Sunrise 6:23 AM   Sunset 7:51 PM Moonrise 7:49 PM   Moonset 5:33 AM

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AMZ136 Pamlico And Pungo Rivers- 422 Pm Edt Wed Apr 24 2024
Tonight - NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se late this evening, then becoming W after midnight. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat late this evening and overnight. Isolated showers this evening. Thu - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves light chop, increasing to choppy in the afternoon. Thu night - NE winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to around 10 kt after midnight. Waves choppy, diminishing to light chop after midnight. Fri - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. Fri night - E winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. Sat - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. Sat night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Sun - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Sun night - SW winds around 10 kt. Waves light chop. Mon - SW winds around 10 kt. Waves light chop. Mon night - SW winds around 10 kt. Waves light chop.

AMZ100 422 Pm Edt Wed Apr 24 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - A cold front with limited moisture will approach the area today and cross the region tonight. High pressure builds back into the area from the north on Thursday and eventually slides offshore this weekend.

FXUS62 KMHX 242032 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 432 PM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

SYNOPSIS
A cold front with limited moisture will approach the area today and cross the region tonight. High pressure builds back into the area from the north on Thursday and eventually slides offshore this weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 330 PM Wednesday...A series of subtle mid-level shortwaves moving through cyclonic flow aloft will push across the area through the short term. The first is currently moving across the region bringing a band of light showers, which is being enhanced by the region being located in the favorable right entrance region of the upper jet. The showers are currently located across for northern sections and will slide swd across the area this afternoon and evening. Guidance shows the coverage of showers diminishing as it pushes southward this afternoon as it moves away from better upper level support but could see some enhancement this evening as the assoc prefrontal trough and sea breeze converges near the Crystal coast. There is significant dry air below 600-700 mb so rainfall amounts will remain quite low, most likely less than a tenth of an inch.
MUCAPE remains less than 100 J/Kg across the region with little shear in place so continue to keep thunder out of the forecast.
Another mid-level shortwave and attendant cold front will push across the region late tonight with winds becoming nly but the airmass will be too dry to produce any additional showers. Skies will be variably cloudy overnight but sufficient breaks expected to allow min temps in the low to mid 50s.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY/
As of 345 PM Wednesday...Sfc high pressure ridges in from the north Thursday with another subtle shortwave pushing through which will bring a north to northeast wind surge in the afternoon with gusts around 25-30 mph across the OBX and 15-20 mph inland. No additional precip is expected but onshore flow is will likely bring low STCU across eastern sections of the FA.
A wide range of temps across the are with clouds and onshore flow keeping temps in the low to mid 60s across the OBX to mid 70s across southern sections.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 400 AM Tuesday...Fairly quiet stretch in the long term with high pressure dominating.

High pressure lingers to our north Thursday night, and will remain near the eastern seaboard through the end of the work week, aided by omega blocking aloft. Remainder of the long term remains uneventful due to the high. Low moving through the eastern US in the weekend will encounter this stubborn high, and some uncertainty remains on if it will be pushed north around the high, or if the high will give way. If the low moves north, we will have less chances of precip in the weekend. If the low is able to shift the high offshore, we will see increased chances of precip. No mentionable PoPs with this update for Saturday as high remaining stubborn looks to be the most likely outcome. High will shift to our south in the weekend, and easterly flow will gradually veer to become southwesterly at the start of next week. Another frontal system will be moving through mid week next week. How the high behaves will play a role on how far south the higher moisture along the cold front extends. As of right now, looks to be mostly dry with higher precip chances expected in AKQ's CWA and further north. Tuesday will be the warmest day of the long term (mid-upper 80s inland), aided by SW flow with the high to our east.

AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
SHORT TERM /Through Thursday/...
As of 3 PM Wednesday...Pred VFR conditions expected through the TAF period. A mid level shortwave and pre-frontal trough pushing across the region this afternoon and evening bringing a band of light showers. Cigs with the showers will remain above 6 kt ft but could see very short duration MVFR vsbys if heavier showers develop. A cold front will push across rtes late tonight with winds becoming nly. Another surge in nly to nely winds will develop Thursday afternoon bringing gusts to around 15-20 kt at the TAF sites but could be as high as 25-30 kt across the OBX.
MVFR STCU is expected to develop along the coast and push westward across the sounds. Guidance currently keeps lower cigs east of the TAF sites but could briefly make it as far west as EWN.

LONG TERM /Thursday night through Monday/...
As of 315 AM Monday...Pred VFR conditions expected through Sunday with high pressure dominating the long term.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Tonight/...
As of 4 PM Wednesday...A prefrontal trough is currently pushing across the waters and seeing N to NW winds around 10 kt or less across the northern waters and SW 15-20 kt from around Oregon Inlet southward. The trough will push weaken as it pushes swd with evening allowing winds to become less than 15 kt across the waters overnight. A cold front will then push across the waters late tonight allowing winds to become Nly around 10-15 kt Thursday morning with a stronger surge around 15-25 kt developing in the afternoon. Seas around 4-7 ft this afternoon will briefly subside to 2-5 ft late tonight but will rebuild to 3-6 ft Thursday afternoon as the stronger surge develops. Have adjusted the timing of the SCA across the northern waters and sounds/Alligator River since present conditions have dropped below criteria and are not expected to reach it again until tomorrow afternoon. Will maintain through the overnight for the coastal waters south of Oregon Inlet as SCA conditions will likely continue through this evening and short window before rebuilding Thursday afternoon.

LONG TERM /Thursday through Sunday/...
As of 400 AM Tuesday...Cold front will be offshore of the Crystal Coast and SOBX for the start of the long term. Behind the cold front, we will see a surge of northerly winds Thursday afternoon/evening. Pamlico Sound has a Small Craft Advisory out until 6Z Friday due to this surge. Duration of the higher winds will be shorter for northern sounds.Alligator River, preventing the issuance of a SCA at this time. Neuse and Pamlico Rivers should remain below SCA criteria. We will also see waves picking up from the deepening low in the North Atlantic. This will allow Small Craft Advisory conditions to continue for coastal waters until 6Z Friday. The exception is waters off of Hatteras Island and Ocracoke, where high waves at or above 6 ft will linger a bit longer, until 0Z Saturday.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ195- 196-199-204-205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from noon to 11 PM EDT Thursday for AMZ131-230-231.
Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM Thursday to midnight EDT Thursday night for AMZ135.
Small Craft Advisory from noon Thursday to 2 AM EDT Friday for AMZ150.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Friday for AMZ152-154.
Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Friday for AMZ156-158.

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Core Creek Bridge
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Wed -- 04:15 AM EDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 09:55 AM EDT     2.04 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:06 PM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:45 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 10:07 PM EDT     2.41 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Core Creek Bridge, North Carolina, Tide feet

Newport River
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Wed -- 03:58 AM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 09:39 AM EDT     3.05 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:49 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:45 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:51 PM EDT     3.60 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Newport River, North Carolina, Tide feet

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Morehead City, NC,