Friday, December6, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fairfield, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:00AMSunset 4:51PM Friday December 6, 2019 12:36 PM EST (17:36 UTC) Moonrise 1:55PMMoonset 1:25AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ131 Alligator River- 1200 Pm Est Fri Dec 6 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from late tonight through Saturday afternoon...
This afternoon..SW winds around 5 kt. Waves flat.
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves light chop, increasing to choppy after midnight. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sat..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves choppy.
Sat night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Sun..E winds around 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Sun night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairfield, NC
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location: 35.67, -76.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 061729 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1229 PM EST Fri Dec 6 2019

SYNOPSIS. High pressure slide offshore today as the next cold front crosses late tonight into early Saturday morning. High pressure rebuilds over the area this weekend. A stronger cold front will move through Tuesday night and early Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 1200 PM Fri . Temps rebounded quickly after a chilly morning and are seeing temps from the mid 50s nrn sections and OBX to the mid 60s along the Crystal Coast as we move into midday. Clouds are increasing from the west and expect mostly cloudy to cloudy skies this afternoon and don't expect much additional warming today. KMHX radar is showing a few elevated returns, but have not seen any ground truth yet as the sub-cloud layers are very dry, as shown in the 12z KMHX sounding with PW values of only 0.29 inches, so it will take some time to saturate the lower levels with far western sections having the best chance of light rain moving in late this afternoon.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY/. As of 230 AM Fri . The cold front will cross the area late night into early Saturday morning, bringing light rain showers across the ENC. As this frontal passage pushes through moisture is limited, but think the best chances for measurable rainfall continues to be across the southern half of the forecast area where the highest precip water values are located. Afterward, high pressure builds into the region late in the forecast period. Expect overnight lows in the upper 30s to low 40s inland and mid/upper 40s along the coast.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 3 AM Fri . Unsettled weather is likely for Sunday night through at least Tuesday night as deep moisture returns ahead of a strong cold front.

Saturday through Sunday . Strong high pressure will pass to our north Saturday into Sunday with cooler temperatures in the low/mid 50s Sat accompanied by gusty north winds. Rather chilly Saturday night as winds diminish inland, allowing temperatures to drop to the lower 30s, and upper 30s to low 40s along the Outer Banks. With the high moving east of the area Sunday, winds veer to E/ESE with temperatures moderating to the upper 50s to lower 60s. A weak coastal trough tries to develop along the SE coast Sunday, and could see light showers move onshore during the afternoon.

Sunday Night through Thursday . The combination of a deepening mid- level trough, mid-level shortwave energy and precipitable water values that will increase to 1.25 inches or better will lead to a more unsettled weather pattern with better chances of showers Sunday night and then off and on through midday Wednesday ahead of a strong cold front. Per trends in guidance, the highest QPF and PoPs will be Sunday night and again Tuesday night. With the more southerly flow, high temperatures will be above normal Monday and Tuesday. Highs Monday will be well into the 60s with a few lower 70s possible Tuesday. The strong cold front will push through the area late Tue night into early Wednesday. Much cooler air behind this front, with highs in the 50s Wed, and may struggle in some spots to hit 50 deg Thu. Widespread lows near or below freezing Thursday morning.

AVIATION /17Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Short Term /through Saturday afternoon/ . As of 1230 PM Thurs . High confidence in VFR conditions into tonight, then low confidence in MVFR conditions until Saturday morning. Mid to high clouds are rapidly filling the skies over eastern NC this afternoon and will continue to increase through the day. A very dry layer exists from the surface up to about 10kft which will moisten slightly in the next few hours, but don't expect ceilings to fall much beyond 7-8kft. The exception lies with OAJ/EWN where widely scattered rain showers are possible and local drops in ceiling to MVFR are possible. Scattered MVFR conditions are possible Saturday morning into the afternoon as northerly winds increase and become gusty behind a passing front overnight.

Long Term /Saturday night through Tuesday/ . As of 3 AM Fri . VFR conditions are expected to prevail Saturday into Sunday as strong high pressure moves north of the region. Unsettled weather is expected Sunday through Tuesday with scattered showers and periods of sub-VFR.

MARINE. Short Term /Through tonight/ . As of 700 AM Fri . High pressure is centered over the coastal waters this morning providing light and variable winds and seas of 1-2 ft. The high will move eastward, allowing for winds to veer to the SW 5-15 knots by this afternoon ahead of the approaching cold front. The frontal passage will push through late tonight into early Saturday morning, resulting a northerly wind surge of 20-25 knots behind the front. Seas will build to 3-5 ft over the northern/central waters and 2-4 ft south, late tonight. Small Craft Advisory goes in effect for all coastal waters and Sounds starting after midnight.

Long Term /Saturday through Tuesday/ . As of 3 AM Fri . An active weather pattern this weekend through early next week will result in hazardous boating conditions with strong winds at times and a prolonged period of elevated seas AOA 6 ft. Gusty N/NNE winds 20-25 kt expected Sat behind a cold front. Seas will build quickly Saturday morning from north to south with the surge, peaking at 6-9 ft. SCA headlines are up for the coastal waters and sounds. N/NE winds 15-25 kt will continue Sat night with seas slowly subsiding late. Sunday NE/E winds 10-20 kt will veer to SE late with seas 3-5 ft building to 4-6 ft Sun night. Mon through Tue winds ahead of a cold front will be S/SW 15-25 kt with seas 6-10 ft.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM Saturday to 1 AM EST Sunday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 1 PM EST Saturday for AMZ131- 230-231. Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM Saturday to 10 AM EST Sunday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM Saturday to 10 AM EST Sunday for AMZ156-158. Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM Saturday to 4 AM EST Sunday for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . SK SHORT TERM . BM LONG TERM . JME/CQD AVIATION . CQD/MS MARINE . CQD/BM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 30 mi55 min SSW 5.1 G 6 50°F 51°F1023.3 hPa
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 38 mi55 min NW 2.9 G 2.9 53°F 53°F1023.7 hPa
44095 40 mi51 min 54°F2 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 40 mi55 min SW 8.9 G 11 52°F 1022.8 hPa
FRFN7 40 mi97 min 1 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 41 mi37 min 54°F1 ft
44086 42 mi42 min 55°F2 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 48 mi37 min 55°F2 ft

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC27 mi42 minSW 510.00 miFair55°F35°F48%1023.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMQI

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NW7NW5W3NW6NW3W3W3CalmCalmSW4W5W3SW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS5SW4SW6S6
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Tide / Current Tables for Old House Channel, North Carolina
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Old House Channel
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:22 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 03:52 AM EST     0.61 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:58 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:30 AM EST     0.13 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:52 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:02 PM EST     0.59 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:48 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 10:43 PM EST     0.07 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Davis Slough, North Carolina
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Davis Slough
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:22 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 03:27 AM EST     0.79 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:57 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:01 AM EST     0.17 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:52 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:37 PM EST     0.76 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:48 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 10:14 PM EST     0.10 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.