Tuesday, September21, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bath, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 7:07PM Tuesday September 21, 2021 11:03 AM EDT (15:03 UTC) Moonrise 6:49PMMoonset 6:21AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ136 Pamlico And Pungo Rivers- 625 Am Edt Tue Sep 21 2021
Today..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers late this morning and early afternoon. A slight chance of tstms this afternoon. A chance of showers late.
Tonight..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms, mainly in the morning.
Wed night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Thu..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop in the afternoon. A chance of tstms. Showers likely.
Thu night..N winds around 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers.
Fri..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming w. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bath, NC
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location: 35.47, -76.9     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 211029 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 629 AM EDT Tue Sep 21 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure to the north will continue to slide off the coast today as coastal trough strengthens across the Southeast US. A cold front slowly moves through on Thursday with dry high pressure building in late in the week through the weekend.

NEAR TERM /TODAY/. As of 630 AM Tue . Latest analysis shows 1032mb high pressure centered along the New England coast and Nova Scotia ridging into the Mid-Atlantic, with coastal trough strengthening along the SE coast. Ridging weakens across the area today, as WAA strengthens, while shortwave energy moves through the flow aloft combined with the increasing SE flow will allow deeper moisture to spread in from the SW through the day. PWAT values currently ranging from 1" across the northern forecast area to 1.6" across the south, will surge to 1.5" north to aoa 2 inches south this afternoon. Current radar imagery shows isolated showers still moving onshore across the southern forecast area. While the bulk of the rain currently remains to the south with heavy rain bands moving onshore from SE NC down into coastal SC.

Most of the 00z guidance continues to trend wetter for the next 24 hrs, but still some uncertainty with continued model differences. NAM, GFS, some CAMs show potential for heavy rain across the SW this afternoon and tonight, while the EC, HRRR and other high res guidance still keep the heavy rain threat just to the SW of the area. So the main concern today is potential for locally heavy rain across the very SW portions of the forecast area . mainly Onslow and Duplin counties this afternoon and eve. 1-2" with locally higher amounts possible. Highs today in the low to mid 80s with cloudy skies.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 315 AM Tue . Deeper moisture will continue to overspread the region overnight. Locally heavy rain threat will continue across the sw forecast area. Think coverage might diminish a bit with loss of heating this evening, then increasing towards sunrise Wed morning as heavy rain band pivots up the coast from SE NC. Cloud cover and SE flow should keep it muggy overnight with lows in the 70s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 330 AM Tue . Periods of rain showers will afflict ENC for the midweek period, Wednesday through Thursday, before dry high pressure builds in to round out the work week through early next week. Above normal temps in the middle 80s through Wednesday will cool back to near seasonal norms by the end of the week into the weekend.

Wednesday through Thursday . Some model disagreements continue with handling of deep upper low and attendant cold front, but a converging soln is closer to being met. Slower ECM continues to have support from the CMC and now the NAM, in bringing a slow moving cold front through on Thursday, while GFS is a bit faster with front passing through by late Wed night. Have based fcst on the slower and more consistent soln, which would indicate best covg of rain later Wed through the first part of Thu. Cont high pops acrs wrn half on Wed as moisture convergence amplifies here, with PW's surging to aoa 2" at times. Periods of heavy rain are possible with some embedded thunder, though instability is fairly meager per model sndgs. Long skinny CAPE profiles with deep warm cloud layer and slow progression of the front as upper trough becomes closed over the lower Great Lakes means periods of heavy rain are possible beginning on Wed, and exiting the coastal areas by Thu afternoon. Latest 21/00Z ECM cont the rain threat on the OBX into Fri as well, so have cont the chc pops here with a possible slower exit.

Friday through Monday . Cooler and drier air mass builds in with high pres oozing into the ern CONUS and deep layer nwrly flow as the region is under broad long wave troughing. Hts near climo will lead to near avg temps with highs generally around 80 and lows in the mid 50s interior to mid 60s beaches.

AVIATION /10Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. SHORT TERM /through tonight/ . As of 630 AM Tue . VFR currently across the sites. There is potential for a brief period of MVFR cigs this morning, but expect to remain pred VFR. Deeper moisture will slowly spread NE today with shra chcs increasing over SW tier thru the day. Some MVFR cigs poss SW late. SE winds may gust aoa 15 kt this aftn. Cigs will grad lower this evening and overnight, with potential for IFR after 06z.

LONG TERM /Wednesday through Saturday/ . As of 330 AM Tue . Sub VFR conditions develop by Wed as sct to numerous showers afflict the TAF sites. These conditions cont through Thursday before improving conditions behind slow moving cold front by second half of Thu. VFR returns to round out the week with mostly skc conditions with building high pres.

MARINE. SHORT TERM /through tonight/ . As of 630 AM Tue . Latest obs show E-SE winds 10-20 kt, strongest south of Hatteras, with seas 3-6 ft. High pressure to the north will continue to shift off the New England coast today as coastal trough strengthens across the SE US. Increased winds a bit from previous forecast. Moderate SE winds will continue through tonight, generally 15-20 kt, with occasional gusts to 25 kt esp across the outer central and southern waters. Seas will grad build from south to north with persistent long fetch of SEly winds, and combo of long period swell from distant TS Peter (1-2 ft/17 sec). Will go ahead with a SCA for seas building to 4-6 ft.

LONG TERM /Wednesday through Saturday/ . As of 330 AM Tue . Winds pick up in speed Wed and esp Wed night into Thu ahead of slowly approaching cold front, with speeds of 15-20 kt expected and seas building to 6-7 ft. The front finally passes through late Thu, with winds turning nrly or nerly by Fri and remaining 15-20 kt with poss SCA conditions continuing.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 8 AM EDT Friday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Friday for AMZ156-158. Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM Wednesday to 8 AM EDT Friday for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . CQD SHORT TERM . CQD LONG TERM . TL AVIATION . CQD/TL MARINE . CQD/TL


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 53 mi46 min ESE 16 G 18 81°F 80°F1022.4 hPa
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 62 mi64 min ESE 18 G 20 81°F 1021.8 hPa (+0.7)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 66 mi46 min E 6 G 8.9 81°F 79°F1023.1 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC11 mi69 minE 11 G 1510.00 miFair81°F72°F74%1022.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOCW

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE7NE7NE7E4NE7NE6NE6NE7NE6NE4CalmNE4CalmCalmCalmNE3NE4NE3CalmNE3E3E5E6E10
1 day agoNE4E6CalmE4NE6E5E5E3SE5E3NE4E6CalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmN4CalmN4NE5NE7
2 days agoN5NE7N6CalmCalmNE5NE3N3CalmCalmCalmSE4SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3N4

Tide / Current Tables for Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina
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Core Creek Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:56 AM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:20 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 09:51 AM EDT     2.58 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:19 PM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:47 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:08 PM EDT     2.47 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.81.20.60.20.10.30.81.422.52.62.421.40.90.40.20.20.61.21.82.32.52.4

Tide / Current Tables for North River Bridge, North Carolina
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North River Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:18 AM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:20 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 10:50 AM EDT     2.21 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:41 PM EDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:47 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:07 PM EDT     2.11 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.91.61.10.60.30.10.20.61.11.72.12.22.11.71.30.80.40.20.10.40.91.51.92.1

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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