Cornelius, NC Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Cornelius, NC

April 14, 2024 10:48 PM EDT (02:48 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:49 AM   Sunset 7:57 PM
Moonrise 10:14 AM   Moonset 12:52 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cornelius, NC
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Area Discussion for - Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
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FXUS62 KGSP 150229 AFDGSP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 1029 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2024

SYNOPSIS
Dry high pressure will linger to our south into the first half of the week giving our region above normal temperatures.
A backdoor front will drop south from Virginia late Monday and Monday night bringing a few showers and thunderstorms, but the front quickly retreats back north on Tuesday. Another frontal system will approach our area from the west through the middle of the week, and could bring more showers and thunderstorms by Friday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 1030 PM EDT Sunday: No changes were needed for this forecast update. Weak short wave is noticeable on mid-level Water Vapor imagery, which is pushing a mid-level cloud deck into the southern portion of the CFWA. Otherwise, adjusted a few weather elements groups based on current observations and latest trends in the models.

The forecast area should remain on the leading edge of a low amplitude mid/upper ridge through Monday, which has some repercussions for the approach of a weak cold front Monday late afternoon. In the mean time, another fair weather night is expected as a sfc high pressure ridge over the Southeast remains in control. Moisture may increase a bit overnight with a light SW flow, but the main result will be min temps on the order of ten degrees warmer than last night. The fair weather should continue into the morning on Monday, then from noon onward we look to the north to monitor the progress of a weak front. This is the same boundary that will focus the thunderstorm threat over OH/PA this afternoon and eve, and then southeast VA/northeast NC Monday. With the ridge holding strong, it would appear the front will not make much southward progress through the afternoon. The CAMs show a few showers approaching the srn border of VA by the end of the daytime period, but not enough of a push to bring anything this far south. For that reason, the precip chances we had late Monday were curtailed to a slight chance over the nrn mountains at the end of the period. The bigger story might be the warm temps, which should be on the order of 10-15 degrees above normal, but should fall short of records.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 2:25 PM EDT Sunday: The short-term fcst picks up at 00z on Tuesday with upper ridging in place over the Southeast and upper trofing centered well to our north over New England and a closed upper low moving over the SW CONUS. Over the next couple of days, the upper low will lift northeast towards the Great Lakes and act to flatten the upper ridge over our area. By the end of the period late Wednesday, the upper low is expected to be centered over the western Great Lakes and starting to get absorbed by another broad upper trof amplifying over southern Canada. At the sfc, what is left of a diffuse frontal bndy/lee trof will linger over our area as the period begins late Monday. This could result in some lingering showers and even a few thunderstorms over our northern zones into early Tuesday. Over the next couple of days, a robust low pressure system will lift out of the Great Plains and move a cold front to our doorstep towards the end of the period late Wed. Over the past couple of days, most of the model guidance has been trending slower wrt the progression of the low and its associated frontal bndy. At present, it's looking like the front won't move thru our area until just beyond the short-term period, on Thursday. Regardless, we can expect warm, predominately SWLY low-level flow across our area thru the period as we remain under the western fringe of the Bermuda High.
Temperatures will remain well-above normal for mid-April thru the period.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 2:05 PM EDT Sunday: The extended forecast picks up at 00z on Thursday with a closed upper low opening back up and moving up and over the Great Lakes. Over the next 24 hrs or so, what's left of the low will get absorbed by a reinforcing upper trof/closed low that moves southeast out of central Canada. This system will continue to translate southeast into next weekend and act to flatten/suppress the upper ridging over our region. At the sfc, a robust low pressure system will be lifting over the western Great Lakes and moving a fairly dry cold front to our fcst area as the period begins late Wednesday/early Thursday. The progression of this frontal system has been trending slower over the past couple of days with most of the current guidance moving it thru our fcst area on Thursday. In its wake, the sfc pattern remains progressive, however model solu- tions diverge wrt exactly where and when the next low will develop.
It's looking more likely that we will see brief drying on Friday and another low developing just to our NW over the weekend along a moist frontal boundary. Regardless, there is good consensus that by the end of the period early next week, broad Canadian high pre- ssure will spread over our area from the NW and bring dry wx to the region. Temperatures will start out well-above climatology and likely cool to near-normal, if not below, by the end of the period.

AVIATION /03Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
At KCLT and elsewhere: VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites through the period. Southwesterly winds will become light overnight.
FEW/SCT 150-200 cloud deck will make a run through the Upstate TAF sites through this evening and into the overnight. Winds pick back up out of the southwest by mid-morning Monday. Low-end gusts will be possible once again during peak heating. Can't rule out a shower at KAVL/KHKY late Monday afternoon, but confidence is too low for a TAF mention at this time and could occur after 00Z Tuesday. Did introduce mid-level clouds in association with this potential.

Outlook: Some brief low VFR to MVFR clouds may develop Monday night and Tuesday as a result of a weak frontal zone developing to our north. Otherwise VFR generally will persist through midweek under high pressure regime.

GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KJQF CONCORDPADGETT RGNL,NC 11 sm53 minS 0410 smClear70°F46°F43%29.98
KIPJ LINCOLNTONLINCOLN COUNTY RGNL,NC 13 sm13 minWSW 1010 smClear68°F46°F46%29.95
KCLT CHARLOTTE/DOUGLAS INTL,NC 17 sm56 minSSW 0610 smClear72°F46°F41%29.96
KAKH GASTONIA MUNI,NC 21 sm54 minSSW 0410 smClear66°F48°F52%29.96
KSVH STATESVILLE RGNL,NC 22 sm13 minSSW 0410 smClear68°F46°F46%29.96
Link to 5 minute data for KJQF


Wind History from JQF
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Tide / Current for
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GEOS Local Image of southeast   
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