing southeast overnight before washing out around sunrise Saturday morning. High pressure currently over the southeastern US will transport warmer air and deeper moisture north into the state during the day on Saturday. Drier weather is expected statewide on Saturday with temperatures topping out in the lower to mid 80s with light S/SW winds and partly cloudy skies.

By Saturday night, a cold front will dive south within northwest flow aloft out of the central Plains and approach the state Saturday afternoon/evening. The cold front will push south into northern Arkansas Sunday afternoon. The SPC(Storm Prediction Center) has placed parts of central, western, southern, and southwest Arkansas under a Slight risk(Category 2 out of 5) for severe weather on Sunday afternoon/evening. Ahead of the front, the atmosphere will become unstable with CAPE values across central and southern Arkansas in the range of 1000-1500 J/kg with bulk shear values of 30-40 kts with some areas across far western, northwest, and far southwest Arkansas seeing bulk shear values of 40-50 kts. If these parameters hold it, multicell clusters with embedded supercells more likely in aforementioned areas with better shear. Main hazards across the risk area at this time will be damaging winds along with large hail Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening. The front will push southeast out of the state late Sunday night into Monday.

Behind the front, a brief shot of cooler and drier air will lead to temperatures trending a few degrees below normal as high pressure builds into the state from the central/northern Plains under northwest flow aloft. Additional ridging will move into the state from the southern Plains as the upper level shortwave and cut off low over the Great Lakes region moves to the eastern seaboard by Thursday morning. A gradually warming trend is expected through the week with temperatures running just a few degrees above normal for high temperatures.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1134 PM CDT Fri May 8 2026

Expect VFR flight category for the entire forecast period from early Saturday morning through early Sunday morning across all sites with the exception of KLLQ which is expected to experience lowered CIGS early Saturday morning to as low as MVFR flight category until late Saturday morning when the cloud deck will lift. Expect for the first few hours of the forecast period that the site of KHRO may experience surface wind gusts in excess of almost 20 knots.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026

Widespread VFR conditions are expected through much of the period.
A pattern change is expected late in the period as a storm system tracks across the state. This will bring low CIGs and increased rain chances Sunday morning into the afternoon hours. MVFR/IFR conditions are likely with periods of rain.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 60 76 54 74 / 10 50 20 0 Camden AR 61 83 57 76 / 10 60 50 10 Harrison AR 58 72 49 73 / 20 70 10 0 Hot Springs AR 61 78 56 74 / 30 60 40 0 Little Rock AR 61 78 56 73 / 10 50 50 0 Monticello AR 62 84 60 74 / 10 50 60 10 Mount Ida AR 61 76 56 74 / 30 60 50 0 Mountain Home AR 57 73 49 73 / 10 50 10 0 Newport AR 60 78 55 74 / 10 60 30 0 Pine Bluff AR 62 82 57 74 / 10 60 50 0 Russellville AR 61 76 56 76 / 40 60 30 0 Searcy AR 58 78 53 74 / 10 40 40 0 Stuttgart AR 62 80 58 73 / 10 50 40 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.