Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Boys Ranch, TX

SHORT TERM
(Today through Sunday night)
Issued at 306 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

Moisture that has moved across the panhandles following the cold front is causing low level clouds across the panhandles. This moisture is mostly confined to the low levels but should be sufficient to cause light drizzle early this morning. A trough is currently swinging out of the intermountain west into the southern plains. This will spin up a new weather system along the stalled front that is currently over TX. As this system spins up it will draw additional moisture across the panhandles that will fuel the increase in precipitation activity. The increase in moisture will take time so for much of Saturday the shower activity will be isolated and light. This activity will increase and become heavier through the day but most notably during the evening timeframe. Underneath the cloudy and dreary conditions of Saturday the temperatures will reach a minimum with highs in the 40s to 50s.

During the overnight hours into Sunday the surface low associated with the weather system has a high chance of passing across the SE portions of the panhandles. This position allow more ample moisture over the southern and eastern Panhandles as the deformation area of the weather system pivots over the panhandles.
This will make the morning hours of Sunday the peak time for precipitation activity and rainfall amounts. There will be sufficient instability with the passage of this weather system for thunderstorms to occur during this time as well. However the dynamics only favor more general thunderstorms so the chance for any strong to severe thunderstorms is extremely low. While the chances are very low it cannot be fully ruled out that some light snow may be mixed in with some of the rain in the NW panhandles early on Sunday morning. The weather system will be fast moving so the moisture will rapidly depart the panhandles during the later morning hours through the afternoon. So by the evening the panhandles should be back to dry conditions. With the rapid departure of the weather system temperatures will be able to recover with highs returning back to more normal during the afternoon.

SH

LONG TERM
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 306 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

Following the departure of the weekend weather system there is a high chance that dry conditions return to the panhandles for the start of the work week. The sunny skies associated with the dry conditions will allow the temperatures to increase back to the 80s to kick off the work week.

This period of dry weather is unlikely to last as mid week has a moderate chance for return flow pattern to setup across the southern plains. This will allow gulf moisture to move northward across the panhandles during the later portions of Tuesday. This moisture would then allow for showers and thunderstorms activity across the panhandles. This pattern then has a moderate chance of staying across the southern plains for the rest of the work week.
To further complicate the weather a series of progressive weak weather system have a moderate chance of passing across the southern plains during the mid to late portions of the work week.
These system would provide additional lift creating more extensive and heavier shower and thunderstorm activity. If the dynamics are strong enough these weather systems may even produce severe thunderstorms in the panhandles. With the ample moisture present over the panhandles the temperatures are more likely than not to be a little cooler with highs in the 70s.

SH

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

A weather system continues to impact the panhandles through the rest of today and into Sunday. This is currently spreading a low level cloud deck of MVFR level across the panhandles including all terminals. Once this deck builds in it will stay over the panhandles for the rest of the TAF period. Light drizzle has a moderate chance of occurring underneath this cloud deck. With additional moisture arriving in the afternoon hours rain showers will spread across the panhandles impacting all terminals. Then later in the evening thunderstorms have a moderate chance of impacting all terminals. Conditions may be further reduced to IFR during the rain showers or thunderstorms.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Amarillo TX 48 37 65 40 / 30 90 60 0 Beaver OK 48 38 63 37 / 30 70 80 0 Boise City OK 43 33 66 35 / 40 60 30 0 Borger TX 50 40 68 42 / 20 90 70 0 Boys Ranch TX 48 38 68 38 / 30 80 60 0 Canyon TX 52 37 66 39 / 30 90 60 0 Clarendon TX 51 41 65 43 / 20 90 70 0 Dalhart TX 46 34 66 34 / 30 70 40 0 Guymon OK 48 36 66 36 / 20 70 60 0 Hereford TX 52 36 67 37 / 30 90 50 0 Lipscomb TX 50 41 62 41 / 30 80 80 0 Pampa TX 49 39 63 42 / 30 90 70 0 Shamrock TX 51 43 64 42 / 30 90 80 0 Wellington TX 53 44 66 43 / 30 90 70 0

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for TXZ001-002-006.

OK...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for OKZ001.