Sunday, January17, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Belhaven, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 5:23PM Sunday January 17, 2021 5:18 AM EST (10:18 UTC) Moonrise 10:19AMMoonset 9:59PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ136 Pamlico And Pungo Rivers- 335 Am Est Sun Jan 17 2021
Today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Mon night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Tue night..W winds around 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming w. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Belhaven, NC
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location: 35.54, -76.59     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 170842 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 342 AM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will continue over the region into early next week. A dry cold front will move through early Wednesday morning.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 240 AM Sun . Sfc high pressure continues to build into the region Sun morning, providing clear skies to start the day. A mid- level shortwaves will dip southward across Appalachia, providing some weak vorticity advection across eastern NC. Dry airmass in place will inhibit any precip development, with only an inc in mid to high clouds expected. Afternoon highs around 50.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM MONDAY/. As of 250 AM Sat . Mid-level shortwave will dig into the Mid Atlantic region Sat night, breaking down sfc high pressure dominance slightly. Weak low pressure will develop well offshore the NC coast with dry weather still in place over the forecast area. Can expect mid to high clouds to linger across the region with the weak forcing overhead. Radiational cooling will be stunted a bit, with overnight lows only making it down to the mid 30s inland and low 40s along the coast.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 330 AM Sunday . A strong shortwave embedded in a deep longwave upper trough will cross eastern NC during the day on Monday. The deeper moisture with this shortwave will remain to the north of the area, so will continue a dry forecast although considerable cloudiness is expected, given steep lapse rates. A cool day with highs upper 40s northeast to lower 50s southern CWA.

Monday night will be cold with lows in the upper 20s to around 30 degrees, rebounding into the low/mid 50s Tuesday under sunny skies as the area is between systems. A dry cold front will cross the area during the first part of the day Wednesday, with only a wind shift expected. Temperatures remain fairly consistent into late week with highs low/mid 50s and lows mainly in the 40s.

Some changes in model trends for the end of the week into next weekend. GFS/ECMWF trending drier with Thursday and will keep just 20-30 percent PoPs in the forecast. Big differences in the two models for Friday as a several waves of low pressure form along a stalled front near or just south of the CWA. The GFS has trended drier, shunting the moisture/precipitation to the south, while the ECMWF shows a rather wet day on Friday with deeper omega and moisture. Split the difference, which matches well with the surrounding offices showing high chance PoPs for Friday, but the forecast for this period will continue to evolve. Saturday looks dry and cool with highs mainly upper 40s.

AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Short Term /Through 06Z Monday/ . As of 1240 AM Sun . Quiet TAF period ahead with VFR conditions expected. High pressure building overhead will keep skies clear and continue diminishing westerly winds this morning around 5-10 kts. Winds pick up slightly again Sun aftn as a weak disturbance moves through late Sunday and washes out. Expect more SWrly flow around 10 kts with a few gusts around 15 kts in the aftn. Mid to upper level clouds during the aftn and into the evening with dry weather forecasted.

Long Term /Monday through Thursday/ . As of 340 AM Sunday . With high pressure in control, VFR conditions are expected Monday through Wednesday. A few showers are possible on Thursday as frontal boundary stalls near the area, but any sub-VFR conditions will be brief.

MARINE. Short Term /Today and Tonight/ . As of 300 AM Sun . Marine conditions will gradually improve Sun morning before the onset of stronger SW flow ramps up wind and waves again Sun aftn through the overnight period. Gale warnings have been downgraded to Small Craft Advisories with Small Craft dropped for Pamlico Sound.

High pressure will build overhead to start off Sunday, allowing wind and waves to drop below SCA criteria for a brief period mid to late morning. Weak disturbance will then push towards the region during the aftn and crank up Wrly flow again. Winds gust back up to 25 kts across the southern and central waters mid to late aftn before ramping up in the Pamlico Sound early evening. Seas will build back up to 4-6 ft by Sun evening south of Oregon Inlet. Decided to keep Small Craft headlines up for southern and central waters through the entire period as a result of the quick return to criteria.

Long Term /Monday through Thursday/ . As of 345 AM Sunday . Gusty westerly winds and rough seas will continue through Monday, with gusts to 30 knots and seas up to 6 feet. These conditions should subside Tuesday through Thursday with mostly W/NW winds 15-20 knots and seas 3-5 feet on most waters.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 AM EST early this morning for NCZ205. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Monday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EST Tuesday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Tuesday for AMZ156-158. Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for AMZ150.



SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . ML SHORT TERM . ML LONG TERM . CTC AVIATION . CTC/ML MARINE . CTC/ML


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 52 mi49 min W 18 G 23 43°F 50°F1012.2 hPa
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 57 mi49 min WNW 5.1 G 9.9 40°F 51°F1013.2 hPa
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 58 mi49 min W 12 G 17 38°F 48°F1011.4 hPa

Wind History for USCG Station Hatteras, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC24 mi24 minWSW 410.00 miFair32°F26°F78%1012.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOCW

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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2 days agoCalmW4SW4W4W5W6W5W7W6CalmSW4W3CalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Ocracoke, Ocracoke Island, North Carolina (2)
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Ocracoke
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:54 AM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:11 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:16 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:44 AM EST     1.00 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:17 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:28 PM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 09:57 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 11:11 PM EST     0.90 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.60.40.1-0-0.100.20.50.8110.90.70.50.30.1-0.1-00.10.30.60.80.9

Tide / Current Tables for Ocracoke, Ocracoke Island, North Carolina
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Ocracoke
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:43 AM EST     0.11 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:11 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:16 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:35 AM EST     1.05 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:17 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:39 PM EST     0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 09:57 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 11:02 PM EST     0.89 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.50.30.20.10.10.20.40.60.9110.90.80.50.30.20.10.10.20.40.70.80.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station




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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.