Saturday, December14, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Salvo, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:06AMSunset 4:52PM Saturday December 14, 2019 11:35 PM EST (04:35 UTC) Moonrise 7:22PMMoonset 9:14AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ172 /o.can.kmhx.ma.w.0149.000000t0000z-190818t1545z/ 1116 Am Edt Sun Aug 18 2019
.the special marine warning is cancelled... The affected areas were... Waters from cape hatteras to ocracoke inlet nc from 20 to 40 nm... Waters from oregon inlet to cape hatteras nc from 20 to 40 nm... The Thunderstorm has moved out of the area and no longer poses a significant threat to boaters. Lat...lon 3498 7491 3486 7514 3509 7511 3536 7483 time...mot...loc 1513z 224deg 18kt 3516 7484


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Salvo, NC
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location: 35.46, -75.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 150314 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1014 PM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will continue to push further offshore tonight. High pressure will build in briefly Sunday and Monday, followed by another cold front on Tuesday. Cold high pressure then builds in through the remainder of the work week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/. As of 1010 PM Saturday . Mid-level clouds and even a few sprinkles accompanied a weak shortwave across the region this evening. As the shortwave exits the coast, the last of the clouds are crossing the Sounds counties at late evening and should move offshore shortly. Skies overnight will be clear with gusty westerly winds as area of 4 mb/3 hr pressure rises moves east from the Piedmont over the next several hours. Despite the wind, low temperatures will drop to the upper 30s inland to mid/ upper 40s coast as dewpoints drop into the 30s by morning. Minimal changes made to the current forecast for this update.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/. As of 2 PM Sat . High pressure will continue to build over the area, making for a pleasant and quiet day with temps near climo. Low level thickness values and mostly sunny skies support highs 55-60 degrees.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 1 PM Sat . Drier and mild conditions are expected through Monday. Another cold front will cross the area Tuesday, bringing additional chances for rain, and then colder high pressure builds into the region through Friday. The next storm system could impact the area beginning Friday night into Saturday.

Sunday Night and Monday . H5 heights gradually increase aloft as surface high pressure passes to our south, settling offshore late Sunday through Monday. Dry conditions on tap with temps well above normal given the deep subsidence and primarily SW low level flow.

Tuesday . High pressure will continue to ridge in from offshore Tuesday morning, as a strong cold front and upper level trough approach from the west. Guidance continued to trend a bit slower today with the front reaching and crossing the area in the evening. Additionally, guidance is indicating the potential for two rounds of showers/storms . the first with the primary band of low level moisture convergence well ahead of the front, followed by a could of hours of drier conditions before another round of showers/storms arrives with the primary front. Have tweaked POPs accordingly, but still have likely to categorical as the two rounds of rainfall is expected to bring appreciable rainfall to all of eastern NC. Expect very warm temperatures, with lows only in the 60s Tuesday morning, and then warming up into the upper 60s in the afternoon despite widespread clouds and rain. Given the warm and moist atmosphere, some isolated thunderstorms will also be possible, but should be relegated to the immediate coast and offshore. Severe threat looks marginal, as uncertainty remains with how much instability will develop onshore, but the dynamic profile is impressive with 50-70 kts of bulk shear present.

Wednesday through Saturday . Behind the cold front, colder high pressure will build in from the west for this period, as the the Eastern US remains underneath an expansive longwave trough. Strong CAA will limit high temps on Wednesday, despite sunny skies, with readings only reaching the mid 40s across the area. CAA will continue Wednesday night, and very cold temperatures are expected as the axis of a strong shortwave trough crosses the area. Low temps will likely fall into the mid to upper 20s across most of the area, with low 30s on the Outer Banks and beaches. With low level heights slow to recover Thursday, and modest CAA continuing, expect highs only to reach the low to mid 40s. Conditions will finally begin to moderate Friday with high temps back into the low to mid 50s. The next storm system may arrive in the form of a coastal low late Friday into Saturday, but there is considerable uncertainty with major differences between the most reliable global guidance.

AVIATION /03Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Short Term /through 00Z Monday/ . As of 7 PM Saturday . Scattered stratocumulus evident on infrared satellite crossing inland areas currently, but should dissipate as lower dewpoints advect into the region over the next few hours. High confidence in a VFR forecast through this TAF cycle as gusty west winds will prevent fog formation tonight. The winds should subside on Sunday with generally sunny skies expected.

Long Term /Sunday night through Thursday/ . As of 1 PM Sat . VFR conditions are expected through Tuesday morning when another cold front moves through the area and may bring a period of MVFR/IFR conditions through Wednesday morning. VFR returns later Wednesday through the end of the period.

MARINE. Short Term /through Sunday/ . As of 1015 PM Saturday . Latest MSAS analysis showing area of 4 mb/3 hr pressure rises crossing the eastern Piedmont and moving into eastern NC. Gusty west winds have already starting increasing on the area waters and would expect them to peak over the next several hours per latest high-resolution guidance. Expecting W winds 20-30 knots over all waters and will keep the SCA in place into Sunday morning. High pressure will build over the waters Sun, with winds and seas gradually subsiding. W winds 15-20 kt early becoming W/SW 10-15 kt by afternoon.

Long Term /Sunday night through Thursday/ . As of 1 PM Sat . High pressure passing south of the area will bring light SW winds Sunday night, becoming S Monday at 10-20 kts, with seas 3-5 ft. Small craft conditions will likely return late Monday afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front, with winds at SSW 20- 30 kts and seas building to 7-10 ft through Tuesday evening. Then, a cold front will move through the area and turn winds to the NW, still at 20-30 kts through Wednesday. High pressure building into the area will bring improving conditions Thursday.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Sunday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EST Sunday for AMZ131-230-231. Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EST Sunday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until noon EST Sunday for AMZ150-156-158.



SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CTC SHORT TERM . CQD LONG TERM . SGK/CB AVIATION . CTC/CQD/CB MARINE . CTC/CQD/CB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44095 23 mi50 min 54°F7 ft
41025 - Diamond Shoals 33 mi36 min W 25 G 33 61°F 1006.8 hPa (+2.9)54°F
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 33 mi60 min WSW 18 G 23 52°F 55°F1006.2 hPa
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 36 mi54 min W 20 G 25 54°F 60°F1007.1 hPa
44086 41 mi41 min 54°F6 ft

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hatteras, Mitchell Field, NC32 mi45 minW 11 G 2210.00 miMostly Cloudy55°F48°F80%1007.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHSE

Wind History from HSE (wind in knots)
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1 day ago66N344NE5E4E6E5SE7SE13SE13E9SE12
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Tide / Current Tables for Rodanthe, Pamlico Sound, North Carolina
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Rodanthe
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:20 AM EST     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:15 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 12:05 PM EST     0.72 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:49 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:18 PM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:22 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.50.40.20-0.1-0.2-0.100.20.50.60.70.70.60.40.20.1-0-0.1-0.10.10.20.4

Tide / Current Tables for Avon, North Carolina
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Avon
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:43 AM EST     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:02 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:21 AM EST     3.72 feet High Tide
Sat -- 09:15 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 03:01 PM EST     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:50 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:23 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:47 PM EST     2.26 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.3-0.1-0.20.20.81.72.63.33.73.63.12.31.40.6-0-0.2-0.10.41.11.72.22.321.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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