NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

FXUS64 KOUN 032358 AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 558 PM CST Sun Dec 3 2023

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 318 PM CST Sun Dec 3 2023

As of 3:15PM, a weak cold front was draped from Lahoma to near Butler with northwest winds gusting 35 mph to occasionally 40 mph.
Even with the front, widespread 60's are observed across Oklahoma and low 70's are seen over parts of southwest Oklahoma and western north Texas with westerly wind gusts of 25 to 30 mph. This has led to elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon - mainly over western north Texas.

A mid-level shortwave over Kansas continues to push the cold front through the FA with gusty winds gradually subsiding into the evening hours. Satellite shows a relatively narrow band of broken mid-level clouds over Kansas about to move into northern Oklahoma. These clouds continue to drop towards east-central Oklahoma this evening. With a deep sub-cloud dry layer, some virga is possible with about a 10 percent chance of sprinkles making it to the surface this evening.

Tomorrow, mid-level heights rise and the center of high high pressure tracks across the Texas panhandle and then western north Texas. As a result, winds back to south/southwest over western counties by mid- day and elevated fire risk continues over portions of western Oklahoma tomorrow afternoon.

Thompson

LONG TERM
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 318 PM CST Sun Dec 3 2023

Despite the passage of weak frontal boundary on Monday night into Tuesday, warm and dry conditions likely continue through Thursday as upper ridge progresses towards our region. An approaching southern-stream shortwave and strengthening LLJ/low-level WAA, will yield breezy south winds on Wednesday, and especially, on Thursday. Maximum temperatures trend upward through the week and peak on Thursday and/or Friday with widespread high temperatures in the 70's.

A front is forecast to move into Oklahoma on Friday ahead of an approaching upper trough with colder air filtering into the area on Friday night and into Saturday. The upper trough is prog'd to move through the region Saturday (GEFS) or Sunday (EPS/CMC). Although low POPs remain in the forecast for next weekend, guidance is trending drier.

Thompson

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 555 PM CST Sun Dec 3 2023

VFR will apply through the forecast period. Expect winds to continue to shift from the west and northwest through ~05Z behind a cold front. A few mid to high clouds are moving in from the north and will spread over central OK around 03Z. Some gusts near 20 kt are anticipated for a few hours. Wind speeds will diminish by 14-18Z Monday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Oklahoma City OK 31 57 34 58 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 29 59 32 62 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 32 61 35 64 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 24 60 28 61 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 28 54 32 55 / 10 0 0 0 Durant OK 35 60 37 64 / 0 0 0 0

OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...None.
TX...None.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Oklahoma City, OK,