Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Avon, NC

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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC

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FXUS62 KMHX 190839 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 339 AM EST Sun Jan 19 2020

SYNOPSIS. A strong cold front will cross the region today. Cold high pressure then dominates the region for most of next week. Low pressure and its associated cold front will impact the area next weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. As of 230 AM Sunday . Cold front over wrn part of state will push E and move offshore this afternoon. Ahead of the front expect sct to numerous light shra thru mid to late morn with cont high chc to likely pops. Precip wl rapidly end from W to E by mid day with clearing this aftn. Warm start with SW winds ahead of front . temps at daybreak prob wont rise much with clouds/precip then CAA kicks in this aftn. Expect highs 55 to 60 nrn tier with 60 to 65 S. SW winds will be gusty coast early then expect gusty NW winds all areas this aftn behind front.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 230 AM Sunday . Strong cold/dry advection conts tonight behind front with mclr skies. NW winds will remain gusty coast but diminish a bit inland. Lows will drop to around 25 cooler inland spots to low/mid 30s most beaches.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 330 AM Sun . Settled but cold conditions for the first part of the week, trending more seasonable mid-week before the next frontal system arrives next weekend.

Monday through Thursday . Upper low embedded within broad troughing over the eastern US slides south of the area Monday night into Tuesday, then off the Southeast coast Wednesday morning. Despite the potential for vort advection aloft to encourage lift, high pressure building in from the west will keep the lower and mid levels very dry, so a dry forecast remains in place to start the workweek. Persistent northerly winds ahead of the approaching arctic high will bring some of the coldest temps of the year, with highs mainly in the lower 40s Monday and Tuesday, and lows in the lower to mid 20s inland, and around freezing at the beaches, both nights.

Heights aloft peak Wednesday night before beginning to fall Thursday as the upper ridge axis moves west of the area. Meanwhile, surface high pressure continues to build Wednesday, moving overhead or nearby Thursday. Deep subsidence keeps a dry forecast in place through mid-week, but weakening CAA will allow temps to trend back toward normal, possibly reaching a couple degrees above normal Thursday.

Friday and Saturday . Friday will be a transition day as a broad cutoff low crossing the Midwest or Great Lakes brings continued height falls aloft, and low level flow becomes increasingly southerly as the high slides offshore and a cold front approaches from the west. Significant variability exists between global guidance, with the EC and Canadian indicating a stacked low crossing the Midwest, with the potential for a secondary wave/low to form within the approaching front and sliding across the Mid-Atlantic. Alternatively, the GFS favors a further north track of the stacked low, with a less progressive and weaker front. Have slightly favored ECMWF solution, with moisture advection increasing through the day Friday, and mid-range chance POPs arriving in the forecast Friday night and Saturday.

AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 1215 AM Sun . Expect a few bouts of sub VFR thru mid to late morn as sct to numerous shra cross ahead of cold front. Think will be mainly MVFR at times but some IFR poss. Conditions shld improve rapidly from late morn as as much drier air spread in behind front with clouds lifting and sct out. VFR will cont tonight with mclr skies. SW winds will gust to 20 kts ahead of front this morn then WNW winds will gusts to similar speeds thru late today behind front . winds shld diminish this evening.

Long Term /Monday through Thursday/ . As of 330 AM Sun . VFR conditions and mostly clear skies prevail through the period with breezy north winds through midweek.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 230 AM Sunday . Gusty SW winds 25 to 35 kt will cont thru mid/late morn ahead of cold front, highest outer wtrs from Cape Hat S. As front pushes offshore this aftn winds will become NW 15 to 25 kts. Winds will cont at mainly 15 to 25 kt tonight with dir becoming more N. Seas will be peaking thru daybreak at 10 to 11 ft outer central wtrs. Seas will slowly subside to 6 to 8 ft outer wtrs today and 5 to 7 ft tonight.

Will cont Gale Warning central and srn wtrs thru late morn. SCA for nrn sounds/rivers will briefly come down later this morn . will likely need to issue another one for these wtrs tonight. SCA will cont for nrn wtrs and Pamlico Sound thru tonight.

Long Term /Mon through Thursday/ . As of 330 AM Sun . Persistent north winds bring hazardous marine conditions through the first part of the workweek as high pressure builds in from the west and low pressure develops well off the Southeast coast. CAA should ensure efficient mixing of winds to the surface, resulting in breezy conditions on all area waterways. Seas remain elevated through midweek in mainly locally generated windswell, and SCAs will likely be necessary for all coastal waters at least through Wednesday. Conditions will begin to improve Thursday as high pressure builds closer and the local gradient begins to relax.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Monday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EST early this morning for AMZ131-230-231. Gale Warning until 11 AM EST this morning for AMZ152-154-156- 158. Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Wednesday for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . RF SHORT TERM . RF LONG TERM . CB AVIATION . RF/CB MARINE . RF/CB

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC	17 mi	62 min		62°F	54°F		1012.1 hPa
41025 - Diamond Shoals	26 mi	34 min	WSW 25 G 31	66°F	63°F		1011.7 hPa	62°F
44095	26 mi	28 min			52°F	7 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC	28 mi	62 min		55°F	49°F		1010.7 hPa
44086	42 mi	49 min			52°F	6 ft

Wind History for USCG Station Hatteras, NC

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N15

N15

N14 G18

NE11 G15

NE9 G12

NE7 G11

N10

NE2 G8

N5

SE5 G8

SE8 G11

S8 G16

SW10 G15

SW15 G25

SW17 G24

SW16 G24

SW17 G23

SW18 G23

SW18 G28

SW17 G22

SW17 G24

SW17 G26

SW15 G20

SW16 G24

1 day ago

N28

N26 G32

N25 G34

N27

N23 G29

N24 G31

N25

N22 G29

N24

N24 G29

N24 G29

N20 G28

N22 G27

N19 G24

NE15 G23

N17 G22

NE10 G17

NE9 G17

N13 G16

N14 G17

N13 G18

N13 G18

N15 G19

N15 G19

2 days ago

SW8 G12

SW9 G12

SW12 G17

SW12 G16

W14 G17

W14 G17

W15

NW12

NW13

N8 G12

NW16

NW17 G21

NW16

NW17 G22

NW14

NW18

N19 G23

N21

N24 G30

N26 G32

N30

N27 G34

N29 G35

N28 G34

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Hatteras, Mitchell Field, NC	14 mi	83 min	WSW 15 G 23	5.00 mi	Light Rain Fog/Mist	62°F	60°F	93%	1012.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHSE

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)

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N7

N8

NE9 G15

NE8

4

N7

NE5

3

SE5

SE8

SE8

S13 G24

SW17 G26

SW15 G27

SW14 G24

SW16 G26

SW17 G28

SW18 G29

SW17 G26

SW18 G31

SW17 G26

SW12 G21

SW15 G23

SW16 G25

1 day ago

N9 G20

N9 G20

N12 G24

N9 G20

N14 G23

N10 G22

N9 G24

N12 G22

N12 G26

N11 G25

N9 G22

N10 G19

N10 G17

NE7 G18

NE8 G16

N6

N6

N7

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N7

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6 G15

N7

N8 G16

2 days ago

W9

W9 G18

W9 G18

W11 G18

W11 G19

W8 G16

NW8

NW6

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3

NW7

NW8 G20

NW12 G21

NW10 G16

NW11 G17

N10 G17

N9 G20

N9 G22

N8 G27

N8 G21

N11 G23

N10 G21

N10 G22

N9 G21

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Tide / Current Tables for Avon, North Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for Cape Hatteras, North Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (6,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC

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