Marine Forecasts

    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

---

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Avon, NC

   Hourly   EDIT   Help

---

Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC

      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KMHX 091958 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 358 PM EDT Sun Aug 9 2020

SYNOPSIS. A front will linger near the area, dissipating by Monday. High pressure building in from the Atlantic then takes control through the rest of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 345 PM Sun . Rather stagnant upper air pattern this afternoon with a very weak shortwave pivoting over the western Carolinas but otherwise very weak flow overhead. At the surface, a stalled front continues to meander across the CWA and is currently along or just north of the Pamlico River.

Before sunset . Typical summertime pattern continues with the most robust convection firing along the seabreeze, with weaker convection along or north of the stalled boundary. Expect coverage to gradually expand inland with ongoing boundary collisions with an isolated stronger storm or two possible in an environment of 2500 J/kg MLCAPEs. Gusty winds are the primary threat.

Tonight . Front will dissipate overnight with convection gradually waning. Given the convective trends over the past couple nights extended mentionable PoPs to around 03z. Skies gradually clear overnight with winds potentially decoupling. Patchy fog is possible especially for areas that will receive rainfall this afternoon. Lows again remain in the low to mid 70s, upper 70s to around 80 beaches.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY/. As of 355 PM Sun . Similar pattern to today with front completely dissipating allowing for weak southwesterly flow across the region. CAMs are a bit more aggressive on coverage tomorrow, which is possible as the shortwave to our west gradually approaches the region. On the other hand drier air/subsidence will continue to remain a factor aloft. Opted to keep similar PoPs to today with the seabreeze once again being the primary convective initiator. Low-level thicknesses change little with highs again climbing to around 90.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 345 AM Sunday . Seasonable weather on tap through the long term period, with only minor day to day variability owing to subtle changes in the upper level pattern and strength of low level WAA.

Broad upper ridging over the southern US begins to break down Monday as shortwave energy pushes across the Midwest, with a more pronounced weakness aloft developing mid to late week. In the lower levels, continued SW flow on the periphery of the Bermuda high will keep ample low level moisture in place through the period, with storm trends following mainly diurnal patterns, with the greatest threat for thunderstorms coming each afternoon along and ahead of the sea breeze. Waning upper level subsidence and weak surface troughing gradually strengthening inland through the week allow for greater storm coverage each day (~50% POP by Thu/Fri), and would be expected to initiate convection earlier in the day with less capping in place. While ample moisture and instability will be present, shear will be meager with 0-6 km bulk shear generally around 10 kt or less limiting the severe threat. Still, cannot rule out stronger storms producing isolated wind damage and heavy rainfall producing localized flooding. Temps will generally continue to be near normal, with convection being the primary culprit for deviations from normal.

AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Short Term /through 18Z Monday/ . As of 145 PM Sunday . Cu field around FL030 but coverage is limited. VFR conditions this afternoon outside of tstorms that are firing along the coast and could bring brief periods of sub- VFR cats. Regional terminals are expected to have scattered tstorms later in the day beginning around 21Z. With calming winds overnight, patchy fog is expected in the footprint of rainfall this afternoon/evening; MVFR visibilities were added to the early morning hours. Tomorrow winds will be light, predominantly out of the S/SW.

Long Term /Monday night through Thursday/ . As of 145 PM Sun . Typical summertime pattern through the period with light winds and diurnally enhanced convection each day. Pred VFR conditions expected outside of showers and thunderstorms and patchy early morning fog and/or stratus.

MARINE. Short Term /Through Monday/ . As of 400 PM Sun . Favorable boating conditions continue for the period. Front is draped over the Pamlico River with easterly winds over the Northern OBX, southerly winds elsewhere at 5-10 kt. Buoys show seas of 1-2 ft. Front dissipates tonight with southerly flow overspreading all waters at around 10 kt, with weaker winds during the morning hours. Seas reach no higher than 2 feet.

