Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Boys Ranch, TX
March 28, 2024 1:21 PM CDT (18:21 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:37 AM Sunset 8:07 PM Moonrise 10:41 PM Moonset 8:11 AM |
Area Discussion for - Amarillo, TX
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FXUS64 KAMA 281729 AFDAMA
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 1229 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Friday night)
Issued at 347 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Latest 08Z obs to start this morning shows light and variable sfc winds across the Panhandles as we are downstream of a low amplitude H500 ridge. This aforementioned ridge will traverse east with its main axis across the central Plains later today. In its wake, H500 zonal flow across the Continental Divide will develop a lee sfc trough this afternoon. This will bring breezy conditions to the Texas Panhandle later this afternoon. As a result, watching for elevated fire weather conditions for the SW TX Panhandle. Otherwise, southwest surface flow will allow high temperatures to reach well into the 70s for many locations today.
Going into the day tomorrow, high temperatures will range from the mid 70s to mid 80s across the Panhandles. As H500 flow has more of WSW/SW directional shift, along with the main H300 jet aloft placing the Panhandles within an area of large scale subsidence throughout the day, dry conditions will prevail. With WAA established throughout the short term forecast period in the region, low temps tonight and tomorrow night will remain above average for this time of year.
Meccariello
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 347 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
We continue to watch the latest 28/00Z model and numerical guidance as a strong low moving south along the California coastline over the weekend becomes an upper level trough as it enters into the SW CONUS by early next week. Further east across the Panhandles, SW sfc-500 flow will become more apparent as we go through the weekend. Especially by Sunday, height falls will be quite rapid resulting in a resultant SW sfc flow where near headline winds will be possible on Sunday as skies clear out in the afternoon across the western Panhandles and again on Monday, enhanced by a Pacific front. With low RH values and some breezy to nearly strong winds, in-conjunction with a thermal ridge diurnally driven each day, elevated to critical fire weather conditions will be have to watched closely, especially on Sunday.
High temperatures on Saturday through Monday will be well above average with manly locations well into the 80s for high temperatures. A cold front will move south from the central Plains into the Panhandles early next week, bringing rain chances for some Monday night into Tuesday. Temperatures behind the front will drop to below average and should remain in this sub below average probabilistic range for the remainder of the long term forecast period.
Meccariello
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Primary potential hazard to fliers over the next 24 hours is the potential for low level wind shear in the surface to 1000 foot layer over the eastern three quarters of the area between 03z and 14z, including at AMA/GUY. Over time, low level jet looks to subside and surface winds will increase following sunrise, reducing LLWS. Otherwise, expect some southwesterly gusts to around 30 knots this afternoon.
Ferguson
FIRE WEATHER
With gusty winds out of the SW of 15 to 25 mph, coupled with min RH values around 13 to 15 percent, will have to watch for elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon for the SW Texas Panhandle. Will have to watch for elevated to critical fire weather conditions for the western half of the combined Panhandles tomorrow. Min RH values will drop to around 10 percent by tomorrow afternoon with 20 ft winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Max RFTI values tomorrow will be as high as 3 to 4 along with ERC values favoring the southern Texas Panhandle in the 40th to near 50th percentile.
Looking ahead from Saturday into Monday, elevated to critical fire weather conditions will also be possible with trends being monitored closely.
Meccariello
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Amarillo TX 45 80 44 81 / 0 0 0 0 Beaver OK 45 80 36 76 / 0 0 0 0 Boise City OK 38 75 34 76 / 0 0 0 0 Borger TX 48 84 44 84 / 0 0 0 0 Boys Ranch TX 43 81 40 82 / 0 0 0 0 Canyon TX 45 81 44 81 / 0 0 0 0 Clarendon TX 47 82 47 82 / 0 0 0 0 Dalhart TX 36 78 35 78 / 0 0 0 0 Guymon OK 40 78 35 77 / 0 0 0 0 Hereford TX 43 81 44 81 / 0 0 0 0 Lipscomb TX 48 82 40 79 / 0 0 0 0 Pampa TX 48 82 44 82 / 0 0 0 0 Shamrock TX 45 79 44 81 / 0 0 0 0 Wellington TX 45 79 45 82 / 0 0 0 0
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Fire Weather Watch from Friday afternoon through Friday evening for TXZ001-002-006>008-011>013-016>018-317.
