Sunday, January19, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Avon, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 5:18PM Sunday January 19, 2020 6:13 AM EST (11:13 UTC) Moonrise 2:11AMMoonset 1:03PM Illumination 32% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ152 S Of Oregon Inlet To Cape Hatteras Nc Out 20 Nm- 601 Am Est Sun Jan 19 2020
.gale warning in effect until 11 am est this morning...
Today..SW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt, becoming nw 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt late this morning and afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft, subsiding to 5 to 7 ft this afternoon. Dominant period 9 seconds. Showers likely early this morning, then a chance of showers late this morning. A slight chance of showers early this afternoon.
Tonight..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds.
Mon..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds.
Mon night..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. A slight chance of showers.
Tue..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. A slight chance of showers.
Tue night..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
Wed..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Avon, NC
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location: 35.39, -75.49     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 190839 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 339 AM EST Sun Jan 19 2020

SYNOPSIS. A strong cold front will cross the region today. Cold high pressure then dominates the region for most of next week. Low pressure and its associated cold front will impact the area next weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. As of 230 AM Sunday . Cold front over wrn part of state will push E and move offshore this afternoon. Ahead of the front expect sct to numerous light shra thru mid to late morn with cont high chc to likely pops. Precip wl rapidly end from W to E by mid day with clearing this aftn. Warm start with SW winds ahead of front . temps at daybreak prob wont rise much with clouds/precip then CAA kicks in this aftn. Expect highs 55 to 60 nrn tier with 60 to 65 S. SW winds will be gusty coast early then expect gusty NW winds all areas this aftn behind front.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 230 AM Sunday . Strong cold/dry advection conts tonight behind front with mclr skies. NW winds will remain gusty coast but diminish a bit inland. Lows will drop to around 25 cooler inland spots to low/mid 30s most beaches.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 330 AM Sun . Settled but cold conditions for the first part of the week, trending more seasonable mid-week before the next frontal system arrives next weekend.

Monday through Thursday . Upper low embedded within broad troughing over the eastern US slides south of the area Monday night into Tuesday, then off the Southeast coast Wednesday morning. Despite the potential for vort advection aloft to encourage lift, high pressure building in from the west will keep the lower and mid levels very dry, so a dry forecast remains in place to start the workweek. Persistent northerly winds ahead of the approaching arctic high will bring some of the coldest temps of the year, with highs mainly in the lower 40s Monday and Tuesday, and lows in the lower to mid 20s inland, and around freezing at the beaches, both nights.

Heights aloft peak Wednesday night before beginning to fall Thursday as the upper ridge axis moves west of the area. Meanwhile, surface high pressure continues to build Wednesday, moving overhead or nearby Thursday. Deep subsidence keeps a dry forecast in place through mid-week, but weakening CAA will allow temps to trend back toward normal, possibly reaching a couple degrees above normal Thursday.

Friday and Saturday . Friday will be a transition day as a broad cutoff low crossing the Midwest or Great Lakes brings continued height falls aloft, and low level flow becomes increasingly southerly as the high slides offshore and a cold front approaches from the west. Significant variability exists between global guidance, with the EC and Canadian indicating a stacked low crossing the Midwest, with the potential for a secondary wave/low to form within the approaching front and sliding across the Mid-Atlantic. Alternatively, the GFS favors a further north track of the stacked low, with a less progressive and weaker front. Have slightly favored ECMWF solution, with moisture advection increasing through the day Friday, and mid-range chance POPs arriving in the forecast Friday night and Saturday.

AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 1215 AM Sun . Expect a few bouts of sub VFR thru mid to late morn as sct to numerous shra cross ahead of cold front. Think will be mainly MVFR at times but some IFR poss. Conditions shld improve rapidly from late morn as as much drier air spread in behind front with clouds lifting and sct out. VFR will cont tonight with mclr skies. SW winds will gust to 20 kts ahead of front this morn then WNW winds will gusts to similar speeds thru late today behind front . winds shld diminish this evening.

Long Term /Monday through Thursday/ . As of 330 AM Sun . VFR conditions and mostly clear skies prevail through the period with breezy north winds through midweek.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 230 AM Sunday . Gusty SW winds 25 to 35 kt will cont thru mid/late morn ahead of cold front, highest outer wtrs from Cape Hat S. As front pushes offshore this aftn winds will become NW 15 to 25 kts. Winds will cont at mainly 15 to 25 kt tonight with dir becoming more N. Seas will be peaking thru daybreak at 10 to 11 ft outer central wtrs. Seas will slowly subside to 6 to 8 ft outer wtrs today and 5 to 7 ft tonight.

Will cont Gale Warning central and srn wtrs thru late morn. SCA for nrn sounds/rivers will briefly come down later this morn . will likely need to issue another one for these wtrs tonight. SCA will cont for nrn wtrs and Pamlico Sound thru tonight.

Long Term /Mon through Thursday/ . As of 330 AM Sun . Persistent north winds bring hazardous marine conditions through the first part of the workweek as high pressure builds in from the west and low pressure develops well off the Southeast coast. CAA should ensure efficient mixing of winds to the surface, resulting in breezy conditions on all area waterways. Seas remain elevated through midweek in mainly locally generated windswell, and SCAs will likely be necessary for all coastal waters at least through Wednesday. Conditions will begin to improve Thursday as high pressure builds closer and the local gradient begins to relax.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Monday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EST early this morning for AMZ131-230-231. Gale Warning until 11 AM EST this morning for AMZ152-154-156- 158. Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Wednesday for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . RF SHORT TERM . RF LONG TERM . CB AVIATION . RF/CB MARINE . RF/CB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 17 mi62 min 62°F 54°F1012.1 hPa
41025 - Diamond Shoals 26 mi34 min WSW 25 G 31 66°F 63°F1011.7 hPa62°F
44095 26 mi28 min 52°F7 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 28 mi62 min 55°F 49°F1010.7 hPa
44086 42 mi49 min 52°F6 ft

Wind History for USCG Station Hatteras, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hatteras, Mitchell Field, NC14 mi83 minWSW 15 G 235.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist62°F60°F93%1012.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHSE

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN7N8NE9
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2 days agoW9W9
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Tide / Current Tables for Avon, North Carolina
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Avon
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:11 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:35 AM EST     3.17 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:58 AM EST     0.26 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:02 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 02:44 PM EST     2.37 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:16 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 08:52 PM EST     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.12.73.13.12.82.21.50.90.40.30.40.81.41.92.32.42.11.610.4-0.1-0.200.6

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Hatteras, North Carolina
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Cape Hatteras
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:11 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:27 AM EST     3.64 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:44 AM EST     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:03 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 02:46 PM EST     2.88 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:16 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 08:42 PM EST     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.53.23.63.63.12.31.40.60-0.10.20.81.62.32.82.92.61.91.10.3-0.3-0.4-00.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.