Long Term /Monday night through Thursday/ . As of 330 AM Sunday . Good boating conditions continue through much of the long term. Expect S to SW winds around 10 kt into mid week, with gusts to around 15 kt each afternoon as the sea breeze develops and differential heating tightens the gradient a bit locally. The Bermuda high begins to strengthen offshore mid to late week with southerly winds increasing to 10-15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late Wednesday and Thursday. Seas persist around 2 ft through Tuesday, then build to 2-3 ft Wednesday and Thursday.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . MS SHORT TERM . MS LONG TERM . SK/CB AVIATION . SK/CB/CEB MARINE . SK/MS

---

Weather Reporting Stations

   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC	17 mi	53 min	S 4.1 G 8	86°F	84°F		1019.5 hPa
41025 - Diamond Shoals	26 mi	27 min	W 3.9 G 5.8	83°F	84°F			73°F
44095	26 mi	51 min			79°F	2 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC	28 mi	53 min	NNE 7 G 8.9	79°F	83°F		1019.3 hPa
44086	42 mi	34 min			78°F	2 ft

Wind History for USCG Station Hatteras, NC

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

5 PM

6 PM

7 PM

8 PM

9 PM

10 PM

11 PM

12 AM

1 AM

2 AM

3 AM

4 AM

5 AM

6 AM

7 AM

8 AM

9 AM

10 AM

11 AM

12 PM

1 PM

2 PM

3 PM

4 PM

Last 24hr

SW5 G8

SW5 G8

SW5 G9

SW6 G10

SW9

SW10

SW7 G10

SW6

SW7

SW7 G10

SW7

SW7

SW6

SW5

SW5

NW11

NW7

NW5

N6

NW3

NW3

W3

NW2

S4

1 day ago

S3 G7

S5

S5 G8

S6

S6 G9

SW6 G12

SW8 G14

SW7 G11

SW9 G13

SW7 G10

SW5

SW4

W4

SW4

SW3

NW5

N7

N7

N3

NW4

S5 G8

S7

S7 G10

SW4 G7

2 days ago

S8 G15

S6 G10

S4 G9

S3 G6

SW5

S2 G6

S4 G8

SW6 G9

SW8

SW7

SW6 G9

SW7

W6 G9

SW4

SW4

W5

W5

SW5

SW4 G8

SW6

SW7 G10

SW8 G11

SW6 G11

SW3 G6

---

Airport Reports

    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.

Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Hatteras, Mitchell Field, NC	14 mi	56 min	Var 4	10.00 mi	Fair	88°F	73°F	63%	1019.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHSE

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)

5 PM

6 PM

7 PM

8 PM

9 PM

10 PM

11 PM

12 AM

1 AM

2 AM

3 AM

4 AM

5 AM

6 AM

7 AM

8 AM

9 AM

10 AM

11 AM

12 PM

1 PM

2 PM

3 PM

4 PM

Last 24hr

SW7

SW7

SW6

SW6

SW9

SW8

SW8

W4

SW5

W7

W6

W4

W7

W4

W4

SW6

NW4

N3

Calm

3

4

NW5

4

4

1 day ago

SW5

SE3

S4

S5

S10

SW9

SW11

SW8

SW9

W7 G14

W4

W3

W3

W3

Calm

Calm

Calm

3

3

S4

6

S8

S9

S6

2 days ago

S10

S9

SW7

S5

SW6

SW6

SW5

SW7

SW7

SW6

SW7

SW7

W6

W4

W5

W4

5

SW5

SW6

5

SW6

SW7

SW8

SW6

---

Tide / Current Tables for Avon, North Carolina

   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data

---

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Hatteras, North Carolina

   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data

---

Weather Map

       (on/off)   Help Weather Map

---

GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

---

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (16,3,4,5)

      (on/off)   Help

---

Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC

   (on/off)   Help

---

Cookie Policy: This website uses cookies to save your settings. No personal information is saved. I do not collect statistics on your visit. You can disable cookies in your browser if you like but it is not recommended for this site. I do not sell cookies. Go to a bakery for that. In fact I do not sell anything. To disable cookies from L-36.com, please refer to the Help button in your browser. Privacy Policy: I do not sell or share any user data or anything else for that matter. The only personal information I save is in the site log which has a line for each page view which includes the IP address your browser sends in the header as well as which page you requested. I use this to block hackers and other bad actors. I do not use this raw data to create profiles on users. I periodically delete the log files. If you are subject to CCPA, Google ads on this site will not be based on your past behavior so you will likely not see an ad for a lawn mower just because you looked for one at a big box website. I do not believe this site is subject to CCPA but I am doing what I can to follow the guidelines anyway. Disclaimer: The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.