OK...Fire Weather Watch from Friday afternoon through Friday evening for OKZ001.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 1229 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Friday night)
Issued at 347 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Latest 08Z obs to start this morning shows light and variable sfc winds across the Panhandles as we are downstream of a low amplitude H500 ridge. This aforementioned ridge will traverse east with its main axis across the central Plains later today. In its wake, H500 zonal flow across the Continental Divide will develop a lee sfc trough this afternoon. This will bring breezy conditions to the Texas Panhandle later this afternoon. As a result, watching for elevated fire weather conditions for the SW TX Panhandle. Otherwise, southwest surface flow will allow high temperatures to reach well into the 70s for many locations today.
Going into the day tomorrow, high temperatures will range from the mid 70s to mid 80s across the Panhandles. As H500 flow has more of WSW/SW directional shift, along with the main H300 jet aloft placing the Panhandles within an area of large scale subsidence throughout the day, dry conditions will prevail. With WAA established throughout the short term forecast period in the region, low temps tonight and tomorrow night will remain above average for this time of year.
Meccariello
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 347 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
We continue to watch the latest 28/00Z model and numerical guidance as a strong low moving south along the California coastline over the weekend becomes an upper level trough as it enters into the SW CONUS by early next week. Further east across the Panhandles, SW sfc-500 flow will become more apparent as we go through the weekend. Especially by Sunday, height falls will be quite rapid resulting in a resultant SW sfc flow where near headline winds will be possible on Sunday as skies clear out in the afternoon across the western Panhandles and again on Monday, enhanced by a Pacific front. With low RH values and some breezy to nearly strong winds, in-conjunction with a thermal ridge diurnally driven each day, elevated to critical fire weather conditions will be have to watched closely, especially on Sunday.
High temperatures on Saturday through Monday will be well above average with manly locations well into the 80s for high temperatures. A cold front will move south from the central Plains into the Panhandles early next week, bringing rain chances for some Monday night into Tuesday. Temperatures behind the front will drop to below average and should remain in this sub below average probabilistic range for the remainder of the long term forecast period.
Meccariello
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Primary potential hazard to fliers over the next 24 hours is the potential for low level wind shear in the surface to 1000 foot layer over the eastern three quarters of the area between 03z and 14z, including at AMA/GUY. Over time, low level jet looks to subside and surface winds will increase following sunrise, reducing LLWS. Otherwise, expect some southwesterly gusts to around 30 knots this afternoon.
Ferguson
FIRE WEATHER
With gusty winds out of the SW of 15 to 25 mph, coupled with min RH values around 13 to 15 percent, will have to watch for elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon for the SW Texas Panhandle. Will have to watch for elevated to critical fire weather conditions for the western half of the combined Panhandles tomorrow. Min RH values will drop to around 10 percent by tomorrow afternoon with 20 ft winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Max RFTI values tomorrow will be as high as 3 to 4 along with ERC values favoring the southern Texas Panhandle in the 40th to near 50th percentile.
Looking ahead from Saturday into Monday, elevated to critical fire weather conditions will also be possible with trends being monitored closely.
Meccariello
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Amarillo TX 45 80 44 81 / 0 0 0 0 Beaver OK 45 80 36 76 / 0 0 0 0 Boise City OK 38 75 34 76 / 0 0 0 0 Borger TX 48 84 44 84 / 0 0 0 0 Boys Ranch TX 43 81 40 82 / 0 0 0 0 Canyon TX 45 81 44 81 / 0 0 0 0 Clarendon TX 47 82 47 82 / 0 0 0 0 Dalhart TX 36 78 35 78 / 0 0 0 0 Guymon OK 40 78 35 77 / 0 0 0 0 Hereford TX 43 81 44 81 / 0 0 0 0 Lipscomb TX 48 82 40 79 / 0 0 0 0 Pampa TX 48 82 44 82 / 0 0 0 0 Shamrock TX 45 79 44 81 / 0 0 0 0 Wellington TX 45 79 45 82 / 0 0 0 0
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Fire Weather Watch from Friday afternoon through Friday evening for TXZ001-002-006>008-011>013-016>018-317.
OK...Fire Weather Watch from Friday afternoon through Friday evening for OKZ001.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KDUX MOORE COUNTY,TX | 20 sm | 26 min | SSW 16G23 | 10 sm | Clear | 63°F | 21°F | 20% | 30.04 |
Amarillo, TX,
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